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Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/BBVA makes a public offer for Sabadell, RBI abandons STRAB...

Instead of backing down BBVA comes with a tender offer for Banco Sabadell, lots of uncertainty regarding a success priced in spreads. RBI abandons the STRABAG deal, may pave way for AT1 issuance

Research Team
  • Research Team
BRE MBANK SA
MOL MOL NYRT ... (+15)

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...

HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...

Egor Fedorov ... (+4)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson
  • Oleksiy Soroka
  • CFA

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

Some signs of cooling economic data out of the US, and the start of DM rate-cutting cycles has offered some optimism for EM assets, with the grind tighter in credit spreads continuing as seen for much of this year. We expect the benign environment to offer further opportunities for new issuance, while spread levels look fairly tight.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CTP: An excellent start to the year. Proximus: Completes acquisition of 83% stake in Route Mobile

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; KRU PW; BHW PW; NLBR SV; PGSUS TI; ADNOCDIS UH; CT...

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: strong 1Q24, with 9% beat, but big part due to lower quarterly tax charge POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q24 results in line with earlier communication; strong trend continues, but digested by the market already NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: books neutral 1Q24, questions on future capital management NEUTRAL • NLB Group: guidance upgrade spices up vanilla 1Q24 bottom-line beat POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 in line, guidance for mild margin compression and 10-12% ASK growth maintained NEUTR...

Gerardo Ibanez ... (+2)
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Steven Boumans

CTP NV : Q1 2024 results: Strong, but inline results with reiterated g...

>Guidance reiterated, solid underlying performance, developments as expected - CTP confirms its €0.80 - €0.82 guidance for FY2024.Like for like rental growth of 5.0% (FY 2023 7.4%) LTV 45.9% (YE 2023: 46.0% and 40-45% target), with a cost of debt of 2.13% (FY2023: 1.95%), with 99.6% of the debt fixed/hedged and debt maturity of 5.2yrs.New leases continued to be signed ahead of ERV with the rent reversionary potential unchanged versus YE2023 at 14.5%, wi...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

CTP FIRST LOOK: 1Q24 results proceed in top gear

Net Rental income grew 17.5% to EUR 153.6m vs.150.2m expected (KBCS) and benefited from 5.0% lfl growth. The EPRA EPS of 0.20 came slightly above our 0.19 expectation. The FY24 EPS outlook is confirmed at 0.80-0.82. The LTV declined slightly to 45.9% from 46.0% at FY23 end. The occupancy on standing assets decreased 1% to 93% vs FY23 end. Despite 169k sqm deliveries (95% let) over 1Q24, CTP maintained its development pipeline to a record breaking GLA of 2.0m sqm (10.3% YoC). The pre-let% in the ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Positive points in the short term but uncertainties linger o...

>A publication in line with our forecasts - Yesterday morning, Verbund published Q1 2024 results in line with forecasts. EBITDA was € 883m (-9%) vs € 880m expected. Reported EBIT was also down to € 745m (-11.5%), in line with our estimate and attributable net profit was down to € 506m (-4%) vs € 513m forecast (ODDO BHF). The group experienced a far less favourable market price environment than last year with an average captured price on hydro of € 129.5/MWh (-31% y-o-...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Du bon sur le court terme mais toujours des incertitudes sur...

>Une publication conforme à nos attentes - Verbund a publié hier matin des résultats T1 24 conformes aux prévisions. L'EBITDA ressort à 883 M€ (-9%) vs 880 M€ attendus. L'EBIT publié a également diminué à 745 M€ (-11.5%), en ligne avec nos estimations et le RNpg est en baisse à 506 M€ (-4%) contre 513 M€ attendus (ODDO BHF). Le groupe a connu un environnement de prix de marché beaucoup moins favorable que l'année dernière avec un prix capturé moyen sur l'hydroélectric...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Results in line with expectation in all divisions

>Good set of result in all divisions - Verbund released its Q1 results this morning in line with forecast. EBITDA decreased by -9% to €  883m vs € 880m expected. The reported EBIT declined as well by -11.5% to € 745m bang in line with our forecast and the group net income was down 4% to € 506m vs € 513m expected (ODDO BHF). The group saw a much less favourable market price environment than last year with an average capture price on hydro of € 129.5/MWh (-31% y-o-y) bu...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Results in line with expectation in all divisions

>Good set of result in all divisions - Verbund released its Q1 results this morning in line with forecast. EBITDA decreased by -9% to €  883m vs € 880m expected. The reported EBIT declined as well by -11.5% to € 745m bang in line with our forecast and the group net income was down 4% to € 506m vs € 513m expected (ODDO BHF). The group saw a much less favourable market price environment than last year with an average capture price on hydro of € 129.5/MWh (-31% y-o-y) bu...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...

HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...

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