reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TL Food Retailers; AIRA LI; CZ Macro; HU Macro; APR PW; CA...
HEADLINES: • Turkish Food Retailers: entering a new era (BIM and Migros stay BUY, Sok Marketler downgraded to HOLD) • Air Astana Group: margins attracting rivals (downgraded to HOLD) • Czech Republic macro: September inflation rises as food inflation reaccelerates • Hungary macro: September inflation slows slightly more than expected • Auto Partner: September sales growth decelerates further, to a limited 5% yoy NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth slows down to 5% yoy, below our expect...
- Research Team
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OTKAR TI; OPL PW; TEN PW; HUG PW; GEKTERNA GA; CEZ CP; GEV...
HEADLINES: • Otokar: Romania selects Otokar for its giant military vehicle project POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: UKE has launched the 700/800MHz auction NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: 3Q24 bookings up 6% qoq POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: 3Q24 bookings down 7% qoq NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: takes over the Attiki Odos road concession, all eyes now on Egnatia POSITIVE • CEZ: has reportedly contracted an order for a 70MW PV plant POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: higher corporate tax rate approved by the government NEGATIVE •...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CAI AV (upgraded to BUY); OMV AV; TXT PW; Polish banks; Tü...
HEADLINES: • CA Immo: easing alleviates risks; stock at fair levels after dip (upgraded to HOLD) • OMV: force majeure lifted on Libyan oil exports POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 2Q24-25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Polish banks: FinMin on potential sector consolidation and bank tax changes • Türkiye macro: inflation declines to 49.4% yoy in September • European Oil and Gas Monthly: September 2024 - Brent, refining margins down • Wizz Air CMD: show me the money NEUTRAL
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CCC PW (stays BUY); TXT PW; DOM PW; MIL PW; Poland macro; ...
HEADLINES: • CCC: Shaq attaq (stays BUY) • Text: 2Q24-25 (calendar 3Q24) preliminary results - MRR of USD 7.04m (-0.4% qoq, +8.8% yoy) NEGATIVE • Dom Development: strong sales performance in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to set aside PLN 470m of FX mortgage provisions in 3Q24E, cost of credit holidays lower NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP extends the pause • GEVORKYAN: EUR 31m long-term contract in the defence industry xx POSITIVE • Cimsa: completes the acquisition of Mannok DAC POSITIVE • Dino P...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; BFT PW; PCF PW; Polish consumer staples; 11B PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: summer traffic in line, but consensus seems too bullish on earnings • Benefit Systems: net additions of 20k sport cards in 3Q24 POSITIVE • PCF Group: earnings call takeaways - Echo to be smaller than the other WFH projects NEUTRAL • Polish consumer staples: Netto plans to open 350 discount stores in Poland by 2028E NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: delays the release of The Alters to 1Q25E NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: September bookings estimate up 10% mom, but flat for the flagship ...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greece rebounds, elsewhere mostly ...
EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
KLKIM VERCOM SA
SHO KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
4071 SHOPER SA
TRESTATES ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
GEV TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
NOVAL GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR NOVAL PROPERTY
BANK OF CYPRUS
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KRU PW; CCC PW; VGO PW; KSPI US; HU Macro; 11B PW; ETE GA
HEADLINES: • Kruk: forging forward (stays BUY) • CCC: 2Q24 results a notch above prelims; positive trends maintained in 2Q24 POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: miss on adjusted EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • Kaspi.kz: issues response to short seller report • Hungary macro: MNB resumes the easing cycle • 11 bit studios: Frostpunk 2 falls to 20th position on Steam top seller list, player reviews recover marginally NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: HFSF to sell up to 12% of its stake
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Kruk: forging forward (stays BUY)
We have increased our annual investment scale to PLN 2.5bn, in the long term, up from PLN 2.3bn, leading to our 2024-25E net profit increases of c.8%. Higher investments for longer result in value creation in the medium term, as revenues build up slowly, but more sustainably in a debt-collecting business. We continue to see Kruk as a high-quality long-term growth story, and we see most of the upside coming from that angle. However, at the current valuation juncture, we also see Kruk as cheap, tr...
Votum S.A.: 1 director
A director at Votum S.A. bought 2,444 shares at 31.900PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LAMDA GA; CZG CP; PKN PW; VGO PW; KMGZ KZ; PCO PW
HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: 1H24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • Orlen: discussing possible deals for Grupa Azoty’s polyolefins business NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: signs a conditional agreement with the EIB for the financing of the HyperPIC project NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: begins construction of a polyethylene complex NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 4Q24E trading update preview (due on 26 September)
- Egor Fedorov
- Maureen Schuller
CEE bank bonds/Outperforming with a good case for more
The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: August 2024 – refining decline continues
Benchmark refining margins fell by USD 1.7/bbl in August to USD 8.6/bbl, continuing the trend of recent months. Falling petrol cracks were the main driver, although crude differentials are still a weakness. Petrochemicals margins have benefited from lower oil prices, but remain well below average levels.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CBF PW; SAR GA; VRC PW; EME Macro/Strategy – DE Macro; KZ ...
HEADLINES: • cyber_Folks: 2Q24 results review – 21% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 4% above our estimate POSITIVE • Sarantis: 1H24 EBITDA up 45% yoy, 8% ahead of our expectations; FY24E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Vercom: 2Q24 results review – 29% yoy EBITDA growth, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: reflections on the consequences of a weak Germany • Kazakhstan macro: Tokayev’s 2024 state-of-the-nation address • Türkiye macro: GDP underperforms in 2Q • 4iG: key takeaways from ...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Czech PX index in positive te...
EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BOCH LN; BHW PW; TXT PW; SFG RO; M RO; ELPE GA; MBR PW; NO...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: room for further rerating (stays BUY) • Bank Handlowy: writes down remaining goodwill on retail banking fully in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • Text: 1Q24-25 (calendar 2Q24) results – EBITDA down 2% yoy, but 5% above the consensus POSITIVE • Sphera Group: strong 2Q24 results, as expected NEUTRAL • MedLife: 2Q24 confirms operational earnings recovery, net profits still weak NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q24 results – weak net income, due to one-off costs NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings cal...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KRU PW; EUR PW; ACP PW; 11B PW; GPP PW; ONE RO; WPL PW; TE...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 2Q24 results – recently-announced miss caused by higher costs and negative revaluations in Spain NEUTRAL • Eurocash: weak 2Q24 across the board NEGATIVE • Asseco Poland: 2Q24 review – net profit down 10% yoy, 7% above the consensus POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 2Q24 adjusted EBITDA slightly below our expectations, but bottom line boosted by associates NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA flat yoy, 2% above the market consensus; bottom-line miss on revaluation of...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; MONET CP; TEN PW; WPL PW; MBR PW; ELPE GA; MOH GA...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: awaiting a NII inflection point (stays BUY) • MONETA Money Bank: valuation prices in higher ROE and strong yield (stays HOLD) • Ten Square Games: 2Q24 adjusted EBITDA 16% above our forecast; TEN confirms mom bookings recovery in July POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: new tenders for ecological bombs decommissioning on the market NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q24E results previe...
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