HEADLINES: * Romania: latest political developments and implications * Turkey macro: Erdogan's victory does not change TRY weakness * CEE macro: lots of headwinds still ahead * CEZ: CZK 33/share dividend approved, Babis controls supervisory board NEUTRAL * Polish gencos: regulator to revise Quality of Service benchmarks POSITIVE * LiveChat Software: revises FY17-18 EBITDA result NEUTRAL * PKO BP/Bank Pekao: PFR asks state-controlled banks to participate in Pesa restructur...
On Saturday (23 June), the commercial court in Vienna recorded the resolution approving the 10:1 reverse stock split in the company’s register. Effective as of Saturday, Immofinanz’s number of shares has dropped from 1,120,852,699 to 112,085,269 shares.
EME Equity Market – May 2018 Market performance – only Russia in positive territory, while Athens the worst performer. The MSCI EME lost 2% mom in May, continuing the negative trend after April’s 3.2% contraction. The best performer for May was the Russian MOEX index, which outperformed its peers (+4.6%). All the other indices were in negative territory: the Greek ASE realised the largest drop (-11.9%); Budapest’s BUX lost 9.7%; the Turkish ISE30 was down 9.4%; the Warsaw WIG20 fell 7.3%...
HEADLINES: * Polish retailers: FX wind of change (CCC stays BUY, LPP stays SELL) * Immofinanz: 1Q18 – miss on higher overhead costs, driven by EUR 4m bonus for management NEGATIVE * Piraeus Bank: sale of corporate NPL portfolio to Bain Capital POSITIVE * Bank of Cyprus: reassuring first quarter * Ciech: 1Q18 - a very predictable quarter, continuation of negative dynamics NEUTRAL * Lotos: proposes PLN 1 DPS NEUTRAL * Cyfrowy Polsat: recommends no dividend from 2017 NI NE...
IMMOFINANZ AG (AT), a company active in the Real Estate Holding & Development industry, now shows a lower overall rating. The independent financial analyst theScreener just confirmed the fundamental rating of 3 stars out of 4, as well as the stock market behaviour of the title as moderately risky. However, environmental deterioration penalises the general evaluation, which is downgraded to Neutral. As of the analysis date May 18, 2018, the closing price was EUR 2.10 and its expected value was es...
HEADLINES: * Isbank: 1Q18 wrap up - a mixed bag, with a beat, one-offs and a major accounting change NEUTRAL * ANY PLC: 1Q18 results review - strong revenue performance mitigated by lower profitability NEUTRAL * Pfleiderer: management recommends PLN 1.2 DPS NEUTRAL * Immofinanz: shareholders vote to appoint a special auditor to investigate sale of Moscow malls NEUTRAL * Cyfrowy Polsat: receives antimonopoly office approval for Netia acquisition NEUTRAL * MedLife: 1Q18E preview...
EME Equity Market – April 2018 Market performance – ASE gained the most in April, while the ISE30 lost the most. The MSCI EME dropped by 3.2% mom in EUR terms. The ASE index (+10% mom) reported the largest rate of return, followed by the Polish WIG20 index (+2.9%), and the BUX (+2.7% mom); while the Turkish ISE30 lost -10.4% mom, followed by the Russian MICEX (-6.3% mom), and the Czech PX index (-1.4% mom). The Romanian BET index stayed fairly flat (-0.1% mom).
HEADLINES: * Atrium: steady as she goes (stays HOLD) * AmRest: 1Q18 sales at EUR 348m, up 31% yoy (also 31% in LC), 14.5% growth excluding M&A POSITIVE * Lenta: 1Q sales up 20% yoy on 6.1% lfl (mainly on ticket growth) POSITIVE * X5: 1Q sales growth slows to 20% yoy on eroding lfl (only 0.6%, as traffic was negative) NEGATIVE * Sarantis: new guidance for 2018E reassuring POSITIVE * Hellenic Petroleum: to accept bid for DESFA POSITIVE * Immofinanz: starts bidding process fo...
HEADLINES: * Sberbank: first look after new sanctions - stay on the sidelines * Turkey politics: early presidential elections * Eurocash: sales at small stores jump 9% yoy in March, according to CMR POSITIVE * Prime Car Management: mediocre fleet growth in 1Q18 NEUTRAL * Immofinanz: spends EUR 390m buying 29% of S-Immo from Benko and Pecik NEGATIVE * Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q18E preview - solid results, in spite of SCT impact in Turkey (due on 3 May) NEUTRAL * Short News (PLY,...
Immofinanz has announced that it has purchased 19.5m bearer shares (29.14%) of S-Immo, from RPR group and Signa Group (controlled by Mr. Pecik and Benko, respectively), at EUR 20.0/share (EUR 390.0m). We interpret the transaction as a defensive move by Immofinanz, which is buying out an activist shareholder, who could, via S-Immo, potentially try to take control over Immofinanz.
