reports
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Jerôme Bodin
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
BON BONDUELLE SCA
ADV ADVA AG OPTICAL NETWORKING
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
ROVI LABORATORIOS FARMACEUTICOS ROVI S.A.
VGP VGP NV
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
FNTN FREENET AG
ALFEN ALFEN NV
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
IVG IVECO GROUP
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Jerôme Bodin
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
BON BONDUELLE SCA
ADV ADVA AG OPTICAL NETWORKING
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
ROVI LABORATORIOS FARMACEUTICOS ROVI S.A.
VGP VGP NV
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
FNTN FREENET AG
ALFEN ALFEN NV
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
IVG IVECO GROUP
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
VGP NV : 10M 2024 trading update: a minor slowdown in leasing; a small...
>Leasing decelerated slightly, projects U/C and pre-letting up slightly - New and renewed leases: € 64.9m (H1 2024: €45.6m) for 10M24, of which €39.6 new leases, €8.1m indexation, €1.1m amendments and 5.4m in termination, bringing the annualised committed leases to €394.3m (H1 2024: € 384.7m), up +12.4% YoY (H1 2024: up +17.3%). In addition, VGP agreed for >€16m in rental income on new leases since 31 October 2024, increasing annualised leases to >€410m to date (+16.8...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
VGP 10m Results, pre-let recovers to 76% in November
The 10m24 statement came in line with our estimates on new developments. The important data point of pre-let% in the pipeline recovered from 70.1% at the 1H24 to 72.5% at 10m24, but already increased to 76.3% after signing additional leases for 16m since. The market recently panicked on negative economic news, mainly on GE. We believe that the market anticipates a further decline in Pre-let, which is not the case. VGP re-accelerated its development activity to new geographies like Spain and Ita...
VGP Trading Update
VGP Trading Update PRESS RELEASERegulated Information – inside information 8 November 2024, 7:00 am, Antwerp, Belgium: VGP NV (‘VGP’ or ‘the Group’) today published its trading update for the first ten months of ‘24, reporting a record of new and renewed leases: € 64.9 million of new and renewed leases signed during the first ten months of ‘24 (a YTD record, of which € 19.2 million was signed during the past 4 months) bringing the annualised committed leases for the first ten months to € 394.3 million1 (+ € 43.5 million compared to 31 December 2023, which is +12.4% YTD). In add...
VGP Trading Update
VGP Trading Update PERSBERICHT Gereguleerde Informatie - Voorwetenschap 8 november 2024, 7:00 uur, Antwerpen, België: VGP NV ('VGP' of 'de Groep') heeft vandaag haar handelsupdate voor de eerste tien maanden van 2024 gepubliceerd, waarin zij een record aan nieuwe en vernieuwde huurovereenkomsten rapporteert: In de eerste 10 maanden werd voor € 64,9 miljoen aan nieuwe en vernieuwde huurovereenkomsten ondertekend (een YTD record, waarvan € 19,2 miljoen in de afgelopen 4 maanden werd getekend), waardoor het jaarlijkse gecontracteerde huurinkomen op € 394,3 miljoen1 komt...
- Christophe Chaput
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : The recovery is only beginning and the best is yet to come
The rate cut carried out and yet to come (ECB: -125bp to -150bp to come by end-2025e) is a real driver for listed real estate and creates the conditions enabling it to outperform. In this context, we are lifting 23 target prices for the 42 stocks covered. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing are now our Top Picks. Aedifica (Outperform vs Neutral) should also benefit. Lastly, we are lowering Care Property to Neutral and SFL to Underperform. - >...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Christophe Chaput
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : La reprise ne fait que commencer et le meilleur est à venir
La baisse de taux actée et à venir (BCE : -125 à 150 pb à venir d’ici fin 2025e) agit comme un véritable catalyseur pour l’immobilier côté et crée les conditions lui permettant de surperformer. Dans ce cadre, nous relevons 23 objectifs de cours sur 42 valeurs suivies. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing constituent désormais nos top picks. Aedifica (Surperformance vs Neutre) devrait également en bénéficier. Enfin, nous abaissons Care Property à N...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
VGP NV: Voting Rights and Denominator
VGP NV: Voting Rights and Denominator Press ReleaseRegulated InformationAntwerp, 1 October 2024– 7.00 a.m. CET In application of Article 15 of the Law of May 2, 2007 on the disclosure of major shareholdings in issuers whose shares are admitted for trading on a regulated market, VGP publishes, by means of a press release and on its website, the total share capital, the total number of securities with voting rights and the total number of voting rights at the latest at the end of each month in which any of these numbers has changed. Situation as at 30 September 2024: Total share capital:€ 1...
VGP NV: Stemrechten en Noemer
VGP NV: Stemrechten en Noemer PersberichtGereglementeerde informatieAntwerpen, 1 oktober 2024, 07:00 CET In toepassing van artikel 15 van de wet van 2 mei 2007 op de openbaarmaking van belangrijke deelnemingen in emittenten waarvan aandelen zijn toegelaten tot de verhandeling op een gereglementeerde markt, publiceert VGP door middel van een persbericht en op haar website het totaal kapitaal, het totaal aantal stemrechtverlenende effecten en het totale aantal stemrechten uiterlijk op het einde van elke maand waarin één van deze aantallen is gewijzigd. Situatie op 30 september 2024: Totaal ...
- Wim Lewi
VGP EPRA property tour to Berlin Ludwigsfelde
We visited Lidl and Zalando warehouse on the VGP Berlin park Ludwigsfelde (216k sqm). These are standard buildings of 12m high and 7 ton floor. Interestingly, there is a lot of manual labour, with an estimated 80% of labour coming out of Poland. The Polish border is 100km away and workers stay the week nearby in local housing to go back home for the weekend. The Ludwigsfelde site is about 20km out of Berlin on the A10, a big industrial artery (Tesla, etc…). VGP bought the land in 2014 and is st...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Lewi
VGP’s ‘BBB-’ Credit Rating Reaffirmed by Fitch Ratings
VGP’s ‘BBB-’ Credit Rating Reaffirmed by Fitch Ratings PRESS RELEASE Regulated Information Antwerp, Belgium, 4 September 2024 (07.00 a.m. CET) VGP NV (‘VGP’ or ‘the Group’), a European provider of high-quality logistics and semi-industrial real estate, has had its credit rating reaffirmed by the Rating Agency Fitch Ratings (‘Fitch’). Fitch has reaffirmed the credit rating for VGP NV with a Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) and senior unsecured rating at 'BBB-'. The Outlook on the rating is Stable. Fitch stated: “The ratings reflect VGP’s continued discipline in managing dev...
VGP's 'BBB-' Kredietrating Herbevestigd door Fitch Ratings
VGP's 'BBB-' Kredietrating Herbevestigd door Fitch Ratings PERSBERICHT Gereglementeerde informatie Antwerpen, België, 4 september 2024 (07.00 a.m. CET) VGP NV ('VGP' of 'de Groep'), een Europese aanbieder van hoogstaand logistiek en semi-industrieel vastgoed, heeft zijn kredietrating herbevestigd gekregen van het ratingbureau Fitch Ratings ('Fitch'). Fitch heeft de kredietrating voor VGP NV met een 'Long-Term Issuer Default Rating' (IDR) en 'Senior Unsecured Rating' op 'BBB-' nogmaals bevestigd. Het vooruitzicht van de rating is stabiel. Fitch zei: “De ratings weersp...
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
VGP VGP NV
NSI NSI N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
EBUS EBUSCO HLDG NV
CTPNV CTP NV
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