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Audrey Celia ... (+10)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, July 28, 2025

GREATER CHINA Update Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb7.44/Target: Rmb8.20) Riding the policy wave, watching for undercurrents. Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH/BUY/Rmb231.84/Target: Rmb325.00) Regaining growth momentum from Q3 2025, on track for top 10 global medtech status. INDONESIA Sector Consumer 2Q25 preview: Mixed results. Results Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,090/Target: Rp5,...

Audrey Celia ... (+2)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Consumer – 2Q25 Preview: Mixed Results

Despite macroeconomic headwinds, we expect 1H25 results across the consumer sector to reflect resilient momentum in selective segments, with performance diverging by product category, pricing power, margin management and adaptability. While weak purchasing power likely weighed on mass-market demand, easing soft commodity prices may improve sentiment. We upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: KLBF, CMRY and ERAA.

Audrey Celia ... (+4)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Monday, July 28, 2025

Consumer: 2Q25 preview: Mixed results. Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,090/Target: Rp5,100): 2Q25: NIM likely to have bottomed, with recovery expected in 2H25. TRADERS’ CORNER Tower Bersama Infrastructure (TBIG IJ): Technical BUY Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur (ICBP IJ): Technical BUY

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 03, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...

BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CPALL TB CP ALL
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Strategy - Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June

Our Jun 25 portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +5.1%/+7.1% respectively, mainly driven by DKFT (+16% performance) and outperformances by other stocks such as ANTM, CMRY and AMRT. Several major events to watch out this month include upcoming IPOs (especially the sizeable Chandra Daya Investasi (CDIA) IPO worth about US$143m) and the outcome of the US-Indo reciprocal tariffs discussion on 9 July. Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM.

Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, July 3, 2025

Strategy: Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. TRADERS’ CORNER Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ): Technical BUY Astra International (ASII IJ): Technical BUY

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+12)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 24, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Industrial Automation: Takeaways from Hangzhou Humanoid Robot Convention. Property: New- and secondary-home transactions in Tier 1 cities seeing negative yoy growth in Jun 25; more cities expand HPF use to support housing market. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp510/Target: Rp670): XPENG’s pre-offer deliveries may reach 30% of our 2025 target; maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Sector Banking: Malaysian digital banks in operation remain loss-making and pose no near- ...

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) - XPENG’s Pre-Offer Deliveries May Reach ...

We maintain BUY on ERAA (target price: Rp670) as we see promising early demand for its new EV car distributorship (XPENG) business. This takes into account: a) the starting pre-offer price of its premium MPV (X9 model-base variant) at Rp990m, which is only around 4% higher than that of its closest competitor; b) strong visitor interest in XPENG’s cars showcased during its grand launch (Jun 25); c) an estimated 300 pre-offer orders; and d) the opening of its first outlet in Jun 25 (target: six ou...

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth

Indonesia Daily - Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp510/Target: Rp670): XPENG’s pre-offer deliveries may reach 30% of our 2025 target; maintain BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ): Technical BUY Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS IJ): Technical BUY

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+11)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, June 23, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Insurance Weighing the risks and returns. Update Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$65.15/Target: HK$100.00) Takeaways from 2025 Investor Day. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut Our top picks are BBCA, BBRI, ANTM, AMRT, ICBP, CMRY and ERAA. MALAYSIA Sector Automobile ...

Johnny Yum ... (+2)
  • Johnny Yum
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Strategy - Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut

The JCI rebounded to about 7,000 after bottoming out at 5,968 on 9 April, following a series of developments including corporate buyback announcements, the creation of Danantara, and market anticipation of a BI rate cut which materialised on 21 May (25bp cut). Catalysts to monitor in 2H25 include: a) further BI rate cut(s), b) a slowdown in SRBI reissuance which would free up banking liquidity, c) further government economic stimulus measures, and d) heavier government spending.

Johnny Yum ... (+3)
  • Johnny Yum
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Monday, June 23, 2025

Strategy: Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut: Our top picks are BBCA, BBRI, ANTM, AMRT, ICBP, CMRY and ERAA. TRADERS’ CORNER Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ): Technical BUY Map Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ): Technical BUY

Johnny Yum ... (+2)
  • Johnny Yum
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Strategy - Challenging Macro Environment, More Reason For A Rate Cut

The JCI rebounded to about 7,000 after bottoming out at 5,968 on 9 April, following a series of developments including corporate buyback announcements, the creation of Danantara, and market anticipation of a BI rate cut which materialised on 21 May (25bp cut). Catalysts to monitor in 2H25 are further rate BI cut(s), a slowdown in SRBI reissuance which would free up banking liquidity, further government economic stimulus measures, and heavier government spending. • In need of a rate cut and an in...

Willinoy Sitorus
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Strategy - Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur

We met with 12 investors in Kuala Lumpur, and the overall tone among Malaysian-based funds can be best described as cautious but engaged. Indonesia remains firmly on their radar, but several overhangs persist, particularly around the evolving political landscape, policy clarity, the free meal programme and weak purchasing power. 2H25 government spending and a further rate cut are catalysts, in our view. Our year-end target for the JCI is 7,500.

Benyamin Mikael ... (+9)
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Philip Wong
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 18, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Property Takeaways from channel check at The Southside. INDONESIA Strategy Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Participants Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur Cautious but engaged. MALAYSIA Sector Construction Sector resists tensions from global uncerta...

Benyamin Mikael ... (+3)
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Strategy: Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Market Participants: Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur: Cautious but engaged. TRADERS’ CORNER Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ): Technical BUY Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ): Technical BUY

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) - Early Impressions Of XPENG X9; Strong T...

The XPENG X9 price might be set at an around 16% premium (for certain variants) vs its competitors. ERAL aims to assemble X9 and G6 models domestically. XPENG Indonesia’s performance may depend on its marketing strategy, based on our first-hand experience with the X9 car (see next page) and intense competition among Chinese EV players. Chagee saw strong initial store traffic and plans to expand to 50 outlets by 2025 (roughly 2% of ERAA’s 2024 total outlets). Maintain BUY. Target price: Rp670.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+7)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, June 02, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Respite from weak overseas demand. Sector Macau Gaming May 25 GGR beat consensus by 3%, the highest month since reopening. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp555/Target: Rp670) Early impressions on XPENG X9; strong traffic in Chagee’s initial outlets; maintain BUY. SINGAPORE Update Seatr...

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth

Indonesia Daily - Monday, June 2, 2025

Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp555/Target: Rp670): Early impressions of XPENG X9; strong traffic at Chagee’s initial outlets; maintain BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER United Tractors (UNTR IJ): Technical BUY Avia Avian (AVIA IJ): Technical BUY

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+14)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Paula Ruth
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, May 23, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...

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