We are putting our coverage of the following stocks UNDER REVIEW, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: Addiko Bank Alro Arion banki Bogdanka Cognor Holding DataWalk Gradus Grenevia Islandsbanki Kety TeraPlast
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
HEADLINES: • Turkish automotive: ready for the ride (Ford Otosan and Tofas stay BUY, Dogus Otomotiv stays HOLD) • Ten Square Games: 1Q22 adjusted EBITDA in line with our and market's expectations NEUTRAL • Famur: 1Q22 EBITDA in line with expectations NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q22 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Fondul Proprietatea: takeaways from the call with Hidroelectrica's management NEUTRAL • Kofola: key takeaways from CEO interview with Seznam Zpravy NEUTRAL • Cyf...
EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 1Q22 results review - strong beat vs. market's expectations • MONETA Money Bank: 1Q22 results review - in line with our expectations and 5% ahead of consensus • Akbank: 1Q22 results highlights - better than expected, due to trading • Turkish Airlines: 1Q22 yet another strong quarter, continued recovery of traffic and yield strength POSITIVE • Tofas: 1Q22 results - strong beat POSITIVE • Turk Telekom: 1Q22 - results in line, no guidance change NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 1...
A director at Famur S.A. bought 1,000,000 shares at 3.000PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
HEADLINES: • Jumbo: solid 2H21 results • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q21 results below expectations, dividend proposal of EUR 0.9/share • mBank: to create PLN 192.7m of FX mortgage litigation risk provisions in 1Q22E NEUTRAL • Famur: 4Q21 conference call takeaways NEGATIVE • Jeronimo Martins: Biedronka introducing fixed pricing for 150 basic SKUs by the end of June NEGATIVE • PKO BP: AGM scheduled for 12 May, to vote on the dividend and share buyback among other things • Alior Bank: EGM introduces ch...
HEADLINES: • Polish financials: PZU - higher rates and for longer (stays BUY); Bank Pekao - standing firm against the headwinds (stays BUY); Alior Bank - too cheap to ignore (upgraded to BUY) • Romania macro: the government announces a support package for both individuals and companies • Fondul Proprietatea: end-March NAV could be at least 5% higher mom • Famur: 4Q21 EBITDA 16% below market expectations NEGATIVE • LPP: FY22E rollout plans raised to 500k sqm POSITIVE • Inter Cars: CFO says tha...
HEADLINES: • Hungary macro: Fidesz wins another landslide victory • LiveChat Software: 4Q21-22 (calendar 1Q22) preliminary results - USD 14.6m sales (+15% yoy, 5% qoq) POSITIVE • Inter Cars: PLN 75m impairment charge due to destroyed warehouse in Ukraine NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: Hungary - macro update • EME Macro/Strategy: Poland - macro update • EME Macro/Strategy: Czech Republic - macro update • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong equities and all-time-high derivatives volumes in March PO...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: a different world - taking stock of the consequences • European oil and gas monthly: February 2022 • Benefit Systems: recurrent preliminary 4Q21 slightly above expectations, solid card base recovery POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: 4Q21 preliminary net profit at PLN 105m, 2% below our estimate NEGATIVE • Sava RE: 4Q21 results review - strong performance continued in last quarter, ytd ROE at 15.8% • TCS Group Holding: 4Q21 review • Russian equities: which global com...
EME Equity Market – February 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities bled in February due to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. The MSCI EME Europe Index declined by 38.7% in EUR terms and 38.8% in USD terms. Russian stocks, represented by the MOEX Index, lost the most in February, declining by 34.6% in EUR terms and 30.0% in RUB terms. The Hungarian BUX Index lost 21.8% in EUR terms and 18.2% in HUF terms; while the Polish WIG20 Index declined by 11.7% in EUR and 9.5% in PLN. In Prague, the...
Early yesterday morning (24 February), Russia launched a military assault on Ukraine. We have contacted the companies under our coverage with exposure to these countries, and we gather our initial comments below. We intend to monitor the development of these events and update our views further, in due course.
HEADLINES: • Russian Technology: fortune favours the brave (Yandex, HeadHunter, Ozon and QIWI stay BUY; VK upgraded to BUY) • Otokar: 4Q21 results - strong top-down beat, led by the defence segment POSITIVE • NLB Group: new SREP requirements • Gazprom: signs a 10bcm supply contract with China POSITIVE • Rosneft: to supply 10mt to China via Kazakhstan POSITIVE • Magnit: 4Q21 conference call - key takeaways NEUTRAL • Electrica: Oltchim's final table of debts shows a lower level of claims for El...
EME Equity Market – January 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities lost 9.3%, while Turkish and Hungarian stocks advanced 8.6% and 9.3%, respectively, in January. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 4.5% in EUR terms and 5.9% in USD. Hungary’s equities were the best performers in January, adding 9.3% in EUR and 5.4% in HUF terms; followed by Turkish equities, with an 8.6% gain in EUR and an 8.8% gain in TRY. In Greece, the ASE Index added 4.9%, while the PX Index, the Czech benchmark, gained ...
HEADLINES: • Polyus/Polymetal: Russian gold majors - a good bet (BUYs - initiation of coverage) • Norilsk Nickel: 4Q21 production results - PD production exceeds guidance; 2022E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Famur: recognises c.PLN 95m asset impairment NEGATIVE • Etalon: FY21 KPIs - lower volumes made up for by stronger price environment NEUTRAL • Conpet: 2022 budget foresees flat profit yoy, at RON 50m NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: interview with CFO - ambitious targets for cards base recovery ...
HEADLINES: • Famur: good direction, but waiting for solar results (stays HOLD) • CD Projekt: Microsoft acquires Activision Blizzard at 45% premium - positive sector cross-read POSITIVE • Polish utilities: to raise new capital to finance distribution, and green and gas generation NEGATIVE • Kernel: announces third tranche of its buyback programme POSITIVE • EME Strategy: OFEs' 2021 annual holdings • Short News (HTO, SNN)
We keep our HOLD rating on Famur, and have raised our price target (PT) to PLN 3.41/share (vs. PLN 2.94), offering 3% upside. The major reasons for our PT hike are the inclusion of the photovoltaic (PV) business in the company’s financials and the recent recovery in the coal price, supporting our view of the capex for the coal mines in 2022E and 2023E. Therefore, we have revised up our previous 2022-23E EBITDA forecasts by 37-65%. On the other hand, we note that, at this stage, Famur is at the b...
EME Equity Market – December 2021 Market performance – despite most markets being in the black, MSCI EM Europe declined by 1.7%. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.7% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms. The Czech PX Index continued with its solid performance and advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 5.1% in CZK. The Romanian BET Index added 7.1% in both EUR and local currency. Turkish equities, represented by the ISE30 Index, grew 5.3% in EUR and 4.2% in TRY. Poland’s WIG20 Index gained 4.8% in ...
HEADLINES: • Kety: strong 4Q21 preliminary figures, reassuring 2022E forecasts POSITIVE • Romanian regulated utilities: monopoly tax expired at end-2021 POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: USD 8m bookings in December 2021 vs. USD 7m in November 2021 POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: December bookings estimate at USD 18m, +6% mom NEUTRAL • AmRest: new long-term incentive plan approved NEUTRAL • Czech Republic macro: ending the year with a bang • Polish residential real estate: TAG buys Robyg for c.EUR 550m • A...
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