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Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

TKH Group/Saved by the HAL/BUY

On 17 December 2024, TKH's share price hit a low of €30.24. On 18 December it became clear that HAL Investments had acquired a 3.5% stake in TKH, and earlier this year HAL's stake rose to 5.2%. The share price stood at €37.48 a day before the FY24 results publication, reflecting a rise of 24%. TKH's results were broadly in line with our and consensus expectations and management expects revenue and EBITA to continue to grow organically in 2025, but warned for a slow 1Q25. The Subsea cable unit is...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group plc: Joining the buyback club. D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 8%, VW down 9.5%. Recticel: Miss on FY24 Adj. EBITDA, but solid order book. TKH Group: In line numbers, sees a weak 1Q25

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: 2H better, small miss on solvency, strong cash position. Azelis: Uneven organic recovery in 4Q24, strong on profitability. BE Semiconductor Industries: 4Q24 results – 2025 reset. Fagron: Strong organic growth momentum underlined by FY24 results and outlook. Kinepolis: Slight EBITDA, net debt miss 2H24. NN Group: Capital saved by the bell, rest in line. SBM Offshore: Strong outlook. TKH Group: Preview; the elephant in the room. VGP: Strong bottom line performance. Wolters Kluwer: ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: DIGI single mobile tariff, plans 2m FTTH connections; OBEL fights back. Euronext: Election fever. TKH Group: Wins a €200m subsea contract

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+3)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Lewi
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

TKH Group Revised projections after the recent setback

We lower our estimates after the weak 3Q24 results. Lower demand for 3D Machine vision drives lower FY24 estimates. We also lower revenue growth forecasts for FY25 and FY26 as we expect no strong recovery in the vision end markets. This has a negative impact on the margins given an operational deleverage effect. Modest changes in our Smart Manufacturing estimates as this segment performed as expected. The largest disappointment was in Smart Connectivity. We reduce revenues and margins due to low...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

TKH GROUP NV : Not 100% de-risked yet, estimates and TP lowered again

>Lowering estimates modestly, 2024 EBITA guidance still at risk - We have updated our estimates after the Q3 2024 earnings release, which disappointed and caused the full year EBITA guidance to be lowered, as we had feared. We are lowering our 2024-2026 sales estimates by 2%-3% and our 2024-2026 EBITAe by 3%, reflecting a continued cautious stance on Smart Vision and several businesses in Smart Connectivity. For 2024, we are now forecasting an EBITAe of €203m, which i...

Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

TKH Group/We can only change our expectations/BUY

TKH published yet another disappointing set of results. 3Q24 EBITA was around 16% below our forecast and TKH lowered its FY24 EBITA guidance by roughly 5% taking the mid-point of the guidance. Our previous forecasts were rather optimistic as we anticipated significantly higher revenue in the Connectivity division from offshore cable production, covering the already increased fixed cost base. But TKH had to postpone the ramp up of the new offshore wind cable factory in 3Q due to start-up issues. ...

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