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Dirk Verbiesen ... (+5)
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Utilities and offshore wind supply chain sector/Mind the gaps

In this report we present our view on the long-term growth prospects for offshore wind in Europe, implications of the energy transition and the role of TSOs, such as Elia Group. We also focus on supply chain beneficiaries in our Benelux coverage. An increasing number of long-term framework contracts should provide improved risk-rewards to the supply chain, in our view. Furthermore, we take a deep dive into growth drivers and long-term financing for Elia Group, beyond the company's current financ...

Dirk Verbiesen ... (+2)
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Quirijn Mulder

Elia/Attractive growth and valuation; all set for execution with FY26-...

Elia Group is ramping up towards annual capex of c.€7bn, which will act as a catalyst for the RAB growth averaging c.23% in the coming years. Regulatory frameworks in Belgium and Germany are set until FY27 and FY28, providing a high degree of earnings visibility. With €2.2bn in equity financing successfully executed, Elia is now preparing a follow-up during FY26-28 for €1.8-2.3bn via so-called non-dilutive equity financing. We think the high-end of this range will be needed. In this report we al...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Solid 1Q25. Ascencio: Resilient results. Gimv: NAV a tad higher than expected, underlying companies surprisingly strong. IBA: Soft start in Technologies, 2025 and 2028 guidance reiterated. OCI: In-line 1Q25 trading update. Vopak: IPO of AVTL - value coming to the surface

Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Ascencio 1H25 results: EPRA earnings above estimates but tougher retai...

Ascencio reports 1H25 EPRA earnings above our expectations due to lower than expected financial charges. There is negative rent reversion on renewals which has been a common factor for Ascencio as the ERV -contractual rent gap was 10.6% in 2023. The gap is closing with a negative impact on contractual rents. This has been an argument for our hold recommendation in the past 3 years. The occupancy dropped by 1.1% on signs of a weaker retail market and this even excluding the Casa bankruptcy (3 uni...

 PRESS RELEASE

Half-yearly financial report of Ascencio SA

Half-yearly financial report of Ascencio SA DYNAMIC LETTING ACTIVITY & SOLID DEBT STRUCTURE 6.95%GROSS YIELD ON THE PORTFOLIO2.18%AVERAGE COST OF DEBT-0.1%CHANGE IN FAIR VALUE OF THE PORTFOLIO96.7%EPRA OCCUPANCY RATE95.2%INTEREST RATE HEDGING RATIO OPERATING RESULTS Rental income: €27.1 million, up by 2.8% from €26.3 million at 31/03/2024EPRA Earnings: €19.0 million, up 5.7% from €18.0 million at 31/03/2024EPRA Earnings per share: €2.88 (vs €2.72 at 31/03/2024)Net result: €18.7 million (vs €5.7 million at 31/03/2024), the significant increase being due to the difference in revaluations (-€...

 PRESS RELEASE

Rapport financier semestriel d'Ascencio SA

Rapport financier semestriel d'Ascencio SA Activité commerciale dynamique & structure d’endettement robuste 6,95%RENDEMENT BRUT DU PORTEFEUILLE2,18%COÛT MOYEN DE FINANCEMENT-0,1%DE VARIATION DE JUSTE VALEUR DU PORTEFEUILLE96,7%TAUX D’OCCUPATION EPRA95,2%RATIO DE COUVERTURE DE TAUX D’INTÉRÊT   RÉSULTATS OPÉRATIONNELS Revenus locatifs : 27,1 millions EUR, en progression de 2,8% par rapport à 26,3 millions EUR au 31/03/2024Résultat EPRA : 19,0 millions EUR, en hausse de 5,7% par rapport à 18,0 millions EUR au 31/03/2024Résultat EPRA par action : 2,88 EUR (vs 2,72 EUR au 31/03/2024)Résultat ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Financieel halfjaarverslag van Ascencio NV

Financieel halfjaarverslag van Ascencio NV Dynamische commerciële activiteit & krachtige schuldstructuur 6,95%BRUTORENDEMENT VAN DE PORTEFEUILLE 2,18%GEMIDDELDE KOST VAN DE SCHULDENLAST -0,1%VARIATIE IN DE REËLE WAARDE VAN DE PORTEFEUILLE 96,7%EPRA BEZETTINGSGRAAD 95,2%AFDEKKINGSRATIO VAN DE RENTE OPERATIONEEL RESULTAAT Huurinkomsten: 27,1 miljoen EUR, een stijging van 2,8% ten opzichte van 26,3 miljoen EUR op 31/03/2024EPRA Earnings: 19,0 miljoen EUR, een stijging met 5,7% ten opzichte van 18,0 miljoen EUR op 31/03/2024EPRA Earnings per aandeel: 2,88 EUR (tegenover 2...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: NFLI reaching c.30% level in its ABN stake reduction. ABN AMRO: Relaunch of Belgium private banking using MeesPierson brand. Elia: FY25 profit outlook unchanged, minor reduction in capex. Greenyard: Disappointing 2H24/25, guidance lowered. NN Group, ASR: Parliament votes against amendment to Dutch Pension Reform

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Elia Group 1Q25 Trading update

In its 1Q25 trading update, Elia confirmed its FY25 net group profit outlook between EUR 490m and 540m. Elia now uses a lower base rate for the GE regulatory return of 2.30% and 2.80% for ETB. At the FY24 results the Capex FY24-28 was raised by 1.6bn to 31.6bn. 50Hz typically has a higher ROE (8-10%) vs. ETB (7-8%). WindGrid is evaluating Forward Power Offshore, which holds a 25% stake in Leading Light Wind, a project currently facing uncertainty due to executive orders from the Trump Administr...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CFE: Keeps FY25 outlook. Greenyard: Preview of FY24/25 results. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 1Q25 results

Maxime Stranart ... (+2)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Stijn Demeester

Recticel/A strong 1Q25 thanks to Insulation Boards/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating and €16 target price on Recticel following the group's 1Q25 results. We remain convinced by the medium-to-long term potential of the Insulation market, which should provide Recticel with ample room to grow both organically and through M&A thanks to its net cash position. On top of this, we expect a gradual recovery in the Residential segment to allow for material margin improvement, allowing Adj. EBITDA to grow by CAGR >21% over 2024-27F. We flag that the new factory ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Strong Q1, improving fundamentals, further growth to come. Air France-KLM: Surprising Atlantic. Aperam: In-line 1Q25, seasonal better 2Q25 expected. ArcelorMittal: In-line 1Q25, risks to steel demand due to tariff uncertainty. ASM International: 1Q25 Results - FY25 headwinds from weak USD. Ayvens: Getting into Gear. dsm-firmenich: Transformation on Track. Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results. Melexis: Mixed 1Q25 results in unstable markets. Ontex: Two steps fo...

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