INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25 Remove ICBP, EXCL, and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Sector Property Amid tariff overhang concerns, we favour companies with clear earnings visibility, solid exposure to affordable housing, and clear re-rating catalysts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Update Axiata (AXIATA MK/BUY/RM2.09/Target: RM2.50) ...
ERAA’s retail group stated that it will offer the iPhone 16 series. The pre-order started on 28 March with availability starting from 11 Apr 25. The price range for iPhone 16 is Rp12.5m-33.0m (a 6% discount from the normal price), according to iBox. The company recorded 2024 NPAT of Rp1t, above our and consensus full-year estimates. However, its 2024 operating profit (Rp1.7t) was in line with our full-year forecast and consensus’. Maintain BUY. Target price: Rp480. ERAA trades at 7.1x 2025F PE, ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
Our portfolio in Mar 25 outperformed relative to the JCI and LQ45 by +3.3%/+2.7% respectively (simple average). In terms of the weighted average free float market cap, the portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +10.9%/+10.3% respectively due to a large rebound in BBRI. We remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF, and add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA to our portfolio. Given Trump’s 32% reciprocal tariffs on Indonesia, our portfolio picks lean towards defensive stocks: BBCA, ICBP, ERAA, EXCL, MIKA,...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
We maintain BUY with a target price of Rp480 for the following reasons: a) encouraging progress in lowering regulatory risk (from TKDN) for one key brand (Apple); b) new director Mr Patrick Adhiatmadja joining the company and bringing along his experience in the two-wheel EV ecosystem business in Indonesia and c) 2026 NPAT growth of 8% yoy, partly supported by the opening of new stores and higher productivity from existing stores. ERAA trades at 7.1x 2025F PE, similar to -1SD.
A director at Erajaya Swasembada bought 65,883,600 shares at 363.924IDR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Preview of property policies from two sessions; improvement in sentiment for Hong Kong's primary market. Sector Internet: Potential implications from implementation of social security insurances. Update Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK/BUY/HK$5.22/Target: HK$7.71): Takeaways from luncheon: On the way to becoming a connectivity hub. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp390/Target: Rp480): Key brand might gradually mitigate regula...
We maintain BUY on ERAA with a target price of Rp480 for the following factors: a) potentially lower regulatory risk as Apple has completed TKDN’s investment obligation for 2020-23; b) ERAA’s subsidiary and XPENG officially launching two EV car models; c) Indonesia’s EV market expected to grow at a 59% CAGR in 2023-30; and d) 2026 NPAT growth of 8% yoy, partly supported by new stores’ opening and existing stores’ higher productivity.
GREATER CHINA Update China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$41.20/Target: HK$49.00) 4Q24 preliminary results: Every cloud has a silver lining. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.18/Target: HK$12.00) Management expects IDG business’ growth to accelerate in 2025-26. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp384/Target: Rp480) New cooperation with XPENG and HONOR; maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Gamuda (GAM MK/BUY/RM...
We maintain BUY on ERAA (target price: Rp480) in view of three factors: a) ERAL (majority owned by ERAA) stated that its subsidiary had signed a distributor agreement with prominent Chinese EV player XPENG; b) Indonesia’s EV market is projected to grow at a 58.5% CAGR for 2023-30, according to a report by AC Ventures, a related industries’ association, and the Ministry of Industry; and c) ERAA’s strategic cooperation with HONOR smartphone amid the pending extension of Apple’s TKDN certification.
GREATER CHINA Sector IT Hardware Import substitution and geopolitical events will be key focal points for China semis going forward. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp404/Target: Rp480) Apple might invest US$1b in Indonesia, potentially mitigating regulatory risk. Upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Strategy 1H25 Strategy ...
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