HEADLINES: * Sphera: like a bat out of hell (HOLD - initiation of coverage) * Fourlis: all eyes on IKEA (stays BUY) * Aselsan: CEO retires (unexpected and potentially negative) * Kernel: 3Q FY18 operations - negative dynamics & inventory build-up continue, but 4Q outlook strong NEUTRAL * Inter Cars: 4Q17 results - weak gross margin, but SG&A drop and destocking improves cash flow NEUTRAL * CA Immo/Immofinanz: Starwood publishes takeover offer for CAI and IIA NEUTRAL * BZ ...
HEADLINES: * Polish banks: shifting down a gear (PKO BP, Pekao, BZ WBK, mBank, ING BSK, Handlowy, Alior Bank, Millennium, Getin Noble Bank) * Turk Telekom: executing a five-year plan well (BUY - transfer of coverage) * Turkcell: aiming to build its own digital ecosystem (HOLD - transfer of coverage) * Emlak Konut: tenders Istanbul Barkikoy Florya RSM project for 2.17x POSITIVE * Enka Insaat: increases capital by 8.7% NEUTRAL * Immofinanz: proposes vote on a reverse share s...
HEADLINES: * Nostrum Oil & Gas: starting a new chapter (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) * Greece macro: refreshingly boring? * Immofinanz: 4Q17 - predictably weak, but positive underlying momentum driven by growing occupancy NEUTRAL * Dom Development: sells 848 units in 1Q18, up 5% yoy NEUTRAL * PKP Cargo: agreement for locomotive renovation with Newag NEUTRAL * The Rear-View Mirror - CEE markets: Romanian index the top performer in March
HEADLINES: * Dom Development: riding the peak (HOLD - initiation of coverage) * Turkish automotive: green light for Tofas (DOAS stays BUY; FROTO stays HOLD; TOASO upgraded to BUY) * CA Immo/Immofinanz: Starwood Capital bids for CAI (EUR 27.5/share) and IIA (EUR 2.10/share) POSITIVE * CD Projekt: 4Q17 better on The Witcher sales, Gwent no surprises NEUTRAL * Cyfrowy Polsat: 4Q17 results - operating results in line, miss on the NI due to tax one-off NEUTRAL * Medicalgorithmics:...
EME Equity Market – February 2018 Market performance –Moscow the regional top performer in February. In February, the MSCI EME lost 1.1% mom in EUR terms, vs. the 6.6% gain in the previous month. The largest rate of return in February was realised by the MICEX, up 2.1%, followed by Bucharest’s BET (+0.9% mom) and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.7%). The other regional indices ended the month in negative territory, with Warsaw’s WIG20 recording the largest drop (-7.9%) and Budapest’s BUX followin...
HEADLINES: * Bank of Cyprus: market not convinced, but we are (stays BUY) * CA Immo: 4Q17 results - another strong quarter, FFO guidance suggests upside for our forecasts POSITIVE * Bizim Toptan: 4Q17 results - restructuring-heavy year ends on a high note POSITIVE * Aeroflot: 4Q17 results - a return to positive dynamics earlier than we expected POSITIVE * Dogus Oto: 4Q17 review - good operational print, but miss on bottom line; surprise dividend payout POSITIVE * Jeronimo Mart...
Immofinanz has announced that it is suspending the merger process with CA Immo, based on the supervisory board’s decision at the meeting held today. According to the statement, the company no longer expects the merger to take place in 2018. According to the press release, Immofinanz is also evaluating other options, including the disposal of the shares. Separately, the company announced a preliminary extension of the contract with CFO Stefan Schonauer, until 30 April 2021. We expect the share...
The last two months of 2016 brought (predictably) weak results for Immofinanz (IIA). The FFO, depressed by elevated expenses related to the ongoing refurbishment of properties, amounted to -EURÂ 9.9m for the two months (when not including the large positive current income taxes in the calculation). Also, the company booked yet another write-off of its Russian assets, whose value now stands just a touch above EURÂ 1.0bn. That said, the figures have come in broadly in line with our expectations, b...
Following the refinancing steps announced on Thursday evening (12 January), Immofinanz shares were under strong pressure on Friday (13 January), closing 6.6% lower than the Thursday close on heavy volumes, as some 30m shares were traded during the session, over 10x the daily average.
Immofinanz has reported another set of weak results for 2Q16. While there has been some positive momentum in some of the cost lines (with lower property expenses, driven by lower taxes and declining vacancy costs), the underlying FFO was still very low (if we annualise the FFO I reported by Immofinanz, we get a c1.6% yield on the current share price), as Russia and, to a degree, office vacancy, still continued to weigh on the top line. While the resulting poor profitability was widely expected, ...
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