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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Conference call highlights. Basic-Fit: Belgian VAT increase for culture, sports and takeaway meals postponed. BE Semiconductor Industries: 4Q25 Preview, incremental strength. Kendrion: Preview - Clean into 2026. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Acquisition of Kwality Wall's launched. Retail Estates: Re-letting progress highlights portfolio quality. Semi Equipment: AMAT readthrough strength. Universal Music Group: EU Commission approves UMG's Downtown acquisition, requires full Curve Ro...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+3)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Retail Estates 9m25/26 results, hit by Dutch Tax bill and Bankruptcies

NRI 9m25/26 amounts to €108.7m, +2.4% YoY vs. our expectation of €108.8m. The lfl growth amounted to 2.1%. EPRA EPS came in at €4.57, -2.97% YoY vs. €4.77 expected. The EPS was diluted by the stock dividend that raised €18m and added 2.2% to the share count (35% acceptance). The statement also mentions a 1.9m impact from the Dutch FBI abolition. We believe that the bankruptcies of Leen Bakker and Carpet Right also weighed on the operational results. Despite many bankruptcies, occupancy remained ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: Miss but strong capital, good set of results / Ahold Delhaize: Strong 4Q25 but no major surprise on FY26 adj. EPS guidance / Alfen: No recovery yet and another transitional year / BAM Group: Preview: 2026 outlook the key item / Econocom: Better REBITA, net debt, but EBIT below, much lower net profit, dividend halved, 2026-28 guidance postponed to “medium term” / Exor: Ferrari 4Q25 and 2026 guidance beat / Gecina: Results and guidance in line, DPS set to grow over 2026-30 / Heineken: No...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: New Platforms partnership in APAC / Dutch Pension Reform (Wtp): 1/3 transitioned (c.25 funds), 2027 challenging / IBA: Sale of a P1 system to MacKay Memorial Hospital in New Taipei City, Taiwan / KPN: 4Q25 preview / Offshore Wind: North Sea offshore wind pact to develop 300GW by 2050 / Vår Energi: RRR 2P 185% offsets slight pressure on expected production volumes 4Q

Francesca Ferragina ... (+2)
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Michiel Vereycken

Real Estate Update/A new normality

European real estate rebounded in 2025, signalling positive momentum after two difficult years. In 2026, we expect investors to adapt to a new, normalised environment with recalibrated profitability that should drive transaction activity. This comes alongside a normalisation of rents (on the back of lower inflation) – a slowdown that will be notable but largely expected. We see a company's ability (and willingness) to pursue EPS-accretive investments and being active in capital recycling opportu...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Stephane Houri
AKE ARKEMA
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
ELIOR ELIOR GROUP SA
CLN CLARIANT AG
ADP AEROPORTS DE PARIS SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LISN CHOCOLADEFABRIKEN LINDT & SPRUENGLI AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
STF STEF
INF INFOTEL SA
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
DEC JCDECAUX SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
ISS ISS A/S
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
KER KERING SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
RAND RANDSTAD NV
EOAN E.ON SE
TRI TRIGANO SA
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
EZJ EASYJET PLC
ELIS ELIS SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
SUN SULZER AG
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
NN NN GROUP N.V.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
OVH OVH GROUPE
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
DEME DEME GROUP NV
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
TUI TUI AG
ORP ORPEA
ALHG LOUIS HACHETTE GROUP
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
TKMS TKMS AG & CO. KGAA
Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Stephane Houri
AKE ARKEMA
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
ELIOR ELIOR GROUP SA
CLN CLARIANT AG
ADP AEROPORTS DE PARIS SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LISN CHOCOLADEFABRIKEN LINDT & SPRUENGLI AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
STF STEF
INF INFOTEL SA
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
DEC JCDECAUX SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
ISS ISS A/S
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
KER KERING SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
RAND RANDSTAD NV
EOAN E.ON SE
TRI TRIGANO SA
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
EZJ EASYJET PLC
ELIS ELIS SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
SUN SULZER AG
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
NN NN GROUP N.V.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
OVH OVH GROUPE
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
DEME DEME GROUP NV
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
TUI TUI AG
ORP ORPEA
ALHG LOUIS HACHETTE GROUP
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
TKMS TKMS AG & CO. KGAA
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Acquisition of P&C insurer, another good use of capital. Staffing Sector: French staffing - November underlying trend stable; December outlook better but on easier comps. Events Calendar.

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Pre-earnings release no surprises, no longevity deal just yet; Dutch Pension Reform: IT bottlenecks in 1 Jan 26 transition, none for ASR's TKP; Van Lanschot Kempen: JV with KBCS on equities; Vastned: Modelling the strong progress on synergies.

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Czech PX in the lead in December

EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+2)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Guidance reiterated despite weaker-than-expected 1H25/26. Dutch Pension Buyouts: Regulator DNB's view, c.€7bn so far, insurers at 15% market share now. OCI: Dutch investor association VEB and other shareholders take legal action to block Orascom merger. Proximus: CFO Mark Reid to leave Proximus by end of January 2026. Staffing Sector: US temp volume YoY declined vs October; NFP jobs beat expectations. Var Energy: Boosting production bodes well for years to come. Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: CEO interview in local press. Ageas at ING conference in New York. ASR: Solvency gets +10 to +12% uplift, as expected but brings ASR to above 210% Sol 2 ratio. OCI: Exchange terms set for OCI/Orascom merger. Events Calendar

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPTIMA GA; CTPNV NA; PCF PW; CPS PW; WPL PW; BDX PW; 11B P...

HEADLINES: • Optima Bank: buying the dip (stays BUY) • CTP: great story, fairly valued (downgraded to HOLD) • PCF Group: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.37%, while WP TV at 0.46% in November 2025 NEUTRAL • Budimex: plans to pay out 100% of net income in dividends in 2025-29E NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: finalises agreement with Microsoft on licence for Game Pass POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: October Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat...

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