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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Release of 1Q24 company-compiled consensus. AkzoNobel: Decent 1Q24 with 4% beat, FY guidance reiterated. Allfunds Group plc: On the verge. Barco: Weak 1Q24, more conservative wording on guidance. DWS: 1Q24 preview. Flow Traders: No respite in March. IMCD: Last hurdle before growth. Randstad: 1Q24 slight miss vs consensus, 2Q24 outlook below due to weak gross margin. TKH Group: Preview – a weak 1Q expected Vår Energi: Nice start to the year

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update April 2024: Adding TINC

We continue our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List with a 50/50 cyclical/defensive selection, but with a focus on value stocks that have been left behind. Defensive segment like holdings are overweight. However, in the Benelux we have a selection of cyclical industrials at cheap valuations that have often underperformed the market. We favour Benelux value stocks as even a mild recession typically hits growth stocks proportionally harder. We notice that some stocks have been hit hard by minor s...

TKH Group: 3 directors

Three Directors at TKH Group sold after exercising options/sold 55,409 shares at 38.050EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over ...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update March 2024 : Replacing UCB by Tubize

We replace UCB by Tubize in our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List. Over the past few weeks, UCB has seen a strong rally in its share price, markedly outperforming the BEL-20 index. The rally came on the back of renewed investor confidence in its flagship product Bimzelx, which gained FDA approval for psoriasis in October 2023 albeit with unexpected warnings and precautions. In the meantime, we see that commercial traction is growing in line with our expectations, as phyicians and caregivers ...

Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

TKH Group/Extended but classic costs before benefits story/BUY

We maintain our BUY rating and keep our target price unchanged at €52.00. Although tangible evidence of a recovery was absent in the FY23 results and short-term EBITA margin pressure remains present, we do believe the business is getting closer to the long-awaited ramp up of the new production capacity. The Vision unit faces tough comps in 1Q24, but a market recovery is imminent and very likely materialises in 2H24. The Manufacturing unit outpaced expectations, partly explained by an early deliv...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

TKH GROUP NV : Q4/2023 results fine but net debt a clear miss. Guidanc...

>Better than expected sales and EBITA in Q4 and 2023, net debt disappoints - TKH reported better than expected 2023 results. Q4 2023 sales beat css by 3%, leading to an in line 2023 sales level. EBITA in Q4 beat by 13% resulting in the full year EBITA beating css by 3% and this implied a 14.3% EBITA margin in Q4 versus 13.1% expected. Total EBITA for 2023 came in at €237m, which is at the higher end of the guided for range of €230m-240m) while TKH guided for the lower...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Econocom: Exclusive negotiations to sell maritime salvage group Les Abeilles. Exor: Now a long-term investor in Clarivate, Suzanne Heywood to be a board member. Kinepolis: Slow recovery in Feb box office revenue and attendance in US/Canada, France. Proximus: Telesign reportedly lays off three top executives. TKH Group: FY23 results in line, FY24 outlook sober

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
Michael Roeg
  • Michael Roeg

TKH Group - H2 beats modestly, guides for growth in FY24

H2-23 modestly beats on adj. EBITA and adj. net profit and on dividendBacklog stable y/y, guides for organic growth in sales and EBITA in 2024Margin target 2025 will take longer to reach, but that was widely expected by the sell-sideWe will fine-tune our estimates, TP and Buy rating reiterated

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Another beat, another $. Bekaert: FY23 EBITu and FCF beat, pausing of buyback might disappoint given strong BS. Belysse: Europe starting its revival. bpost: 4Q23 3% beat vs INGF (11% vs cons) driven by E-logistics Eurasia; FY24 outlook at 4-7% vs INGF ex Press impact. Corbion: Jam tomorrow. Heijmans: 2024 EBITDA guidance 30% above estimate. IMCD: As expected 4Q23. TKH Group: Preview; Eyes on 2024 outlook statements. Results Calendar

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

TKH GROUP NV : Preview 2023 results: 2023 targets likely to be met

>2023 guidance for EBITAe and adj. net profit to be met at low end of range - TKH will report 2023 results on March 5. We forecast 2023 sales of €1.83bn (company compiled css at €1.85bn), an EBITAe of €230m (in line with css and at the low end of the guidance of €230-€240m) and an adjusted net profit of €126.1m vs css of €126.8m (guidance of €126m to €134m). We are at the low end primarily due to a weak Smart Vision where we see (looking at what Zebra and Cognex repor...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2024 – Adding Syensqo

We continue with a balanced cyclical/defensive Dynamic Top Pick List, but with a focus on value stocks that have been left behind. Defensive segment like holdings are overweight. However, in the Benelux we have a selection of cyclical industrials at cheap valuations that have often underperformed the market. We favour Benelux value stocks as even a mild recession typically hits growth stocks proportionally harder. We notice that some stocks have been hit hard by minor set-backs. These could be m...

Emira Sagaama ... (+3)
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 01/24/2024

The ESG themes addressed during this year’s forum centred around the 3 “T”s: Transparency, with the implementation of the CSRD; Talent, a theme where the issues of attraction and retention are as relevant as ever; and Transition, with some companies in the process of adapting their business models to embrace sustainability-related topics. Our favorite ESG profiles are those of GEA Group, Intertek, Carbios, SPIE, Elis, UCB and, to a certain extent, Bekaert. - ...

Emira Sagaama ... (+3)
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 24/01/2024

Cette année, les thématiques ESG abordées lors du Forum se dessinent autour des 3 « T » : Transparence, avec la mise en œuvre de la CSRD, Talents : les enjeux d’attraction et de rétention restent prégnants ; Transition : un virage des modèles d’activité vers des thématiques de durabilité est engagé pour certains acteurs. Côté valeurs, nous apprécions le profil ESG de GEA Group, Intertek, Carbios, SPIE, Elis, UCB et dans une certaine mesure, Bekaert. - ...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

TKH GROUP NV : Small sensible acquisition for Airport, not so sensible...

>Adds airplane guidance equipment and software to the airport portfolio - TKH has announced the acquisition of JCAII, a Canadian provider of airplane guidance software and equipment that allows airports (and airlines) to improve the efficiency of the airport (and especially traffic to and from de-icing areas) by automatically directing aircraft. The company is based in Toronto and has 35 employees, most of which are focused on R&D and software development. Annualized ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASML: 4Q23 Results, impressive order intake. Barco: Launch of ClickShare Bar set to reignite growth. D'Ieteren: PHE refinancing to generate small savings. Staffing: Dutch figs 13: Dec23 volume, revenue indicate improvement, but is this real? TKH Group: Small acquisition, but helping CEDD

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