reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: European Oil and Gas Monthly; HUG PW; TEN PW; PL Homebuild...
HEADLINES: • European oil and gas monthly: June 2024 – refining margins continue down • Huuuge Games: 2Q24 bookings estimate down 7% qoq NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 2Q24 booking estimate down by a limited 3% qoq, slightly better than expected • Polish homebuilders: government to present subsidy plan after the summer • Sipchem: signs contract for EVA plant expansion NEUTRAL • Coca-Cola Icecek: BoD decides to raise paid-in capital by 1,000% bonus issue NEUTRAL
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: June 2024 – refining margins continue do...
Benchmark refining margins retreated again in June, by USD 1.9/bbl to USD 9.5/bbl, remaining about USD 1.4/bbl higher than is usual for the season. The decline was due to weaker petrol cracks, driven by increases in supply, we believe. There was little to report in petrochemicals, with margins mostly flat or down slightly.
Public Power Corp S.A.: 1 director
A director at Public Power Corp S.A. sold 2,500 shares at 11.146EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Macro; NRP NA; TXT PW; MIL PW; APR PW; PL Telecoms; ELM...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP on a protracted hold • NEPI Rockcastle: sells Promenada Novi Sad in Serbia for EUR 177m POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 1Q24-25 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 518m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 2Q24E NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: June sales growth at 11% yoy, below our expectations NEGATIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • Elm: announces resignation of CEO and new CEO appointment NEUTRAL • Greek...
CEZ: 1 director
A director at CEZ sold 591 shares at 884.750CZK and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing Close...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TXT PW; MOH GA; ADNOCDRI UH; KRKG SV
HEADLINES: • Text: 1Q24-25 (calendar 2Q24) preliminary results – USD 22.6m preliminary cash flow (up 12% yoy, 4% qoq) POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: to sell EUR 18.2m worth of Ellaktor shares (ELLAKTOR GA), as Reggeborgh exercises call option POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: awarded USD 733m contract for three new rigs POSITIVE • Krka: 2018 appeal against EU perindopril anticompetition case overturned NEUTRAL • Short News (HTO)
MBank S.A.: 1 director
A director at MBank S.A. sold 926 shares at 635.830PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BFT PW; WIZZ LN; HUG PW; TEN PW; Rear-View Mirror – EME ma...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: card base in Poland contracts slightly further mom in June NEGATIVE • Wizz Air: flat capacity yoy in June NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: June bookings estimate down 8% mom, but flat in core titles NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: June bookings estimate flat mom, slight downward pressure in flagship games NEUTRAL • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: another positive month for most EME indices • Orange Polska: 2Q24E – 2% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 23 July) • Short New...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: another positive month for most EM...
EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
OMV OMV AG
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNP PETROM S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
NLBR NLB GROUP
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
OTP Bank Plc: 2 directors
Two Directors at OTP Bank Plc sold after exercising options/sold 13,490 shares at between 18,257.000HUF and 18,294.000HUF. The significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by al...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TXT PW; TL Macro; PKO PW; PL Macro; SPL PW; WIZZ LN; PPC G...
HEADLINES: • Text: 4Q23-24 (calendar 1Q24) results – EBITDA down 12% yoy, 11% below our forecast NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: giving credit where credit is due, but keep realistic lags in mind • PKO BP: partial resolutions of AGM, dividend approved, AGM paused • Poland macro: CPI well-behaved, wage growth still soaring • Santander Bank Polska: 2Q24 CHF mortgage saga charges of PLN 1,109m NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: calls to improve Air Traffic Control in Europe in wake of delays NEGATIVE • Public Power Cor...
Gek Terna S.A.: 2 directors
Two Directors at Gek Terna S.A. sold 90,000 shares at 16.600EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
- Egor Fedorov
EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly
EM debt markets approach the mid-year threshold in good shape. New issue activity remains remarkably high. Average spreads on sovereign bonds have contracted by 48bp YTD, delivering a 3.7% YTD total return as the UST curve has shifted up by 35-40bp. Average spreads in the corporate segment tightened by 36bp to 200bp, resulting in a 3.0% total return since the beginning of the year. Next week new issuance is likely to stay strong, and we don't anticipate significant further tightening of spreads ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW; CTPNV NA; EU Macro; TL Macro; CZ Macro; GPW PW; CP...
HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q24E CHF mortgage saga cost at PLN 1bn NEGATIVE • CTP: issues EUR 500m unsecured loan at 4.7% fixed, buys back EUR 500m of outstanding bonds POSITIVE • Europe macro: June surveys confirm stagnant industry, but rising inflation expectations • Türkiye macro: CBT extends the hawkish hold • Czech Republic macro: CNB preparing the ground for slower rate cuts • Warsaw Stock Exchange: OGM approves dividend of PLN 3/share NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: to invest in 500 MW wind farm proje...
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (27 June 2024)
HEADLINES: • cyber_Folks (CBF PW): top exposure to e-commerce and AI in Poland (BUY - initiation of coverage, PT PLN 177.2) • Vercom (VRC PW): global expansion through M&A ahead (HOLD - initiation of coverage, PT PLN 139.8) • Public Power Corporation: announces merger of Romanian businesses NEUTRAL • OPAP: extends Cyprus concession for another 15 years POSITIVE
- Maria Mickiewicz
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
cyber_Folks: top exposure to e-commerce and AI in Poland (BUY - initia...
We initiate coverage of cyber_Folks (CBF) with a BUY rating and a price target (PT) of PLN 177.2/share, implying 41% upside. The cyber_Folks Group offers, inter alia, web hosting, domain sales and a Communication as a Service (CPaaS) platform, used to send personalised messages on a large scale and automate communications. We see it as offering unique exposure to the CEE e-commerce market, the global CPaaS market and AI adoption, as it develops its own AI-powered tools. It offers an attractive c...
- Maria Mickiewicz
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
Vercom: global expansion through M&A ahead (HOLD - initiation of cover...
We initiate coverage of Vercom with a HOLD rating and a price target (PT) of PLN 139.8/share. Vercom is a Polish software company that offers a Communications Platform as a Service (CPaaS) solution, that can be used, inter alia, to send personalised messages on a large scale, automate communications, and integrate different communications channels. Vercom is focused on growth through both organic expansion and M&A, and delivered an impressive 48% 2020-23 adj. EBITDA CAGR. For 2023-26E, we foreca...
- Research Team
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
OTP Bank: just too much of a discount (upgraded to BUY)
OTP Bank (OTP) is trading at our 2024-25E P/BVs of 1.0-0.9x, while it should deliver 2024-25E ROEs of 23-17%, on our current forecasts. It is also trading at our 2024-25E P/Es of 4.7-5.8x. These expectations are built on our conservative assumptions of deconsolidating Russia as of end-2024E, at zero book value repatriation and with only organic growth assumptions. At the same time, we identify OTP as having a material capital surplus and, judging from the CEO’s recent comments, management is lik...
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