reports
- James Ratzer
- James Ratzer
- Russell Waller
European Telecoms High Yield review Setting out our key preferences
We published our Global High Yield Quarterly this week – HERE. For a European perspective, we provide a summary of our thoughts and ideas on the European HY issuers in this piece, which takes excerpts from the Global HYQ and adds to it, including asset cover and a summary of our most preferred and least preferred names.
- Russell Waller
- James Ratzer
- Jonathan Chaplin
Broadband market growth slower in 1Q24
Broadband industry growth slowed in 4Q23. We wondered, exiting the quarter, whether growth would level off or slow further in 1Q24. Based on the data we have collected so far, it appears that growth has slowed further, and possibly quite materially. We suspect slower growth will impact all operators, although for fiber, it should be partly offset by footprint expansion.
- James Ratzer
- Russell Waller
- Russell Waller
Altice International Q4 23: Good numbers, all disposal options seem ...
Altice International reported a solid set of results today. The war in Israel has impacted the Israeli numbers, but broadly as expected. Portugal continues to perform very nicely, and overall the guidance suggests that ATCI, like NOS (read HERE), see minimal impact from Digi in 2024. The guidance looks sensible (conservative), but German construction revenue could be a big delta to numbers, and the impact here remains uncertain.
- Russell Waller
Billionaires compared Is it right that Xavier Niel businesses have t...
The European Telco landscape is dominated by three high profile billionaires. Patrick Drahi, John Malone, and Xavier Niel. They all have multiple debt silos, and large empires, but the bonds trade at very different spreads. In this note, we look at why that might be the case, and in particular, if the Niel businesses deserve to trade at tighter spreads. We think they do, which means that Xavier Niel should be able to continue to raise funds cheaply (albeit the Iliad spreads widened after the Tel...
- Russell Waller
- Russell Waller
Altice France Does Teads hold the key to delevering?
A break-up of Altice International, is, we are told, option A for delevering at Altice France. According to press reports however, there is a gap between the offers made for Altice Portugal and the amount that Patrick Drahi wants (€7bn of proceeds wanted vs €5bn-€6bn offered); because Altice International debt will have to be repaid in the event of a sale of Portugal, €5bn of proceeds might not be enough to persuade Drahi to sell, as the amount of cash that could be up-streamed might be too smal...
- Russell Waller
Altice France Does Teads hold the key to delevering?
A break-up of Altice International, is, we are told, option A for delevering at Altice France. According to press reports however, there is a gap between the offers made for Altice Portugal and the amount that Patrick Drahi wants (€7bn of proceeds wanted vs €5bn-€6bn offered); because Altice International debt will have to be repaid in the event of a sale of Portugal, €5bn of proceeds might not be enough to persuade Drahi to sell, as the amount of cash that could be up-streamed might be too smal...
- Chris Hoare
- James Ratzer
- Jonathan Chaplin
- Soomit Datta
- James Ratzer
BT (Buy, £2.00, +77%) Q3 results: New CEO's first day & record FTTP b...
BT has reported Q3 results marginally ahead of consensus expectations and all FY24 financial guidance has been re-iterated. Today is also the first day in the job for new CEO, Allison Kirkby, so in this note, we look ahead to what she could be focused on for the FY results in May and we review the Q3 trends in more detail and what stands out.
- Russell Waller
- Russell Waller
Altice How much is Sotheby's worth?
Patrick Drahi’s net worth is an important topic for all three Altice silo bondholders. We first wrote about that HERE. We update those thoughts in this report, based on the recent financial results at Sotheby’s. We evaluate performance since Sotheby’s was taken private and give our thoughts on valuation as well.
- James Ratzer
Stratospheric drones: A game changer for rural networks?
The start of a New Year can often herald a barrage of Look Ahead notes – and last month we published our own Look Ahead note for the telecoms sector in 2024. However, in this note, we really aim to look ahead focusing on a new technology that could potentially have longer-term and far reaching implications for the telecoms sector: stratospheric drones.
- James Ratzer
Upper 6-GHz: Further regulatory support for sector
On Monday, we published our sector outlook for 2024 and one of our key supports for the sector is the idea that the regulation can act as a tailwind for the sector. Readers of our work will know we have been exploring the upper-6GHz spectrum band, and therefore we have been interested in the World Radio Congress decision taken on this last week. In this note, we review next steps on this potentially transformative spectrum band.
- Ben Rickett
- James Ratzer
- Russell Waller
EU Telecoms Ready for a Good 2024 Steady growth reducing the risk pro...
After many years of headwinds, the EU telecoms sector has now performed in line with the market over the past two years supported by a gradual reduction in the risk profile as regulatory tailwinds help make earnings trends more predictable. In 2023, all of the major telcos outperformed the market, with the aggregate performance held back by Vodafone. We believe the EU telecoms sector is set for a good 2024 with a continued reduction in risk perception helping to support a multiple re-rating.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.