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Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

 PRESS RELEASE

TGS Vesting Under the 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan

TGS Vesting Under the 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan Oslo, Norway (29 April 2024) –TGS granted the second tranche of Performance Stock Units (PSUs) under the Magseis 2022 Long-term Incentive Plan previously adopted and authorized by the Board of Directors of TGS ASA in 2023.  In accordance with the terms of this Plan, the second tranche of PSUs vested on 1 April 2024, resulting in a total of 61 PSU holders having the right to request the issuance of TGS shares at par value NOK 0.05.  The company previously determined that the final payout on the PSUs is 58.3% based on achievement of perfor...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Equinor, Aker BP and Vår Energi released their Q1 results. In short: Equinor reported on the strong side, with a solid FCF beat fuelled by a working capital tailwind. Aker BP had a solid Q1 all around, while there was limited new news on Johan Sverdrup. For Vår Energi, with the results in line with our expectations, we believe investor focus remains on the Jotun FPSO sail-away.

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Metso : Progress on margin reflected with resilience in Q1

>Q1 2024 orders in line but margin below expectations - Metso reported its Q1 2024 results yesterday morning (see first take). They were in line with expectations on order intake, but below expectations on adjusted EBITA (-7%).Order intake was down -6% on an organic basis (consensus -5.8%), but up 10.5% sequentially, confirming the rebound in activity that the group was anticipating in the Aggregates division (particularly in the US). Sales were down -7% on ...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Metso : Les progrès sur la marge se ressentent avec sa résilience au T...

>T1 2024 avec des commandes en ligne mais en dessous des attentes sur la marge - Metso a publié hier matin ses résultats T1 2024 (voir first take) qui étaient en ligne avec les attentes sur les prises de commandes, mais en dessous sur l’EBITA ajusté (-7%).Les prises de commandes étaient en recul de -6% en organique (css à -5.8%), mais en hausse séquentielle de 10.5%, confirmant ainsi le rebond de l’activité qui avait été anticipé par le groupe dans la division A...

Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Metso (Buy, TP: EUR13.00) - Small profit miss, but positives too

Q1 profits missed in a seasonally small quarter but also included positives: solid profitability, and strong Aggregates and Service orders. We have cut our 2024–2026e clean EPS by c3% and reiterate our BUY and EUR13 target price. The valuation remains attractive, in our view.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

Q1 miss, but also demonstration of resilience

Orders and margins fine, but equipment sales gap, EBITA -8%. Adj. EBITA'24e-'26e down 2-3%. Not worrying, and good end-market and value support - BUY

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/25/2024

Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/04/2024

Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Metso : Reassuring Q1 orders but results are below expectations

>Q1 2024: orders down -6%, sales down -7%, adjusted EBITA margin of 16.5% - Metso this morning reported Q1 2024 results that were 7% below expectations at adjusted EBITA level. Order intake was € 1,361m (consensus € 1,361), down -6% on an organic basis (consensus -5.8%). Orders were up sequentially in both divisions with improved market activity in Aggregates (driven by the US) and in Minerals (Services). Sales were down -7% (consensus -2.4%) on an organic b...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Metso : Reassuring Q1 orders but results are below expectations

>Q1 2024: orders down -6%, sales down -7%, adjusted EBITA margin of 16.5% - Metso this morning reported Q1 2024 results that were 7% below expectations at adjusted EBITA level. Order intake was € 1,361m (consensus € 1,361), down -6% on an organic basis (consensus -5.8%). Orders were up sequentially in both divisions with improved market activity in Aggregates (driven by the US) and in Minerals (Services). Sales were down -7% (consensus -2.4%) on an organic b...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
 PRESS RELEASE

TGS Q1 2024 Presentation and Webcast

TGS Q1 2024 Presentation and Webcast OSLO, Norway (24 April 2024) - TGS will release its Q1 2024 results at approximately 07:00 CEST on 8 May 2024. CEO Kristian Johansen and CFO Sven Børre Larsen will present the results at 09:00 CEST at House of Oslo, Ruseløkkveien 34, Oslo, Norway. The presentation is open to the public and can be followed live online. Access and registration for online attendees are available by copying and pasting this link into your browser: The slides from the presentation will also be available in PDF format at both the TGS and Oslo Stock Exchange websites. For m...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Solid NCS production in March

The preliminary Norwegian Offshore Directorate (NOD) production figures for the NCS in March showed strong liquids production of 2,086kboed (~4% above forecast) and gas production of 365mcm/d (broadly in line). Overall production was up 2.7% MOM. On a company level, production was down MOM for most names in February; Aker BP and Equinor were hit by reduced production from Johan Sverdrup, while Vår Energi was hampered by downtime at Fenja.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, we published a Q1 preview on Equinor. We believe its share price upswing since its CMU is mainly attributable to strong performance by its peer group. The stock is trading at a 15% premium to peers, in line with its historical average. In other news, Vår Energi reported Q1 production in line with our estimates, with realised prices slightly above. We expect focus in the full Q1 report (due on 23 April) to be on Balder X and Johan Castberg. Also, according to news sources, Equinor’s ch...

 PRESS RELEASE

TGS and PGS Receive Norwegian Competition Clearance for Merger

TGS and PGS Receive Norwegian Competition Clearance for Merger OSLO, Norway (17 April 2024) - Reference is made to the joint stock exchange announcement on 18 September 2023 by TGS ASA ("TGS" or the "Company," OSE: TGS) and PGS ASA ("PGS," OSE: PGS) regarding the combination of the two companies (the "Merger") to establish the premier energy data company, as well as subsequent announcements on 25 October 2023 and 1 December 2023 regarding, respectively, the execution of the definitive merger agreement and approval by the extraordinary general meetings. As further announced in the update on...

Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Metso (Buy, TP: EUR13.00) - Possible optimism in the air

We have raised our 2024–2026e clean EPS by c2% on average ahead of Q1 results, where we will focus on orders, profitability and the outlook. We reiterate our BUY, and have raised our target price to EUR13 (12.5), continuing to view Metso’s end-market exposure, profit expansion potential and valuation as attractive.

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