Stay Tactically Overweight Defensives Our 2023 outlook, initially discussed in our January 6th 2023 Int'l Compass, was for $93 to cap upside on the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); this has again proven prescient. Since late-January/early-February we have recommended shifting to defensives, and MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care (IXJ-US), Utilities (JXI-US), and Consumer Staples (KXI-US) are now hitting 3-4-month RS highs. With the ACWI-US just now starting to turn down after testing $93, we...
Shift Toward Defensives as ACWI-US Makes Push for $93 The MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), EAFE (EFA-US), and EM (EEM-US) are all reversing topside their 2-month downtrends. Despite this being a bullish short-term development, we still expect $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US, leaving about 4-5% upside from here... see charts below. As a result, we would use any further strength as an opportunity to get more defensive. Important downside levels on ACWI-US continue to be $86, $84, and $...
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