The tone of the analyst meeting was dull. Revenue growth for 2024 is projected to slow down. Likewise, gross margin is expected to remain stagnant, influenced by the decelerated revenue growth and product mix. 1Q24 revenue is expected to be flat as customers are delaying orders. Maintain SELL. Target price: Bt63.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer: Tourism, catering and movie consumption: Strong performances during CNY. Update Yadea Group Holdings (1585 HK/BUY/HK$12.18/Target: HK$16.00): Premiumisation and external battery sales as new growth drivers. Maintain BUY. Cut target price from HK$20.00 to HK$16.00. INDONESIA Results Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/BUY/Rp3,690/Target: Rp4,400): 4Q23: NPAT exceeds expectation, rising 66.3% yoy on higher nickel deliveries. Upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Results KPJ Healthcare (K...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly: Pet food exports on track for recovery; beneficiary: Yantai China Pet Food. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$246.20/Target: HK$630.00): 3Q23: Earnings up 82% yoy and 53% qoq, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$630.00. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$4.48/Target: HK$6.00): 3Q23: Results in line; earnings up 2.6% on lower credit costs. China Merchants Bank Co. (3968 HK/BUY/HK$30.30/Target: HK$45.00): 3Q23: Results miss; longer wait need...
The tone of the analyst meeting was cautiously optimistic as management expects revenue to grow moderately by 5% qoq in 4Q23. However, we are optimistic on revenue due to seasonal and currency factors. In 2024, we expect earnings growth to decelerate, improving only 7% yoy due to the high base. We give DELTA a premium over its peers due to its promising outlook and compelling core business, but we believe DELTA’s price is not justified. Maintain SELL. Target price: Bt65.00.
We have a favourable outlook for DELTA's performance in 2023 and anticipate the sentiment to persist into 2024. Key contributors to revenue growth include robust demand for EV power and data centres. Gross margin is expected to improve due to subdued raw material prices and enhanced product mix from a higher proportion of EV power. Despite the positive momentum moving forward, there is a view that the current valuation may not be justified. Maintain SELL. Target price: Bt70.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Asian Gems Corporate Highlights CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt59.75/Target: Bt78.00) Resilient long-term growth outlook. Delta Electronics (DELTA TB/SELL/Bt80.50/Target: Bt70.00) Concluding 2023 on a positive note and sustaining positivity into 2024.
GREATER CHINA Sector Banking: 3Q23 results preview: Earnings growth expected to reach bottom. Asian Gems Corporate Highlights Crystal International (2232 HK)/NOT RATED/HK$2.45): Takeaways from luncheon. Hutchmed (China) (13 HK/NOT RATED/HK$26.60): Maintaining oncology revenue target of US$450m-550m in 2023. Nio Inc (9866 HK/NOT RATED/HK$68.90): Takeaways from Asian Gems Conference. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$12.30/Target: HK$15.30): Takeaways from Asian Gems Conference. INDONESIA Asian Gems Co...
The tone at DELTA’s analyst meeting was optimistic. 2H23 earnings are likely to remain strong. Revenue should improve as well due to strong demand for EV products. Gross margin is also projected to improve, supported by the anticipated depreciation of the baht, a favourable product mix and the easing of chip shortages. Despite having a positive view on DELTA, we maintain our SELL rating due to DELTA being overvalued currently. Target price: Bt70.00.
DELTA reported 1Q23 net profit of Bt3.6b (+30% yoy, -14% qoq). The results are 8% below our estimates by 6% and 11% below consensus estimates. Earnings missed our estimates on lower-than-expected gross margin. We expect the lacklustre performance to continue in 2Q23 due to the weak semiconductor industry hurt by the economic condition. Maintain SELL. Target price: Bt660.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 1Q23 results wrap-up: Results beat on investment gains; selective BUY on banks that are still laggards. Results Delta Electronics (DELTA TB/SELL/Bt888.00/Target: Bt660.00) 1Q23: Earnings missed our expectations; weak outlook not over yet. Update Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt21.70/Target: Bt24.00) Expect 1Q23 net profit to be flat; positive earnings outlook for 2023.
GREATER CHINA Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$8.31/Target: HK$11.50): 1Q23: In line; wind farm utilisation hours up 3.8% yoy. COLI (688 HK/BUY/HK$19.66/Target: HK$27.14): 1Q23: Profitability improves, but with weak land investment. COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.89/Target: HK$7.07): 1Q23: In line; 1Q23 likely the trough. Expect improving profitability ahead. EVE Energy (300014 HK/BUY/Rmb66.79/Target: Rmb100.00): 1Q23: Results miss on revenue and beat on margins. Maintain BUY....
We expect 1Q23 earnings to improve yoy from a low base, but decline qoq due to softer revenue and lower gross margin. Revenue should rise yoy but drop qoq due to seasonal effects. We maintain a neutral view on DELTA’s outlook in 1H23 from the impact of low demand and currency fluctuation. In terms of valuation, we maintain SELL on DELTA with a target price of Bt660.00 as we believe the valuation of DELTA is too high and not justified.
The tone at DELTA’s analyst meeting was optimistic. Earnings in 4Q22 and 2023 are likely to continue to be strong. Revenue should improve as well due to strong demand of many products. Gross margin is expected to remain at a strong level due to the expectation of Baht depreciation and product mix. Despite having a positive view on DELTA, we still recommend SELL due to overvaluation with a target price of Bt430.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Siam Cement (SCC TB/HOLD/Bt327.00/Target: Bt296.00) 3Q22: Weak core earnings in line with our estimate, due to weak earnings performance of all business units. Update Delta Electronics (DELTA TB/SELL/Bt666.00/Target: Bt430.00) Positive on outlook ahead.
GREATER CHINA Results Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/HOLD/Rmb5.07/Target: Rmb5.30): 3Q22: Below expectations; lacklustre downstream demand and margin pressure to linger. Downgrade to HOLD. Estun Automation (002747 CH/HOLD/Rmb20.88/Target: Rmb21.50): 3Q22: Results beat on non-op items. Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food (603288 CH/HOLD/Rmb67.87/Target: Rmb72.30): 9M22: Slowdown in sales growth with dip in margins; downgrade to HOLD. Ping An Insurance Group (2318 HK/BUY/HK$33.50/Target: HK$58.39): ...
DELTA reported an impressive 3Q22 net profit of Bt4.1b (+244% yoy, -4% qoq). The results are 8% above our estimate and 12% above consensus’. Earnings beat our estimates on higher-than-expected revenue and lower-than-expected SG&A-to sales. Although we foresee strong earnings momentum from DELTA, we still recommend selling the stock as we believe it is overvalued. Maintain SELL. Target price: Bt430.00.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.