GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...
Jun 25 4W industry wholesales weakened to 57,760 units (-4.7% mom, -22.6% yoy), marking the lowest monthly volume since the COVID-19 period (excluding Apr 25, which was seasonally low due to the post-Lebaran effect). ASII’s market share reached 51% in June (vs 54% in 6M25). On the bright side, BYD recently announced several price hikes for its models (although there are deep discounts on selected models), perhaps easing the cut-throat price war sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Update Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$80.55/Target: HK$110.00) Becoming a significant player in the weight management market in China. INDONESIA Sector Automobile Weak Jun 25 sales; BYD recently increased prices. Update XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,230/Target: Rp2,600) Focusing on long-term benefits of positive synergies from the merger, upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Sector...
Automobile: Weak Jun 25 sales; BYD hike prices. XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,260/Target: Rp2,600): Focusing on long-term benefits of positive synergies from the merger, upgrade to BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Bank Jago (ARTO IJ): Technical BUY Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In May: Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising Emphasis On Infrastructure Plays: Our May 25 Alpha Picks outperformed with resounding success. June 25 picks: Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, MYEG, Northeast Group. SINGAPORE S...
GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$4.89/Target: HK$6.20) FY25: Results in line; targets adjusted net earnings growth of 10-20% yoy in FY26. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$505.50/Target: HK$635.00) 1Q25: Earnings beat; international tourism and AI integration investments as key catalysts. Update Tsingtao Brewery (168 HK/BUY/HK$56.45/Target: HK$66.70) Focus on sales volume and profit growth; aims to raise dividend payo...
ASII’s 1Q25 analyst meeting included considerable discussion on the future direction of the automotive business and explored the reasons behind the segment's relatively resilient margins despite weak auto sales. 1Q25 net profit was relatively in line with our 2025 estimate (24%), should we exclude the mark-to-market investments in GOTO and HEAL. We maintain HOLD with a target price of Rp5,100.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales down wow due to holiday. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Internet: Expecting ample monetisation potential on promising game pipelines in 2025. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.31/Target: HK$12.00): 1Q25: EBITDA declines 11% yoy; China’s consumer confidence and on-premise channels show no significant recovery; expects sell-in to match sell-through in 2H25. Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$3...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: Takeaways from Shanghai Auto Show 2025. 1Q25 results review for BYD, GWM and GAC. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Consumer: Politburo meeting: Emphasising income improvement and service consumption; prefer consumer companies with strong cost control and domestic focus. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$397.00/Target: HK$510.00): 1Q25: Earnings double yoy, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$510.00. EVE Energy (300014 HK/BU...
The weak 4W and 2W sales in 3M25 were caused by weak purchasing power amid a weakening rupiah, slow government spending, and stricter auto-loan financing given tighter liquidity, in our view. Amid rising tensions caused by the tariff war and concerns on aggressive EV penetration, ASII’s auto sales outlook remains relatively soft in 2025-26, although the market share disruption is more apparent for other conventional non-EV brands. Cut our target price to Rp5,100. Downgrade to HOLD.
AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,185/Target: Rp1,350): 1Q25: Weak land sales, but strong trading and distribution business. Starting to book land sales in 2Q25. Upgrade to BUY. Astra International (ASII IJ/HOLD/Rp4,860/Target: Rp5,100): EV disruption is worsening; cheap but lacks catalysts. Downgrade to HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER Bank Jago (ARTO IJ): Technical BUY Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls: Add Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Desay, JD Logistics, Mengniu, Plover Bay and Tencent. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Feb 25: Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Unprecedented Combo Of Disappointments: Our Feb 25 Alpha Picks sorely underperformed. Mar 25 picks: 99SpeedMart, Alpha IVF, KPJ Healthcare, MrDIY, MYEG, RHB Ba...
Our portfolio underperformed in Feb 25, declining 17.1% as JCI dropped 11.8% to a three-year low. There was a sell-off on banking stocks as investors were concerned that being included in Danantara could result in a similar fate to state-owned construction companies. Due to a sharp rise in DCII, IDXTECH outperformed in Feb 25. We remove BMRI, ISAT and CTRA from our portfolio and add MIKA. Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII.
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