GREATER CHINA Update Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb7.44/Target: Rmb8.20) Riding the policy wave, watching for undercurrents. Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH/BUY/Rmb231.84/Target: Rmb325.00) Regaining growth momentum from Q3 2025, on track for top 10 global medtech status. INDONESIA Sector Consumer 2Q25 preview: Mixed results. Results Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,090/Target: Rp5,...
Despite macroeconomic headwinds, we expect 1H25 results across the consumer sector to reflect resilient momentum in selective segments, with performance diverging by product category, pricing power, margin management and adaptability. While weak purchasing power likely weighed on mass-market demand, easing soft commodity prices may improve sentiment. We upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: KLBF, CMRY and ERAA.
Consumer: 2Q25 preview: Mixed results. Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,090/Target: Rp5,100): 2Q25: NIM likely to have bottomed, with recovery expected in 2H25. TRADERS’ CORNER Tower Bersama Infrastructure (TBIG IJ): Technical BUY Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur (ICBP IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
Our Jun 25 portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +5.1%/+7.1% respectively, mainly driven by DKFT (+16% performance) and outperformances by other stocks such as ANTM, CMRY and AMRT. Several major events to watch out this month include upcoming IPOs (especially the sizeable Chandra Daya Investasi (CDIA) IPO worth about US$143m) and the outcome of the US-Indo reciprocal tariffs discussion on 9 July. Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM.
GREATER CHINA Sector Industrial Automation: Takeaways from Hangzhou Humanoid Robot Convention. Property: New- and secondary-home transactions in Tier 1 cities seeing negative yoy growth in Jun 25; more cities expand HPF use to support housing market. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp510/Target: Rp670): XPENG’s pre-offer deliveries may reach 30% of our 2025 target; maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Sector Banking: Malaysian digital banks in operation remain loss-making and pose no near- ...
We maintain BUY on ERAA (target price: Rp670) as we see promising early demand for its new EV car distributorship (XPENG) business. This takes into account: a) the starting pre-offer price of its premium MPV (X9 model-base variant) at Rp990m, which is only around 4% higher than that of its closest competitor; b) strong visitor interest in XPENG’s cars showcased during its grand launch (Jun 25); c) an estimated 300 pre-offer orders; and d) the opening of its first outlet in Jun 25 (target: six ou...
GREATER CHINA Sector Insurance Weighing the risks and returns. Update Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$65.15/Target: HK$100.00) Takeaways from 2025 Investor Day. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut Our top picks are BBCA, BBRI, ANTM, AMRT, ICBP, CMRY and ERAA. MALAYSIA Sector Automobile ...
The JCI rebounded to about 7,000 after bottoming out at 5,968 on 9 April, following a series of developments including corporate buyback announcements, the creation of Danantara, and market anticipation of a BI rate cut which materialised on 21 May (25bp cut). Catalysts to monitor in 2H25 include: a) further BI rate cut(s), b) a slowdown in SRBI reissuance which would free up banking liquidity, c) further government economic stimulus measures, and d) heavier government spending.
The JCI rebounded to about 7,000 after bottoming out at 5,968 on 9 April, following a series of developments including corporate buyback announcements, the creation of Danantara, and market anticipation of a BI rate cut which materialised on 21 May (25bp cut). Catalysts to monitor in 2H25 are further rate BI cut(s), a slowdown in SRBI reissuance which would free up banking liquidity, further government economic stimulus measures, and heavier government spending. • In need of a rate cut and an in...
We met with 12 investors in Kuala Lumpur, and the overall tone among Malaysian-based funds can be best described as cautious but engaged. Indonesia remains firmly on their radar, but several overhangs persist, particularly around the evolving political landscape, policy clarity, the free meal programme and weak purchasing power. 2H25 government spending and a further rate cut are catalysts, in our view. Our year-end target for the JCI is 7,500.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Takeaways from channel check at The Southside. INDONESIA Strategy Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Participants Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur Cautious but engaged. MALAYSIA Sector Construction Sector resists tensions from global uncerta...
Strategy: Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Market Participants: Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur: Cautious but engaged. TRADERS’ CORNER Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ): Technical BUY Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ): Technical BUY
The XPENG X9 price might be set at an around 16% premium (for certain variants) vs its competitors. ERAL aims to assemble X9 and G6 models domestically. XPENG Indonesia’s performance may depend on its marketing strategy, based on our first-hand experience with the X9 car (see next page) and intense competition among Chinese EV players. Chagee saw strong initial store traffic and plans to expand to 50 outlets by 2025 (roughly 2% of ERAA’s 2024 total outlets). Maintain BUY. Target price: Rp670.
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Respite from weak overseas demand. Sector Macau Gaming May 25 GGR beat consensus by 3%, the highest month since reopening. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp555/Target: Rp670) Early impressions on XPENG X9; strong traffic in Chagee’s initial outlets; maintain BUY. SINGAPORE Update Seatr...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...
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