Management hosted an investor call regarding its acquisition of DFS’ Greater China retail business. The acquisition is supported by three key rationales: a) brand portfolio enhancement, b) supply chain management experience, and c) access to high-value customer data. Going forward, CTGDF aims to further strengthen its overseas expansion and revenue, with Southeast Asia remaining the primary focus. At this stage, the company will prioritise revenue scale over profitability. Maintain BUY; target p...
Greater China Sector Update | Hong Kong Property Stronger local discretionary consumption supported positive growth in Hong Kong retail sales in 2H25, while the decline in visitors’ per capita spend moderated. Office rents remained under pressure but showed early signs of stabilisation. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on Hong Kong landlords. Link REIT remains our top pick despite a lower DPU forecast. We fine-tune Wharf REIC’s earnings and maintain BUY, while upgrading Hysan’s earnings and target price b...
Top Stories Sector Update | Hong Kong Property Stronger local discretionary consumption supported positive growth in Hong Kong retail sales in 2H25, while the decline in visitors’ per capita spend moderated. Office rents remained under pressure but showed early signs of stabilisation. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on Hong Kong landlords. Link REIT remains our top pick despite a lower DPU forecast. We fine-tune Wharf REIC’s earnings and maintain BUY, while upgrading Hysan’s earnings and target price bu...
China authorities issued a policy to expand port entry duty-free stores, establishing a total of 41 stores, with one at each entry port. Six operators are allowed to bid, and CTGDF will become the key beneficiary. We believe CTGDF serves as a proxy to the recovery of high-end retail in China, and we expect favourable policies aimed at duty-free as well as service consumption to support its business expansion going forward. Maintain BUY; raise target price by 14% to Rmb107.00.
Top Stories Sector Update | Healthcare At the recent investor conference, global investors viewed Chinese healthcare companies with increasing interest and optimism. Impressed by their advanced R&D pipelines and swift R&D-to-market execution capabilities, investors recognised Chinese companies’ potential for innovation and growth, particularly as they presented an array of cutting-edge products ready for global markets. This positive perception reflects a growing confidence in China's healthcar...
Greater China Sector Update | Healthcare At the recent investor conference, global investors viewed Chinese healthcare companies with increasing interest and optimism. Impressed by their advanced R&D pipelines and swift R&D-to-market execution capabilities, investors recognised Chinese companies’ potential for innovation and growth, particularly as they presented an array of cutting-edge products ready for global markets. This positive perception reflects a growing confidence in China's healthca...
We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed names and segments include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands China. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
We attended China Tourism Group Duty Free's investor day on 28 Nov 25 in Sanya. Management remains confident in Hainan sales for 2026. For airport duty-free operations, the offline stores at Beijing and Shanghai airports have been recovering gradually and have achieved double-digit sales growth ytd, and management indicated that the product mix still has significant room for improvement. It has also observed a steady recovery in luxury consumption recently, and continues to attract and retain hi...
Top Stories Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms easing growth momentum, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Healthcare Mos...
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
Summary Marketline's Expedia, Inc. Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by Expedia, Inc. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments reports...
CTGDF’s 3Q25 revenue was Rmb11,711m (-0.4% yoy), and net profit was Rmb452m (-29% yoy). Recently, all of the company’s offline channels have returned to positive growth. Looking to 4Q25, management expects Hainan to achieve satisfactory results, boosted by policies and its promotions. Furthermore, we believe the independent customs operations of Hainan Free Trade Port, commencing on 18 Dec 25, should benefit the long-term development of duty-free consumption. We raise our target price by 14% to ...
Top Stories Company Update | AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$75.45/Target: HK$95.00) AIA’s VONB grew strongly by 27% yoy in 3Q25, significantly above consensus expectation of 17% yoy, due to the sustained strong momentum in Hong Kong (+40% yoy) and a notable recovery in mainland China, where VONB rose 27% yoy despite assumption changes. ANP sales growth accelerated to 15% and VONB margin also improved 6.0ppt, due to a favourable shift in product mix in China. Maintain BUY with a higher target price o...
We observed the following trends in holiday consumption: a) jewellery performed well on rising gold prices; b) retail and catering consumption was modest, with growth decelerating from that during the 2025 Spring Festival and Labour Day; c) specialty retail (duty-free) saw per capita spending improve; and d) consumers continued to show enthusiasm for tourism and leisure spending, with domestic long-haul travel and outbound travel gaining popularity. The lower-than-expected Macau visitor arrivals...
On 16 Sep 25, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other government departments jointly issued a plan to expand service consumption. This plan introduces 19 measures focusing on five areas. We highlight IP-related consumption and tourism as the two primary themes positioned to benefit the most. In addition, the government plans to optimise student vacation schedules by exploring the possibility of shortening winter and summer vacations while introducing spring and autumn vacations to increase the ...
In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are committed to enhancing shareholder returns. W...
Greater China Sector Updates | Consumer In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are c...
CTGDF’s 2Q25 net profit decreased 32% yoy and 66% qoq. In 1H25, revenue from the Sanya duty-free mall declined 14% yoy while revenue from the Haikou duty-free mall slightly increased 0.4% yoy. Inventory fell 11% yoy but rose 7% qoq. We revise down the long-term inventory value to reflect the inventory digestion, and thus our DCFbased target price is raised by 6% to Rmb75.30. However, we think the current valuation is fair. Downgrade to HOLD.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.83/Target: Rmb16.70) Amid a challenging business environment, Aier delivered satisfactory 1H25 results with revenue and adjusted net earnings up 9.1% and 14.3% yoy respectively. The results are in line with our estimates. Management is confident about the growth outlook for Aier given rigid service demand despite the relatively weak economic conditions. Aier has further expanded its hospital network and will continue to improv...
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