Sinopharm reported in-line 2025 results, with revenue down 1.6% yoy and adjusted net earnings up slightly by 1.5% yoy. We anticipate that the company will post relatively mild revenue and earnings growth in 2026, as the ongoing GPO/VBP procurement programmes for drugs and medical devices are likely to continue weighing on revenue and profit margins amid persistent budget constraints of the social medical insurance scheme. Maintain HOLD. Lower target price to HK$18.50 to factor in the considerabl...
Greater China Company Results | China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$24.02/Target: HK$30.30) CR Beer reported 2025 revenue of Rmb37,985m (-2% yoy). Adjusted EBITDA reached Rmb9,879m (+10% yoy). In 2H25, beer sales volume rose 0.4% but ASP declined 5%, due to proactive promotions. Management sees positive effects from the proactive adjustments, with both volume and ASP recording growth in 2M26. Management remains cautiously optimistic about the impending peak season. For the baijiu business, we e...
Top Stories Company Results | China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$24.02/Target: HK$30.30) CR Beer reported 2025 revenue of Rmb37,985m (-2% yoy). Adjusted EBITDA reached Rmb9,879m (+10% yoy). In 2H25, beer sales volume rose 0.4% but ASP declined 5%, due to proactive promotions. Management sees positive effects from the proactive adjustments, with both volume and ASP recording growth in 2M26. Management remains cautiously optimistic about the impending peak season. For the baijiu business, we ex...
The HSHCI fell 7.2%, underperforming the HSI which decreased 4.4% in 1-13 Mar 26. We believe the weak performance of the healthcare sector was mainly due to the rising geopolitical tension in the Middle East triggering risk-averse sentiment, coupled with the US’ new investigation into the China biotech industry. The China biopharma segment continues to see robust out-licensing deals. Becoming an emerging pillar industry, the biopharma segment will likely receive more policy and resources support...
Greater China Economics | Money Supply Feb 26 money and credit data came in above expectations, helped by the Chinese New Year effect and better new bank credit and TSF at Rmb0.90t and Rmb2.38t respectively. This lifted M2 growth to 9.0% yoy, while M1 growth came in at 5.9% yoy. While the 2M26 data was above market expectations, the credit cycle is not in an upswing, as total credit growth edged lower to 6.0% yoy, and TSF growth stayed flat at 8.2% yoy. Sector Update | Healthcare The HSH...
The HSHCI fell by 4.0%, underperforming the HSI which decreased mildly by 0.3% in 16-27 Feb 26. AI-related names such as InSilico, Xtalpi, Medlive, Ali Health, and JD Health experienced the largest fluctuation and significant declines during this period. As globalisation gains momentum, we navigate the complexities of global market dynamics and competition. Chinese healthcare companies are making significant breakthroughs and seizing a growing share of the international market, while the increas...
Greater China Economics | Money Supply M0 growth was weaker in Jan 26 due to Chinese New Year effects, while M2 growth rose to 9.0% yoy, the highest since 2023. New bank loans surged to Rmb4.71t and new TSF rose to Rmb7.22t, both above consensus forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth fell to a record-low 6.1% yoy, highlighting fragile underlying credit demand despite strong front-loaded lending. Sector Update | Healthcare HSHCI rose 1.8%, outperforming the HSI, which declined b...
In the first two weeks of Jan 26, Chinese healthcare stocks saw impressive share price increases. Fuelled by AI healthcare themes, Dian Diagnostics soared by 83.0%, while Ali Health and Medlive rose by 42.0% and 37.5% respectively. Expectations of strong revenue and earnings growths in 2026 also led to significant share price increases of 10-30% for drug innovators and CRDMO leaders. China’s healthcare sector will continue to outperform in 2026. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Economics | Money Supply December’s monetary data was mixed. M1 growth slowed further to 3.8% yoy, slightly below expectations, while M2 growth improved to 8.5% yoy on stronger time deposits growth. On a positive note, new bank loans rebounded to Rmb0.91t, mainly driven by corporate and government borrowing, and new TSF also beat forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth stayed at a year-low of 6.4% yoy and TSF growth eased to 8.3% yoy, underscoring still-fragile credit ...
The sector experienced a fruitful year of innovation in 2025, and we expect globalisation and improving operating efficiency to continue to drive rapid earnings growth for drug innovators and CRO leaders from 2026 onwards. Seeing strong online demand, internet healthcare players are likely to sustain solid revenue and earnings expansion in 2026. We also anticipate that domestic medical device manufacturers will experience a gradual sales growth recovery, fuelled by technological advancements and...
Greater China Sector Update | Healthcare The sector experienced a fruitful year of innovation in 2025, and we expect globalisation and improving operating efficiency to continue to drive rapid earnings growth for drug innovators and CRO leaders from 2026 onwards. Seeing strong online demand, internet healthcare players are likely to sustain solid revenue and earnings expansion in 2026. We also anticipate that domestic medical device manufacturers will experience a gradual sales growth recove...
China healthcare stocks were relatively weak during the first two weeks of Dec 25 as investors took profits, particularly for internet healthcare and drug innovator names. Fundamentals remain solid, supported by the new commercial insurance policy, lower costs of capital, and robust pipelines. Despite rising competition in areas like generics, GLP-1 drugs and surgical robots, companies continue to advance towards sustainable growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are BeOne Medicines, Hansoh ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
Most Chinese healthcare stock prices fell along with the weak Hang Seng Index in the past two weeks. The share prices of leading drug innovators, however, have remained relatively stable. We expect drug innovators to continue to outperform, supported by possible further lowering of interest rates, increasing innovative product launches, and globalisation efforts. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks and GPO and other policy uncertainties will remain as key risks amid the recovery for CROs, medical serv...
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
After a significant pullback over the past two months, most Chinese healthcare stock prices have stabilised and are beginning to regain strength. Major biopharmaceuticals are leading the recovery supported by their strong 9M25 results. We expect the momentum to continue, given improving fundamentals across sub-segments. Moreover, the lower cost of capital, continuous innovation and globalisation efforts, and supportive policies eg new Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug List, will suppor...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C an...
Sinopharm reported in-line 9M25 results, with revenue down 2.5% yoy and adjusted net earnings up slightly by 0.5% yoy. The company has continued to cut costs and improve operating efficiency, leading to significant improvements in margins and adjusted earnings growth in 3Q25. As an industry leader, Sinopharm expects to benefit from the continued market consolidation and policy changes in the longer term. Upgrade to HOLD with a higher target price of HK$20.00.
Greater China Company Results | China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.75 /Target: HK$2.06) CR Building Mat Tech’s 9M25 results were below expectations, with earnings up 7.3% yoy to Rmb331m on lower coal costs. Weather disruptions weighed on 3Q25 cement sales volume, while Guangdong prices stayed soft. Aggregates turned loss-making, prompting capex cuts. Management guided 2025 sales of 55m tonnes (-10.9% yoy) and highlighted a planned capacity-exit fund as a medium-term ...
Top Stories Company Results | CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$17.04/Target: HK$20.30) CMOC’s 9M25 net profit rose 72.6% yoy to Rmb14,279.7m, driven by higher copper prices and a record output of 543,000 tonnes (+14.1% yoy). Gross margin expanded to 22.0% (+4.3ppt yoy) on stronger copper and cobalt prices, while the DRC export quota continued to constrain cobalt sales. KFM Phase 2 will add around 100,000 tonnes to copper capacity by 2027. We maintain BUY on CMOC with a higher target price of HK$20.30. Com...
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