Sinopharm’s 2023 revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders grew 8.0% yoy and 6.2% yoy respectively, in line with our and consensus’ 2023 estimates. We believe its steady revenue growth target in 2024 is highly achievable as the company makes continued efforts in improving its business structure and operating efficiency. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$25.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ENN Energy Holdings (2688 HK/HOLD/HK$61.45/Target: HK$69.21) 2023: In line; challenging path ahead. Downgrade to HOLD. Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$5.60/Target: HK$8.20) 2023: Results in line; store opening and SSSG to decelerate in 2024. Q Technology Group (1478 HK/HOLD/ HK$3.03/Target: HK$3.30) 2023: Earnings miss due to non core items, but the worst is over. Sinopharm Group (1099 HK/BUY/HK$20.40/Target: HK$25.00) 2023: Results in line; expe...
GREATER CHINA Results ENN Energy Holdings (2688 HK/HOLD/HK$61.45/Target: HK$69.21): 2023: In line; challenging path ahead. Downgrade to HOLD. Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$5.60/Target: HK$8.20): 2023: Results in line; store opening and SSSG to decelerate in 2024. Q Technology Group (1478 HK/HOLD/ HK$3.03/Target: HK$3.30): 2023: Earnings miss due to non core items, but the worst is over. Sinopharm Group (1099 HK/BUY/HK$20.40/Target: HK$25.00): 2023: Results in line; expecting s...
China’s draft plan is expected to develop a more efficient and supportive ecosystem for drug innovation. We believe the government will support the development of a stronger and more innovative healthcare industry by providing more financial and regulatory resources in the next few years. Facing political headwinds, leading CRDMO players may benefit from the brighter outlook of China’s healthcare industry in the longer term. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China’s healthcare sector.
China’s healthcare industry has experienced a slump in stock prices due to weak market sentiment. Our channel check indicates that the industry is generally in good shape and has become increasingly innovative. Most healthcare companies are improving their operating efficiency and expecting to generate stronger revenue and/or earnings growth in 2024. The recent sell-off has made valuations more attractive. BUY on weakness. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Easing pressure from the anti-corruption campaign will result in stronger sales growth for medical products. Moreover, after years of persistent R&D efforts, many Chinese biopharmaceutical companies now expect a fruitful year of innovation in 2024. In addition, potential US interest rate cuts will also provide liquidity for R&D investment and support the development of biotech and CRO segments in 2024. We expect a brighter outlook in 2024. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Sinopharm’s 9M23 revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders grew 9.7% yoy and 4.1% yoy respectively, below our and consensus’ 2023 estimates. It expects to maintain steady revenue expansion in 2023, and emerging businesses will become new growth drivers. It also made continued efforts in improving cash flow management. We cut our 2023-25 revenue growth estimates to factor in the possible impact from the weak business environment. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$25.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly Pet food exports on track for recovery; beneficiary: Yantai China Pet Food. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$246.20/Target: HK$630.00) 3Q23: Earnings up 82% yoy and 53% qoq, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$630.00. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$4.48/Target: HK$6.00) 3Q23: Results in line; earnings up 2.6% on lower credit costs. China Merchants Bank Co. (3968 HK/BUY/HK$30.30/Target: HK$45.00) 3Q23: Results miss; longer wait ne...
Despite the weak global funding environment for biotech, companies have shown persistent efforts in pursuing innovation and globalisation. Moreover, regular academic conferences have gradually returned, supporting stronger sales momentum in 4Q23. We prefer companies with a positive long-term outlook and attractive valuations. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Most healthcare companies reported satisfactory 1H23 results while revising down revenue growth to factor in delays in some academic conferences and hospital procurement in 3Q23. As pressure from the anti-corruption campaign is easing, we believe sales activities of medical products will resume soon and that long-term growth outlook remains intact. We prefer companies with positive long-term outlooks and attractive valuations. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Sinopharm’s 1H23 revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders grew 15.1% yoy and 11.1% yoy respectively. The results are in line with our full-year growth estimates for 2023. The company will make continued efforts in sales network penetration and further strengthen its three key businesses. It has also been making progress in improving cash flow management. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$30.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$31.05/Target: HK$50.00) 1H23: Reduced provisions cushion NIM pressure and weakening fee income. China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK/BUY/HK$15.62/Target: HK$25.86) 1H23: Decent profitability well maintained; expecting accelerated investment in 2H23. Gala Technology (2458 HK/NOT RATED/HK$4.13) 1H23: Solid results; encouraging outlook stemming from overseas expansion. Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK/HOLD/HK$6.44/Target: HK$7.40) 1H23...
GREATER CHINA Results China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$31.05/Target: HK$50.00): 1H23: Reduced provisions cushion NIM pressure and weakening fee income. China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK/BUY/HK$15.62/Target: HK$25.86): 1H23: Decent profitability well maintained; expecting accelerated investment in 2H23. Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK/HOLD/HK$6.44/Target: HK$7.40): 1H23: Earnings in line with profit warning; gradual recovery from 2H23. Shanghai Henlius Biotech Inc. (2696 HK/SELL/HK$11.20/...
ICL is a promising segment of medical services. China’s ICL market had a low penetration rate of about 6% in 2021 vs developed countries’ 35-60%. The roll-out of DRG programmes continues to accelerate the outsourcing of testing services from hospitals. The accelerating post-pandemic market consolidation may also benefit leading ICL players. Our channel check shows that leading players (KingMed and Dian) expect to deliver steady growth in 2023 non-COVID-19-related revenue. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
We like healthcare service providers and leading pharmaceutical producers with steady revenue and earnings growth and ample cash on hand should outperform. We expect biotech companies and CRDMO companies to remain under pressure until US easing monetary policies improve liquidity and remove biotech funding challenges. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Sinopharm saw significant business recovery in 1Q23, and recorded revenue and net profit growths of 14.0% yoy and 11.4% yoy respectively, in line with our and consensus’ 2023 full-year estimates. We expect the company to continue to deliver solid revenue growth for the rest of 2023. The company is also confident of making continued progress in improving cash flow management and achieving stable cash flow in 2023. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$34.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Points to weak employment outlook. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q23 narrowing losses broadly in line with expectations. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb6.44/Target: Rmb7.10) 2022/1Q23: In line; speeding up M&A. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.25/Target: HK$6.06) 1Q23: Results in line; NIM to stabilise in next few quarters. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$37.65/Target: HK$58.00) 1Q23: Results in line; cautiously op...
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines: 1Q23 narrowing losses broadly in line with expectations. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb6.44/Target: Rmb7.10): 2022/1Q23: In line; speeding up M&A. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$9.08/Target: HK$10.66): 1Q23: Results beat on good cost control; maintain BUY. Estun Automation (002747 CH/BUY/Rmb22.80/Target: Rmb29.70): 4Q22/1Q23: Results in line, poised for another year of solid growth. Fuyao Glass Industry Grou...
Now that the business environment has returned to normal, most healthcare companies expect higher visibility of revenue and earnings prospects in 2023. Medical services and consumable producers will likely benefit the most and see robust revenue expansion. CRO/CDMO firms may become less appealing to investors given their slower revenue growth and lower margin trend. Biotech firms have made significant R&D and commercial achievements, but will still face significant funding challenges in 2023. Ma...
Sinopharm’s 2022 revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders grew 6.0% yoy and 9.9% yoy respectively. Revenue growth in 2022 was in line, while earnings grew faster than our estimates. Management expects 2023 to be a year of recovery for the company after three years of pandemic disruption on its pharmaceutical distribution business. We also note that the company has been making progress in improving cash flow management. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of HK$27.00.
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