reports
- Mark Thomas
- Yingheng Chen
Hardman & Co Monthly: November 2025
Feature article: Feeding the future The case for food system investment Megatrends, at a very basic level, dictate the “direction of travel” for economic, social and political activity; investments made on this basis will receive powerful trend support. Today, the transformation of the global food system represents one such structural force. As demographic expansion, rising income and growing climate pressure converge, food sustainability as a strategic, long-term investment theme is no longe...
City of London Investment Group: 1 director
A director at City of London Investment Group bought 5,000 shares at 368p and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two y...
- Robin Savage
City of London Investment Group (CLIG LN) - 1Q IMS reveals FuM growth ...
CLIG’s 1Q IMS confirms its funds under management grew to $11.2bn, as most strategies beat benchmarks. Highlights • Funds under Management “FuM” on 30 September 2025 totalled $11,256m: up 4.9% yoy and up 4.1% in last three months • Market & investment performance added 8.0%, with 6 out of 10 strategies outperforming; - the underperformers represent 9% of FUM and average underperformance 67bps; - the average outperformance of 81% of FUM was 189bps • Net outflows for the quarter totalled $419m,...
- Brian Moretta
- Mark Thomas
Hardman & Co Monthly: October 2025
Feature article: Building tomorrow’s AI: How the UK will become the global architect of Trustworthy Intelligence In this month’s feature article, Professor Andy Pardoe, Professor of AI and Chair of the Deep Tech Innovation Centre at the University of Warwick, gives his perspective on the artificial intelligence (AI) industry and how it is advancing at an unprecedented pace, outstripping anything witnessed in previous decades. For researchers, industry leaders and investors, understanding the la...
- Robin Savage
City of London Investment Group (CLIG LN) - Finals beat expectations -...
CLIG’s results for the year to June 30, 2025 confirm $10.8 billion of funds under management (FuM) at year end and outperformance of most of its strategies compared to benchmarks. Current Group FuM is 2.8% higher at $11.1bn. Group revenues, profits and earnings beat Zeus’ expectations.
- Mark Thomas
- Nigel Hawkins
Hardman & Co Monthly: September 2025
Feature article: IICS/REIFS – NAV discounts and the ill wind from Denmark Since the start of 2024, the share prices of the eight Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and of the 18 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs) have been generally weak – and, conspicuously, have failed to recover the losses of 2023. Undoubtedly, high interest rates have undermined the sector – and there is no certainty that they will fall significantly. Not only has this situation adversely affected NAVs, b...
- Keith Hiscock
- Mark Thomas
Hardman & Co Monthly: August 2025
Feature article: Economic growth: Cry me a river The UK press and politicians are fixated on growth. The Labour Government came into office 12 months ago promising a new dawn. Its top priority was growth. Its manifesto, “Labour Party Manifesto 2024: Our plan to change Britain” devoted an entire chapter to “Kickstart economic growth”. In this article, we cover: ► Why growth is important ► The downside of growth ► What do politicians and markets mean by growth? ► Is growth in aggregate GDP th...
- Mark Thomas
Arbuthnot Banking Group: 1H’25 results: growing where it wants to
From ABG’s 1H’25 results, we note i) strong growth in low-capital-intensity businesses (deposits, wealth management) and high risk-adjusted-return specialist lending (most notably RAF and leasing businesses) ‒ ABG is not competing for business that does not meet its target returns and some loan books are shrinking (e.g. property lending), and ii) pre-tax profits halved on 1H’24 due to the well-flagged impact of the falling rate environment, less PE activity driving lower ACABL activity and low t...
- Robin Savage
City of London Investment Group (CLIG LN) - FY25 pre-close - Corporate
CLIG’s pre-close update, ahead of its full accounts for the year to June 30, 2025 reveal $10.8 billion of funds under management and outperformance of most of its strategies compared to benchmarks. With the US dollar 7% weaker, and FUM 6.1% ahead of our expectations, we leave our EPS and DPS forecasts in pence unchanged, while we nudge up our P&L forecast expressed in US dollars.
- Mark Thomas
- Mike Foster
- Nigel Hawkins
The Hardman & Co Monthly: July 2025
The risk of power cuts in the UK, for a variety of reasons, remains real. Low plant margins (i.e. limited spare capacity at peak) in the UK are obvious enough. However, the events of 28 April 2025 ‒ when Spain, Portugal and parts of France were plunged into lengthy power outages ‒ were very disconcerting. A recent Spanish government report has now placed much of the blame on the national system operator, the Redeia-owned Red Electrica. There was some criticism, too, of unnamed private sector gen...
