DNB’s 14th annual Energy & Shipping Conference culminated in yesterday’s shipping day. The main theme was decarbonisation of shipping, and its market impact today. Attendees included representatives from IMO and Trafigura, along with several shipping companies taking action towards ambitious decarbonisation targets. Also, the crude tanker and LPG panels both proved rather optimistic despite recent market lows.
Höegh LNG (HLNG) has received a recommended offer for its outstanding shares at NOK23.50/share; the parties expect the transaction to close in H1, subject to approval of at least two-thirds of HLNG’s shareholders. The offer is a 36% premium to the last close, and above the trading range since the outbreak of Covid-19. Given DNB Markets’ role as financial advisor in the offer, we have withdrawn our recommendation and target price.
We make only minor estimate changes following the Q4 results, adjusting costs for Q1e due to the installation of the Giant in India, somewhat offset by lower G&A. As we continue to see a fair risk/reward in the stock, we reiterate our HOLD, but have lifted our target price to NOK20 (19) to reflect a higher valuation for Höegh LNG’s ownership in HMLP.
LNGC freight rates shot up to record-highs this winter, as cold temperatures in Asia led buyers to chase the few cargoes around. While this was an anomaly, we see it as a sign of a market at or close to balance, reinforcing our view that 2021–2023 will be good years for LNG transport, despite a flurry of newbuild orders set for delivery in 2021. We reiterate our BUYs on the pure LNGC companies and Golar LNG, while we keep our HOLD on Höegh LNG.
The independent financial analyst theScreener just allocated a lower risk rating to HOEGH LONG HOLDINGS (NO), active in the Pipelines industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 3 out of 4 possible stars. Its market behaviour, however, has slightly improved and can be qualified as moderately risky. theScreener considers that these elements merit an overall rating upgrade to Neutral. As of the analysis date February 5, 2021, the closing price was NOK 17.00 and its expect...
Höegh LNG announced its first firm FSRU contract since 2014, and we deem the prospect of securing more promising. However, contractual earnings are not where they were, leaving uncertainty about liquidity should other promising contract leads prove unfruitful. We reiterate our HOLD and NOK13 target price.
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