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Jacob Mekhael ... (+5)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

VGP Model update, recurrent EPS increases with pipeline acceleration

At the 10m25 update, VGP gave optimistic guidance on its pipeline and JV closings as it completes projects over 2H25 and 1H26. VGP differs from most REITS due to its JV-structure. Initially it develops for its own portfolio and recycles the capital afterwards by selling into a JV. Hence, VGP realises valuation gains in 2 stages. First, at the start of the asset construction as an unrealised gain estimated by experts (not included in EPRA EPS). Secondly, as the asset is transferred to a JV on the...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Switch on the Robots Automation and Energy Investments in Logistic/Ind...

Automation and Energy investments increase the value per sqm of landbank. Tenants are inclined to sign longer lease contracts to protect their significant investments. We expect to see more large warehouse automation projects over the next 12-18 months as the ROI increases thanks to technological innovations. The decision process seems to take longer due to the size of the investments. We believe the logistic segment offers an interesting investment opportunity. WDP trades at only 3% premium...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Montea Model Update for pipeline delays, no change to Target Price

Montea operates by the rule, “no tenant, no building” and almost completely avoids speculative development. On the recent analyst call, CEO JO De Wolf explained that speculative development remains possible if a single building is already more than 50% pre-let and is located in a sought after area. Currently, Montea has 322k of permitted land ready to start construction and is in exclusive negotiations for a large part of it. These take longer due to the size and complexity of new projects on a...

 PRESS RELEASE

ARGAN prépare son prochain refinancement obligataire et signe un empru...

ARGAN prépare son prochain refinancement obligataire et signe un emprunt dit bridge-to-bond de 500 M€ Communiqué de presse – Neuilly-sur-Seine, mardi 18 novembre 2025 – 8h00 ARGAN prépare son prochain refinancement obligataire et signe un emprunt dit bridge-to-bond de 500 M€ ARGAN prépare activement son refinancement obligataire de 2026 et annonce la signature d’un contrat de crédit court terme bridge-to-bond loan de 500 M€, conclu avec un pool bancaire emmené par J.P. Morgan, aux côtés du Crédit Agricole CIB, de BNP Paribas et de la Société Générale. Un financement court-terme de ...

 PRESS RELEASE

ARGAN is preparing for its upcoming bond refinancing and signed a brid...

ARGAN is preparing for its upcoming bond refinancing and signed a bridge-to-bond loan for €500 million Press release – Neuilly-sur-Seine, Tuesday, November 18, 2025 – 8.00 am ARGAN is preparing for its upcoming bond refinancing and signed a bridge-to-bond loan for €500 million ARGAN is actively preparing for its 2026 bond refinancing and thus announced today the signing of a short-term credit contract for a bridge-to-bond loan in an amount of €500 million, with a banking pool led by J.P. Morgan, along Crédit Agricole CIB, BNP Paribas and Société Générale. A short-term financing in ...

Michiel Vereycken
  • Michiel Vereycken

WDP/Model update – appealing valuation and ample room to accelerate/BU...

We fine-tune our estimates on the back of the recent results, and we confirm our positive stance. We are confident about WDP's ability to deliver its 2027 targets (and so is consensus). For the coming quarters, the effort will be on pipeline execution with all projects already secured (and funded) to reach its ambitions. Expansion in France has been sizeable so far (7.6% of the portfolio), but Germany is still a difficult market to enter. Going ahead with development projects makes sense economi...

 PRESS RELEASE

ARGAN et DIMOLOG inaugurent officiellement le nouveau site logistique ...

ARGAN et DIMOLOG inaugurent officiellement le nouveau site logistique AutOnom® de Bain-de-Bretagne Communiqué de presse – Neuilly-sur-Seine, jeudi 13 novembre 2025 – 18h30 ARGAN et DIMOLOG inaugurent officiellement le nouveau site logistique AutOnom® de Bain-de-Bretagne Quelques mois après la livraison du site logistique AutOnom® de Bain-de-Bretagne, ARGAN, foncière française spécialisée dans le développement et la location d’entrepôts Premium, et son locataire DIMOLOG, ont récemment célébré son inauguration officielle lors d’une cérémonie conviviale réunissant près d’une cent...

 PRESS RELEASE

ARGAN and DIMOLOG officially inaugurated the new AutOnom® logistics si...

ARGAN and DIMOLOG officially inaugurated the new AutOnom® logistics site in Bain-de-Bretagne Press release – Neuilly-sur-Seine, Thursday, November 13, 2025 – 6.30 pm ARGAN and DIMOLOG officially inaugurated the new AutOnom® logistics site in Bain-de-Bretagne A few months after the delivery of the AutOnom® logistics site in Bain-de-Bretagne, ARGAN — the French real estate company specializing in the development and rental of premium warehouses — and its tenant DIMOLOG officially celebrated its inauguration during a friendly ceremony that brought together nearly one hundred partici...

Francesca Ferragina ... (+2)
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Michiel Vereycken

Montea/Delivering with no surprises – model update/HOLD

3Q25 results were good with a solid 3.3% organic rent performance and recurring EPS up 8% YoY. Guidance is reconfirmed; the company is fully focused on delivering its 2027 plan on which we have good visibility considering that c.80% of the investments are secured. While rent dynamics give us comfort so far (driven mainly by indexation), we would like to see more evidence regarding demand for new developments coming. Besides the pipeline, more action on the investment front in Germany or France (...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

CTP Conference Call lifts the lid on Vietnam expansion

The conference call explained that the FY25 EPRA EPS range will be at lower end of 0.86-0.88 due the cancellation of a Romanian deal. This deal was baked into the estimates and would have amounted to a €250m deal. Our estimate stands at 0.86 anyway. The cancellation could be linked to Romania's newly enforced Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) screening. CTP now commands a 40% market share in Romania. A lot of attention in the call was spent on the unknown Vietnam potential for CTP. CTP will publis...

Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/06/2025

Coty: Q1 earnings down sharply as expected, slightly more optimistic guidance for Q2|NIH attempts risky return to primary market|Sappi: EBITDA plummets in Q4 and the situation is unlikely to improve in the short term|Worldline presents its transformation plan and plans a capital increase of € 500m|Air Baltic: a new liquidity injection seems unavoidable|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 06/11/2025

Coty : Résultats T1 en net repli comme attendu, guidance légèrement plus optimiste pour le T2|NIH tente un retour risqué sur le marché primaire|Sappi : l’EBITDA s’effondre au T4 et la situation ne devrait pas s’arranger à court-terme|Worldline présente son plan de transformation et compte réaliser une augmentation de capital de 500 m EUR|Air Baltic: a new liquidity injection seems unavoidable|

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Snam, Veolia, Engie, CTP, Vonovia, SES, BT...

Utilities: Snam posted robust 9M25 financials, Veolia 9M25 results show continued strong growth, Engie weak 9M25 results – spread tightening limited. Telecom: SES reports weak 3Q25 earnings, BT reports soft 1H26 results, Swisscom 3Q25 results look mixed, Telecom Italia reports solid 3Q25 results, KPN guides for somewhat higher leverage. Real Estate: CTP 9M25 - robust operating trends, Vonovia 9M25 - guidance confirmed

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