- Mark Thomas
- Mike Foster
- Richard Jeans
Hardman & Co Monthly: June 2025
Feature article: Addressing the “risk off” investment challenge As we approach mid-2025, life remains challenging for many UK companies and their shareholders, and ‒ as a broad generalisation – consensus suggests little will change in the foreseeable future. So, are we now facing a real risk of the UK economy stagnating due to lack of funding? If that is the case, who is going to take the initiative and avert such a crisis? Business life must continue, despite the macro environment providing ...
- Brian Moretta
- Jason Streets
- Mark Thomas
Hardman & Co Monthly: May 2025
Feature article: Attractive asset managers - Radical derating presumes things only get worse The UK asset management sector has been significantly derated over the past couple of years. It has faced the dual problem of a shift towards passives and to private assets and away from traditional listed equities and bonds. However, the sector’s assets haven’t collapsed; its margins have proved relatively robust and its profits fairly stable, even against all the rising costs. The clear implication, ...
- Robin Savage
- Mark Thomas
Arbuthnot Banking Group - 2024 results: franchise growing through the ...
The core of any successful, long-term business lies in offering clients the products they want so that they give you more business and, in turn, you attract new customers. The 2024 results show how ABG has achieved this, with growth in i) specialist lending (now £828m, 35% of loans up 33% in 2023, 27% in 2022 and 21% in 2021), ii) deposit volumes (+10%), and iii) wealth management (FUMA +30%). 1,200 new banking clients were onboarded in 2024. Short-term profits reflected that ABG had optimised r...
Hardman & Co Research: Arbuthnot Banking Group - 2024 results: franchi...
Hardman & Co Research Hardman & Co Research: Arbuthnot Banking Group - 2024 results: franchise growing through the noise 04-Apr-2025 / 16:00 GMT/BST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Hardman & Co Research on Arbuthnot Banking Group (ARBB): 2024 results: franchise growing through the noise The core of any successful, long-term business lies in offering clients the products they want so that they give you more business and, in turn, you attract new customers. The 2024 results show how ABG has achieved this, with growth in i) specialist len...
- Mark Thomas
- Martin Hall
Hardman & Co Monthly: April 2025
Feature article: 2024 pharma statistics An efficient reporting system has seen all the listed multinational pharmaceutical companies announce results for 2024, which has given us the opportunity to update our industry statistics and drug database. This report provides the first snapshot of global pharmaceutical market growth plus the global and US company rankings for 2024. The year was characterised by 9.2% underlying (ex-COVID-19) growth. Much of the growth was driven by recently launched ant...
- Mark Thomas
- Nigel Hawkins
Hardman & Co Monthly: March 2025
In this month's feature article, we review the energy situation in the UK. On the domestic front, Ofgem has recently announced the new price cap figure of £1,849 for a typical household’s annual use of gas and electricity; this figure represents an increase of 6.4% over the January-March 2025 price cap. UK energy policy has changed of late, following the election of a Labour government last summer. The quest for Net Zero by 2030 – a hardly realistic target – is now a priority. Rightly or wrong...
- Robin Savage
City of London Investment Group (CLIG LN) - Interims meet & beat expe...
CLIG’s interim results are ahead of its trading update, published on 20 January, as average FUM was higher than we had expected, enabling revenue, profit and cashflow to beat our expectations for the first half. Confident in our forecasts for the years to June 2025 and 2026, we maintain our expectation of a 33p full year dividend. CLIG, cum-11p interim DPS, is trading on a 9.3% yield.
- Robin Savage
City of London Investment Group (CLIG) - Interims preview - Corporate
Ahead of interims scheduled for Tuesday 25 February, we adjust our forecasts following CLIG’s Preclose update and US dollar movements. As a reminder, CLIG reports its results in US dollars. Our forecast EPS and DPS, which are quoted in pence per share remain unchanged.
- Keith Hiscock
- Mark Thomas
Hardman & Co Monthly: February 2025
Feature article: The October 2024 Budget - We got it wrong By Keith Hiscock, CEO at Hardman & Co In this month's feature article, we review the effects of the 2024 Budget and consider what might happen in the coming months. Our Hardman Monthly of October 2024 looked forward to the first Labour Budget for 14 years. The main theme was that, because the new Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, had ruled out increases in taxes on ‘working people’, investors would bear the brunt of any tax increases to fill ...
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