GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Still Ample Domestic Catalysts: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Dec 24. Jan 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, SP Setia, VSI and Yinson. SINGAP...
The JCI delivered a 3.7% decline in 2024, underperforming the MSASJ after two previous years of outperformance. IDXENER was the top performing sector in the JCI with a 31.9% return. IDXFIN dropped 6.2% in 2024 with big banks delivering negative returns. Gains of over 100% have been observed in MLPT, SRAJ, JSPT, PTRO, PANI, CLEO and BRMS. The worst performers are SMGR, UNVR, MDKA, GGRM, TOWR, TLKM and HMSP. For 2025, our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO.
Strategy: 2024 JCI Return Analysis: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. TRADERS’ CORNER Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ): Technical BUY Trimegah Bangun Persada (NCKL IJ): Technical BUY
Due to the performance in 9M24, our portfolio outperformed in 2024. Our selections recorded a 2.2% return compared with the JCI’s decline 2.7% in 2024. In Dec 24, our selections fell 6.2% while the JCI dropped only 0.5%. We add ISAT and KLBF into our portfolio to add defensiveness and foresee uncertainty in the market. We also triggered our stop-loss and dropped BBTN and NCKL. Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024 Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Update VS Industry (VSI MK/BUY/RM1.16/Target: RM1.50) Despite a 17% recovery in its share price since its low in m...
The key takeaways from our regional KL conference are: a) most investors agree that Prabowo’s programmes are positive for Indonesia; b) investors are concerned about the widening budget deficit; c) foreign investors are pleased that local fund managers are buying; d) there is interest in syariah banks, particularly BRIS; and e) investors are inquiring about ACES vs Mr DIY Indonesia. Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO.
Strategy: Key Takeaways From Regional Strategy Conference: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. TRADERS’ CORNER PP Persero (PTPP IJ): Technical BUY Bukalapak.com (BUKA IJ): Technical BUY
Thanks to the 20.1% decline of CTRA, our portfolio underperformed in Nov 24. Our selection delivered an average 7.3% decline compared to JCI’s 6.1% decline. Excluding CTRA’s weak return, our portfolio actually delivered a 5.8% decline. Only ASII delivered a flat return (0%). Losers are: CTRA (-20.1%), BBRI (-11.5%), BBTN (-8.5%), BMRI (-8.2%), JSMR (-8.2%), NCKL (-7.2%), BBNI (-5.3%), CMRY (-1.8%) and EXCL (-1.3%). Our picks are NCKL, BBTN, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII.
Strategy: Alpha Picks: Underperformed In Nov 24 Due To CTRA’s 20% Drop: Our picks are NCKL, BBTN, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. TRADERS’ CORNER Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS IJ): Technical BUY Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
Trump 2.0 is unlikely to deter Indonesia’s exports to the US as Indonesia should be able to maintain its cost competitiveness. Interest rates are likely to be reduced by 100bp in 2025 and our economist continues to foresee a stronger rupiah. For 2025, investors should focus on the beneficiaries of domestic policies, such as the automobile, banking, consumer, property and technology sectors. Our top picks are BBCA, BBNI, BMRI, BBTN, ASII, SMRA, CTRA, GOTO, CMRY, ACES, SIDO and KLBF.
Strategy: Focus On Beneficiaries Of Domestic Policies: Our top picks are BBCA, BBNI, BMRI, BBTN, ASII, SMRA, CTRA, GOTO, CMRY, ACES, SIDO and KLBF. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. TRADERS’ CORNER Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ): Technical BUY Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ): Technical BUY
Trump 2.0 is unlikely to deter Indonesia’s exports to the US as Indonesia should be able to maintain its cost competitiveness. Interest rates are likely to be reduced by 100bp in 2025 and our economist continues to foresee a stronger rupiah. For 2025, investors should focus on the beneficiaries of domestic policies, such as the automobile, banking, consumer, property and technology sectors. Our top picks are BBCA, BBNI, BMRI, BBTN, ASII, SMRA, CTRA, GOTO, CMRY, ACES, SIDO and KLBF. We have an en...
GREATER CHINA Results Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$40.00) 3Q24: Revenue and earnings beat; positive outlook for online games growth. Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK/BUY/HK$17.70/Target: HK$20.00) 3Q24: Earnings beat; poised for better margin outlook in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$505.00/Target: HK$640.00) 3Q24: Solid earnings beat; stepped up investment for interntational market share expansion. XPeng Inc...
In Oct 24, car sales came in at 77,705 units, recording the 16h consecutive monthly decline. However, the rate of decline narrowed due to last year’s low base. For 10M24, car unit sales declined 14.3% yoy. Toyota is still the market leader with five products in the top 10. BYD retook the no. 6 position thanks to its 7-seater BYD M6. BEVs comprise 5.1% of total car sales in Indonesia and this could surpass 10% by 2025. We have a BUY rating on ASII and a HOLD on UNTR. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Channel checks and observations of Shanghai primary market. INDONESIA Update Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp4,970/Target: Rp6,000): Should be able to cope with intense competition. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation: MPOB’s Oct 24 data showed a slow inventory rebuild due to higher exports and declining production. Results CTOS Digital (CTOS MK/BUY/RM1.14/Target: RM1.51): 3Q24: Results within expectations. While management has revised its internal guidance for 2025, w...
ASII mentioned that it has economies of scale, mass market penetration, good resale value products and a wide distribution network with which to withstand intense competition. It believes that hybrid vehicles will be the growth driver, especially outside of Java. Financing did well in 9M24 thanks to used vehicles. ASII also spent Rp4.2t on healthcare with its recent acquisition of Heartology Cardiovascular Hospital which was acquired at an attractive 1.6x PBV. Maintain BUY with a higher target p...
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