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Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

NCI: 2025 Financials Beat Expectations; Revenue Up 49%, Collecting A/R

What you need to know: • NTG reported Q4 and 2025 financials that beat our estimates across the board, including 2025 revenue of $83.4M (+49% YoY, $80.5M expected) and adjusted EBITDA of $11.9M (14% margin, $11.1M expected). • Management is guiding 2026 revenue of >$90M (+8% YoY) vs. our $96.2M and 2026 adjusted EBITDA margins of 13-16%, in line with our 14.8% expectation. NTG has a history of beating its revenue guidance. • We recently interviewed Adam Zaghloul, VP of Strategy and Planning. Cli...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

NCI: $12.3M in Contracts; Awaiting Q4 Financial Results

What you need to know: • NTG has received $12.3M in new purchase orders and contract renewals from existing customers, reflecting continued demand for its offshore software development despite ongoing regional conflict. • $8.5M in purchase orders were billed against previously announced frameworks, as major contractual commitments are converting to revenue. • In March, NTG provided a detailed update on the Company’s AI strategy, outlining early customer adoption of its AI-powered products. • W...

Ben Pirie ... (+5)
  • Ben Pirie
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA
  • Riley Venton
  • P. Eng

Q1/26 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Q1/26 proved to be a challenging quarter for equity markets broadly, as macroeconomic uncertainty and risk-off sentiment weighed on indices across North America. The S&P 500 fell 4.7%, the TSXV declined 3.2%, and the TSX was up 2.7% thanks to its exposure to oil and gas. Against this backdrop, our coverage universe demonstrated relative resilience, up 4.3% on average during the quarter, meaningfully outperforming all three benchmarks. This represents the sixth consecutive quarter of outperforman...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

NCI: New Contract for Up to $18.2M; Operations Unaffected by Conflict

What you need to know: • NTG has signed a three-year Framework Agreement with a major Saudi real estate developer for up to $18.2M in IoT and Smart City services. • The customer is a portfolio company of one of Saudi Arabia’s largest investment entities, won through a referral by an existing NTG client. • NTG’s operations remain unaffected by recent escalation in Middle East military activity; Egypt Offshore Centres continue to operate normally. • We recently initiated coverage on NTG and int...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

NCI: High Growth and Increasing Margins Meets Compelling Valuation

What you need to know: • NTG is a high-growth IT services and software company, providing solutions to large enterprise clients in Saudi Arabia. • The Company provides direct exposure to the economic growth of Saudi Arabia which is investing US$1.3T in its Vision 2030 plan. • NTG has seen margins dip in 2025 due to expanding its workforce, however, we expect margin expansion going forward. • The stock has pulled back 63% off its highs, now trading at 3.7x 2026E EBITDA, making for a strong entry...

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