KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt27.75/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q25: Results in line; robust bottom line performance and strong asset quality affirm the company's fundamental resilience despite recent share price volatility. TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt1.89/Target: Bt1.95) 2Q25: Results in line; well-managed asset quality. Update PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/SELL/Bt22.50/Target: Bt20.00) 2Q25 core earnings expected to remain a loss. Downgrade to SELL.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Operational update and 1H25 earnings preview for CR Land and COLI. Update Tiangong International (826 HK/NOT RATED/HK$2.10): Leading global provider of specialty steels benefitting from recovery. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ/BUY/Rp810/Target: Rp1,300): A blue ocean leader in integrated mobility and logistics. MALAYSIA Update PPB Group (PEP MK/BUY/RM9.63/Target: RM15.80): We expect 2Q25 results to come in flat qoq at RM340m-370m, given st...
In 1Q25, earnings under our coverage are at Bt201.14b (-0.1% yoy, +46.2% qoq). The qoq increase was due to seasonality. The banking, telecommunications and consumer staples sectors reported remarkable results. For 2025 we reduce earnings growth by 3.8%, but opportunities remain in domestic and external plays. Overall, we lower 2025F EPS to Bt80 from Bt94and our SET target to 1,280 (from 1,500 in 1Q25) based on 16.0x forward PE. Top picks are ADVANC, RATCH, BCH, IVL, PTTGC.
GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$4.89/Target: HK$6.20) FY25: Results in line; targets adjusted net earnings growth of 10-20% yoy in FY26. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$505.50/Target: HK$635.00) 1Q25: Earnings beat; international tourism and AI integration investments as key catalysts. Update Tsingtao Brewery (168 HK/BUY/HK$56.45/Target: HK$66.70) Focus on sales volume and profit growth; aims to raise dividend payo...
We expect PTTGC to post a 1Q25 loss of Bt2.7b, narrowing from 4Q24, supported by improved performances in the refinery business, olefins chain, and Allnex. The olefins chain benefitted from a higher proportion of ethane feedstock, and helped to ease pressure on the olefin spread, which remains weak due to the ongoing supply and demand challenges. Looking ahead, we anticipate a qoq earnings recovery in 2Q25, supported by a rebound in olefin spreads. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt21.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt23.50/Target: Bt33.00) Expect a healthy growth in 1Q25. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt48.50/Target: Bt79.60) Expect 1Q25 earnings to be stable yoy; resilient core business performance. PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/BUY/Bt18.20/Target: Bt21.00) 1Q25 loss projected to decline qoq.
GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$47.80/Target: HK$60.00) World’s largest music platform with evolving social ecosystem. Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/HOLD/Rmb13.99/Target: Rmb15.00) 2024: Results in line; maintain 2025 revenue growth estimate of 8.8% yoy. iFlytek (002230 CH/SELL/Rmb45.18/Target: Rmb35.00) 2024 and 1Q25: Earnings miss on heightened R&D spending; solid top-line growth. Update Sunn...
Business restructuring in 2024 and cost-cutting plan for 2025 are both solid strategies to navigate the ongoing volatility in the petrochemical sector. These initiatives support our expectation that PTTGC will return to profitability in 2025. Also, the reduction in regional petrochemical production capacity is likely to drive a gradual recovery in the olefins spread. While a loss is still anticipated in 1Q25, we could still see a significant qoq improvement. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt21...
GREATER CHINA Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$6.70/Target: HK$7.50): 2024: Above expectations on better NIM; recapitalisation plan is finalised. China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877 HK/HOLD/HK$8.05/Target: HK$8.50): 2024: Bottom line misses; targets revenue growth of 10% yoy in 2025. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$14.20/Target: HK$23.00): 4Q24: Earnings in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$23.00. Haier Smart Home (6690 HK/BUY/HK$24.70/Target: HK$37.80): 2024: 4Q...
PTTGC’s management believes the business has reached a trough, but the recovery remains challenging. PTTGC has a backup plan focused on cost reduction and improving competitiveness, which is expected to generate an additional Bt4.5b in profit. 2025 net profit will benefit from improved competitiveness due to increased ethane usage and the absence of losses following the business restructuring in 2024. Upgrade to BUY with a target price of Bt21.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt15.70/Target: Bt20.00) 4Q24: Weaker-than-expected earnings. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt49.25/Target: Bt79.30) 4Q24: Earnings exceeded estimates; record dividend announced. Electricity Generating PCL (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt96.25/Target: Bt120.00) 4Q24: Results in line with good outlook. Update LPN Development (LPN TB/SELL/Bt2.18/Target: Bt1.60) Unexciting business plan for...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Uptick in February. Sector Macau Gaming: Feb 25 GGR beat thanks to tail-end effect post CNY; switch top pick to Galaxy. Results New World Development (17 HK/HOLD/HK$4.82/Target: HK$4.45): 1HFY25: Net loss in line with profit warning and primarily caused by inventory impairment; refinancing progress to be the key. Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK/HOLD/HK$3.29/Target: HK$3.60): 2024: Below expectations; industry coordination and production discipline crucial to restore mar...
PTTGC reported a net loss of Bt11.7b in 4Q24, primarily due to provision expenses of Bt4.3b from PTTAC and Vencorex, along with weaker performance driven by lower petrochemical spreads and an unplanned refinery shutdown. We maintain a negative outlook on the petrochemical sector and recommend HOLD on PTTGC with a target price of Bt21.00. We suggest switching to BCP and IVL.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/HOLD/Bt19.60/Target: Bt21.00) 4Q24: Results in line with expectations. Update CH Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt15.20/Target: Bt20.20) 4Q24 results preview: Disappointing results expected. Delta Electronics (DELTA TB/SELL/Bt96.50/Target: Bt75.00) Facing multiple challenges; reiterate SELL. Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt27.75/Target: Bt38.00) Firmly on the growth path.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Observations of 2025 Chinese New Year: Weakened new-home sales in Jan 25 and low growth in tourists to Hong Kong; further policy support is needed and possible. Sector Education: Widespread AI adoption to fuel education sector’s monetisation growth. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$45.15/Target: HK$52.40): 4Q24 results preview: expect solid beat across all four segments. Maintain BUY. Small-mid Cap Highlight Cheerwin Group (6601 HK/NOT RATED...
PTTGC is projected to report a net loss of Bt11b in 4Q24, due to Bt4.5b in provisions for PTTAC and Vencorex, declining petrochemical spreads and an unplanned 45-day refinery shutdown. Considering the persistent weak demand, we have lowered our assumptions for petrochemical spreads and reduced our 2025 net profit forecast. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt23.00. We suggest switching to BCP and IVL.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Media Unexciting earnings but some light at the end of the tunnel. Results Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt50.50/Target: Bt60.00) 4Q24: Results in line with market expectations. Update PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/HOLD/Bt21.50/Target: Bt23.00) Expect a net loss in 4Q24.
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: Right on the mark – China hits 5% growth in 2024. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$146.70/Target: HK$200.00): 4Q24 preview: Strong growth outlook; JD to lead in 2025 trade-in programme. Sun Hung Kai & Co (86 HK/BUY/HK$2.68/Target: HK$5.24): 2024 preview: Capturing opportunities from market dislocations. MALAYSIA Strategy Trading Opportunity Knocks: The FBMKLCI’s ytd decline of 5.3%, markedly worse than anticipated, drives compelling trading activities par...
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