CTGDF’s 2Q25 net profit decreased 32% yoy and 66% qoq. In 1H25, revenue from the Sanya duty-free mall declined 14% yoy while revenue from the Haikou duty-free mall slightly increased 0.4% yoy. Inventory fell 11% yoy but rose 7% qoq. We revise down the long-term inventory value to reflect the inventory digestion, and thus our DCFbased target price is raised by 6% to Rmb75.30. However, we think the current valuation is fair. Downgrade to HOLD.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.83/Target: Rmb16.70) Amid a challenging business environment, Aier delivered satisfactory 1H25 results with revenue and adjusted net earnings up 9.1% and 14.3% yoy respectively. The results are in line with our estimates. Management is confident about the growth outlook for Aier given rigid service demand despite the relatively weak economic conditions. Aier has further expanded its hospital network and will continue to improv...
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.83/Target: Rmb16.70) 1H25: Satisfactory results; seeking growth by improving service capability and operating efficiency. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/HOLD/Rmb71.41/Target: Rmb75.30) 2Q25: Net profit down 32% yoy and 66% qoq; fair valuation. Downgrade to HOLD. Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$14.47/Target: HK$17.00) 1H25: Revenue in line but net profit misses; generous dividend payout likely to b...
Summary Marketline's Expedia, Inc. Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by Expedia, Inc. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments reports...
During the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May), Macau's visitor arrivals significantly beat the government's expectation. Retail and catering sales showed a modest improvement in terms of yoy growth compared with the Chinese New Year holiday, while home appliance sales continued to benefit from the trade-in programme, with premium products demonstrating robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China consumer sector. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Market watch around May holiday: New-home sales recovery weakens in Apr 25; the trend of Hong Kong resident travelling north remains strong. Sector Consumer Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sales during Labour Day Holiday. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target:...
CTGDF’s 1Q25 net profit decreased 16% yoy. Hainan’s duty-free sales saw a sequential improvement, recording an 11% yoy decline in 1Q25 (vs a 22% yoy decline in 4Q24), which can be partially attributed to government subsidies. Looking ahead, CTGDF aims to optimise its product offerings in Hainan by introducing consumer electronics and IP brands to boost consumption. Maintain BUY and raise target price by 2% to Rmb70.80.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI: A sharp contraction in overseas demand. Sector Healthcare: Drug innovators continue to drive market growth. Macau Gaming: Apr 25 GGR beat expectations; May Day Golden Week visitor arrivals expected to grow 4% yoy. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$52.20/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb63.40/Target: Rmb70.80): 1Q25: Core net profit...
GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming: Apr 25 GGR beat expectations; May Day Golden Week visitor arrivals expected to grow 4% yoy. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$52.20/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb63.40/Target: Rmb70.80): 1Q25: Core net profit down 16% yoy; sequential improvement in Hainan duty-free sales. Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK/BUY/HK$18.94/Target: HK$30.00)...
CTGDF’s 2024 results were in line with the preliminary announcement. In 2H24, revenue from Sanya duty-free/Sunrise Shanghai declined by 27%/22% yoy. Airport offline business has been recovering. Benefitting from the optimisation of agreement with the airport, Sunrise Shanghai’s net margin improved by 1.8ppt yoy to 3.2% in 2024. Maintain BUY and; cut target price by 1% to Rmb69.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Manufacturing PMI strengthened further to 50.5 (+0.3pt mom) while non-manufacturing PMI improved to 50.8 (+0.4pt mom) as construction activity improved to 53.4 (+0.7pt mom), alongside a moderate recovery in services at 50.3 (+0.3pt mom). Small-sized enterprises saw a notable improvement to 49.6 (+3.3pt mom) despite being in the contractionary zone, pointing to a broadening of the recovery. Sector Aviation The three airlines’ 2024 results were in line but at the h...
On 16 March, the State Council issued a plan on special initiatives to boost consumption, aiming to increase spending power by increasing income and reducing financial burdens, generate effective demand through high-quality supply, and improve the consumption environment to strengthen consumers’ willingness to spend. In the China consumer sector, we prefer Anta, CR Beer, Galaxy, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Yili. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...
We do not expect a strong consumption momentum for the upcoming CNY holiday, but expect home appliance, Macau gaming, movie and retail to be the bright spots. We prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands in China’s consumer space.
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
CTGDF reported preliminary results for 2024. Revenue declined by 16% yoy and net profit declined by 37% yoy in 2024, missing market expectations by 8%/24% and our original forecasts by 13%/32% respectively. We believe the pressured Hainan duty-free sales will continue to weigh on the company’s growth, despite a gradual recovery in airport duty-free sales and the steady progress in downtown duty-free business expansion. Maintain BUY; cut target price by 20% to Rmb69.70.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations dropped 10% yoy and grew 8.5% wow in the second week of 2025, with major EV brands posting yoy/wow sales growth due to policy rollout. The 2025 vehicle trade-in subsidy policy covers more potential buyers vs 2024. Geely Galaxy L7 EM-i leads the A-segment PHEV SUV market in sales. CATL remains the top player in the China power battery market with a 44.8% share in 2024. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and De...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs gain on subsidy rollout. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisation amid rising geopolitical risks. Internet ...
CTGDF’s 3Q24 earnings were slightly lower than its preliminary announcement. Hainan duty-free sales declined by 36% in 3Q24. Although the company saw a strong recovery in airport duty-free sales, this still lagged the traffic recovery, which suggests weaker spending of international travellers. Maintain BUY but lower target price by 15% to Rmb86.90.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50) ASMPT’s Semi solution business registered better-than-expected revenue and margins in 3Q24 thanks to robust advanced packaging demand, which led to a 10% beat vs our operating profit estimates, although reported net profit ended up below expectations due to forex loss. ASMPT will remain a key beneficiary of the AI investment trend, and we recommend accumulating after its recent share price correction. Maintain BUY. Target p...
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