HEADLINES: • NEPI Rockcastle: 1H25 good (first look), FFO guidance revised upwards POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 2Q25 highlights – 2025E guidance revised down, but still targeting >30% ROE NEGATIVE • Turkish Airlines: buys a stake in Air Europa for EUR 300m • 11 bit studios: early access release date for Moonlighter 2: The Endless Vault set as 23 October NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: 2Q25E preview – just flat earnings yoy (due on 18 September)
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Rainbow Tours: on the road to riches (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Erste Bank: 2Q25 results beat on positive one-off; solid performance in core result leads to 2025E guidance uplift POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: minor beat in 2Q25; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 2Q25 highlights – a clean 14% beat vs. our estimate POSITIVE • National Bank of Greece: 2Q25 highlights – in line, with guidance upgrade POSITIVE • Optima Bank SA: bottom-line beat in 2Q25...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 2Q25E earnings preview (due on 25 July) • 11 bit studios: 2Q25E preview – results driven by launch of The Alters (due on 28 August) • Bank Handlowy: 2Q25E preview (due on 28 August) • CD Projekt: 2Q25E preview – EBITDA down 36% qoq (due on 28 August) • Short News (CEZ, MTELEKOM, CPS)
HEADLINES: • Ukraine macro: notes on the economy and the reconstruction process • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25 sales down 11% yoy, to PLN 20.3m NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: refund of interest on the overpayment related to the 2017 waste disposal decision NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk to be released for Apple Macs tomorrow NEUTRAL • Sipchem: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 July) NEUTRAL • Budimex: 2Q25E preview – EBIT up slightly, by 5% yoy (prelims due on 28 July) • Tupras: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 Ju...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: MPC turns cautiously dovish on the fiscal package • Hungary macro: June inflation picks up further • Kruk: 2Q25 trading update shows a pick up in recoveries vs. 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 2Q25 revenue at USD 59m, down 7% yoy and 6% qoq NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: June sales growth at 10% yoy, implying 2Q25E revenue growth of also 10% yoy NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: 280k copies of The Alters sold NEUTRAL • Murapol: sells 708 apartments and hands over 289 units in...
HEADLINES: • Cimsa: on a path of growth and diversification (stays BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: inflation – short- and medium-term forecasts • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (30 June-6 July) • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 bookings down 10% qoq, but slightly better than Sensor Tower's estimates NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2 anime series in production NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: listing of new shares due to share split NEUTR...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • LPP: fire at Romanian warehouse causes temporary disruption in SEE operations; c.PLN 400m in assets destroyed (all insured) NEGATIVE • ADNOC Drilling: oilfield services awarded a five-year contract for hydraulic fracturing POSITIVE • Richter: European Commission approval for denosumab biosimilars NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: June Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: June Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: PLN 3.15/share...
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: May sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: Steam demo of Moonlighter 2 attracted limited interest and disappointing reviews NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: increases prices for its Nju mobile post-paid tariffs POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires Romanian hosting company Hosterion for EUR 6.7m NEUTRAL • DO & CO: 4Q FY25E preview - 7% EBITDA growth yoy (due on 12 June) • Text: 4Q24-25E preview – 10% yoy EBITDA increase expected (due on 27 June)
HEADLINES: • cyber_Folks: e-commerce first – a new chapter begins (stays BUY) • Shoper: new investor, new opportunities (stays BUY) • Vercom: solid growth, boosted potentially by M&A (upgraded to BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 June) • Auto Partner: May sales disappoint, with limited 8% yoy growth NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: launch trailer of The Alters and new Moonlighter 2 trailer presented during PC Gaming Show NEUTRAL
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
HEADLINES • Budimex: growth acceleration on the horizon (upgraded to BUY) • Halyk Bank: 1Q25 results highlights before the call POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA 15% above our forecast, but April sales disappoint NEGATIVE • GEVORKYAN: strong 1Q25 - EBITDA 15% above our expectations; 2025E conservative guidance POSITIVE • Titan Cement: completes divestment of its 75% stake in Adocim in Eastern Türkiye NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: key takeaways from our call with the CF...
HEADLINES: InPost: international level (stays BUY) Romania macro: presidential election - final results Poland macro: election results 11 bit studios: 1Q25 earnings call – happy with wishlist for The Alters, no plans for pre-orders NEUTRAL Budimex: PLN 1.7bn offer rated the highest in the railway tender POSITIVE Mo-BRUK: management recommends PLN 13.17 DPS from the 2024 earnings NEUTRAL Greek banks: the Greek media reports that the banks could look into reacquiring working mortgages from NPL ser...
HEADLINES: • VIGO Photonics: top Polish defence industry exposure (downgraded to HOLD) • PGE: strong 1Q25 recurring EBITDA, 26% above our expectations POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: weak 1Q25, misses our forecast, on higher opex NEGATIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA beats in 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Krka: 1Q25 – record net profit, on high FX revaluation gains POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: strong 1Q25 - EBITDA 15% above our expectations, but 2025E guidance implies an EBITDA margin contraction POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q25 r...
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