A director at Altri SPGS S.A. sold 284,081 shares at 4.958EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
>Operating results in line, lower financial and tax charges drive net profit beat - Altri results came slightly above our estimates at the operating level (+4.7% EBITDA). As expected, Q4 2023 results reflect a large sequential improvement in market conditions (+7.4% growth in sales vs Q3 2023, EBITDA margin of 21.3% vs 9.3% in Q3 2023) on higher pulp prices (+9% q-o-q: demand recovery in Asia, end of destocking process) and contained cash costs (normalization of energ...
>Pulp price weakness depress quarterly results as expected - Altri’s results came broadly in line with our estimates. Results were affected by the sharp decline in hardwood pulp prices in euros (-43% vs Q3 2023 and -24% compared to Q2 2023) which significantly dragged revenues (-39% y-o-y and -14% sequentially) as expected. Price declines were the result of the normalisation of the value chains (after a troubled 2022 affected by supply disruptions and logistic difficu...
We are updating our view on the Pulp and Paper sector in Iberia and switch our preference to pulp over paper producers on price cycle fundamentals. We have consequently upgraded our recommendation on Altri from Underperform to Neutral (TP € 5.1, -12% vs a previous € 5.8) while we maintain our Outperform recommendation on Ence (TP € 3.9). We have also downgraded our recommendation on Navigator (from Outperform to Underpeform, TP € 3.9: -17% vs a previous € 4.7) while we stick to ...
>Weak set of results on poor prices, low volumes and persistent cost inflation - Weak Q2 2023 results (EBITDA -38% sequentially and -20% vs our estimates) marked by the decline in pulp prices (-18% vs Q1 2023 levels) and sticky operating costs (-13% unadjusted cash costs compared to Q1 2023), which drove EBITDA margins towards 15.4%, well below our estimates (21%) and previous quarter levels (22.3%) despite the significant increase in production volumes (+17%) after m...
Que ce soit en termes macroéconomiques ou sur les profits des sociétés européennes exposées à la Chine, la réouverture est amenée à décevoir dans les mois qui viennent. Dans ce contexte, nous proposons une stratégie de long/short sur 7 secteurs: Hotels / Airports : long IHG / short ADP - Luxury / Textiles : long Moncler / short adidas - Food & Bev / consumers : long Pernod Ricard / short L’Oréal - Cap Goods : long Knorr-Bremse / Short Kone - Chemicals : long Covestro / short BASF - A...
On the macroeconomic front or in terms of the profits of European firms exposed, China’s reopening could disappoint in the months ahead. We offer a long/short strategy with players set to stand out in this context: hotels/airports: long IHG/short ADP, luxury/textiles: long Moncler/short adidas, food and beverages/consumer: long Pernod Ricard/short L’Oréal, capital goods: long Knorr-Bremse/short Kone, chemicals: long Covestro/short BASF, auto and parts: long Porsche /short Volkswagen, ...
>Results in line with estimates - Results were in line with our estimates, reflecting the correction in pulp prices and maintenance downtime at the Celbi plant. Indeed, sales came in slightly above our estimates but lower margins drove EBITDA to € 50m vs € 52m expected. The destocking process along the pulp and paper value chains in Europe led to a decrease in volumes and declines in fibre prices. Pulp production stood at 240k tonnes (-14.5% y-o-y, -17.5% q-o-q) due t...
>Record results, broadly in line with estimates - Altri’s FY 2022 results (EBITDA € 301m: +34% y-o-y, +6% vs estimates) slightly exceeded our estimates at the operating level on strong pulp prices ($ 1,380/tn in Q4 2022, now at $ 1,300/t), resilient volumes (1.1mt, in line with our estimates) and strong operating performance (EBITDA margin of 28.3%) despite the persistent inflationary pressures (wood, logistics, energy and chemicals). Both Sales and EBITDA reached his...
We are initiating coverage of Deutsche PfandbriefBank AG (‘PBB’) with a Neutral rating and a target price set at € 9.2. Despite its robust balance sheet (CET1 FL ratio ~16%, NPL ratio ~1%) and niche positioning (real estate and public sector financing via Pfandbriefe, or bank-issued covered bonds), the group’s operating performances (RoE 24m ~4%) are likely to be penalised by the deterioration in the macroeconomic climate and the uncertainty on the real estate market, notably in Germa...
Nous initions la couverture de Deutsche PfandbriefBank AG (‘PBB’) avec une recommandation Neutre et un OC fixé à 9.2 €. En dépit d’un bilan solide (ratio CET1 FL ~16%, ratio NPL ~1%) et d’un positionnement de niche (financement immobilier & public via Pfandbriefe - obligations bancaires adossées), les performances opérationnelles (RoE 24M ~4%) du groupe devraient être pénalisées par la détérioration du contexte macroéconomique et les incertitudes sur le marché immobilier notamment en ...
>EBITDA per ton at record levels - Altri’s Q3 2022 results came in slightly above our estimates due to higher operating margins (EBITDA margin of 32.6% vs 30% estimated) despite persisting inflationary pressures in natural gas, chemicals and wood. EBITDA per ton reached € 338m, +23% vs Q3 2021 and +41% vs Q2 2022, its highest level due to record pulp prices ($1,380/t) and strong operating performance. Sales performed in line with estimates (+31% y-o-y, driven by the ...
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