reports
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Vår Energi reported Q1 results very much in line with expectations. The company also reaffirmed its 2025 guidance and maintained its dividend. Also, OKEA reported a solid Q1, with production and prices slightly above our estimates. While a technical goodwill impairment reduces its dividend basket for 2025, we view this as non-material, as we do not expect any dividends before 2027. Meanwhile, we are 5% below consensus on Q1e EBIT ahead of Equinor’s Q1 results on 30 April (07:00 CET), ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 25/04/2025
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: Reserves addition much larger than expected – YE24 2P reserves were independently estimated at 42.3 mmbbl (+7.6 mmbbl vs YE23, representing a Reserve Replacement Ration of 309%). This figure far exceeds our previous expectation of 34.5 mmbbl for YE24 2P reserves - an estimate that included a 4 mmbbl addition in 1H24 to counterbalance 2024 production. The higher than expected reserves addition is driven by robust reservoir performance in G...
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- Steffen Evjen
Solid NCS production in March
The Norwegian Offshore Directorate’s (NOD) preliminary NCS figures for March showed liquids production of 1,972kboed (1.6% above its forecast) and gas production of 351mcm/d (0.4% above its forecast). Overall, production was 4.18mmboed (1.1% above its forecast), flat MOM, but down 4.9% YOY. Company-wise, the February production figures should be well known as most companies have already reported their production figures for Q1.
Ørsted expands Group Executive Team and appoints two new members
Ørsted A/S (Orsted) Ørsted expands Group Executive Team and appoints two new members 23-Apr-2025 / 14:04 CET/CEST 23.4.2025 14:04:00 CEST | Ørsted A/S | Investor News Effective from 1 May 2025, Ørsted expands its Group Executive Team and appoints two new members, reporting to Group President and CEO, Rasmus Errboe. With today’s appointments, the full offshore wind value chain, including development, construction, and generation, will be represented in Ørsted’s Group Executive Team. Amanda Dasch is appointed Chief Development Officer (CDO) and will head up Ørsted Commerci...
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
Q1 2025 Trading Update and Invitation to Earnings Call
Q1 2025 Trading Update and Invitation to Earnings Call Oslo, 23 April 2025 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, will publish its Q1 2025 operating and interim financial results on 15 May at 07:00 (CET). A videoconference call with executive management will follow at 14:00 (CET). Today the Company provides an update on production, sales volumes and other selected information for the quarter. Volumes (boepd) Gross operated productionQ1 2025Q4 2024Q1 2024Kurdistan82,08174,16376,310North Sea8,8646,602- Net entitlement productionQ1 2025Q4 2024Q1 2024Kurdistan18,46417,42420,503No...
- Steffen Evjen
OKEA (Buy, TP: NOK23.00) - Solid start to the year
A solid Q1 trading update included net production and realised prices just above our estimates. A technical goodwill impairment (due to lower forward prices) effectively reducing OKEA’s dividend basket for 2025; however, we do not consider this material as we do not expect it to pay any dividends until 2027. Still, with the stock trading at an EV/2P of USD3.8/boe, well below recent NCS transactions at ~USD10/boe, we reiterate our BUY and NOK23 target price.
- Steffen Evjen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- Steffen Evjen
Stress testing
We have stress-tested our coverage universe at a USD60/bbl oil price, concluding that most names remain dependent on rising oil prices to warrant upside potential from current share prices. Moreover, unless oil prices move higher, we see increasing risk of cuts in shareholder distributions for Vår Energi and Equinor, while the risk appears lower for Aker BP. Overall, we remain cautious as macro risks remain tilted to the downside. We continue to prefer Aker BP as it screens best on valuation and...
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Equinor, Aker BP, and Vår Energi released their Q1 trading updates. Equinor’s realised liquids prices were broadly in line with consensus across all segments. Aker BP reported a modest production beat, 2% above consensus, with realised liquids and gas prices largely as expected. Vår Energi’s Q1 production was 2% below our estimate and consensus, while realised liquids prices met expectations and gas prices exceeded them by 4–11%.
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- Steffen Evjen
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, we published previews for most of our coverage universe. For Aker BP, we estimate solid Q1 production of 450kboed, with our EBITDA forecast 12% above consensus, ahead of the trading update on 7 April. For Vår Energi, we expect a slow start to the year, with Q1e production of 277kboed, leaving our EBITDA c7% below consensus, ahead of the trading update on 11 April. In other news, Johan Castberg reached first oil this week, with ramp-up expected through Q2 2025.
Resolutions of the 2025 annual general meeting of Ørsted A/S
Ørsted A/S (Orsted) Resolutions of the 2025 annual general meeting of Ørsted A/S 03-Apr-2025 / 11:42 CET/CEST 3.4.2025 11:42:09 CEST | Ørsted A/S | Decisions of general meeting Today, Ørsted A/S held its annual general meeting, where the following decisions were adopted: The audited annual report for 2024 and appropriation of profit The audited annual report for 2024 was approved. In accordance with the proposal of the Board of Directors, no dividend is paid to the shareholders for the financial year 2024. Discharge, remuneration, and elections The Board of Directors an...
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
AKAST AKASTOR ASA
KOG KONGSBERG GRUPPEN ASA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
ARCHERO ARCHER
AKER AKER ASA CLASS A
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
PRS PROSAFE
OKEA OKEA
BWE BW ENERGY
VAR VAR ENERGI ASA
SEAPT-NO SEACREST PETROLEO
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
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