reports
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
CEZ: 1 director
A director at CEZ sold 5,000 shares at 1,128.684CZK and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing C...
- Andreas Riemann
- Jean Danjou
- Marc Lavaud
- Youssef Besbes
ZIL2 ELRINGKLINGER AG
A1XEH4 CROSSJECT SA
TNG TRANSGENE SA
CGM CEGEDIM SA
BOSS HUGO BOSS AG
NANO NANOBIOTIX SA
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
XIL XILAM ANIMATION SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
VOS VOSSLOH AG
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
CLA CLARANOVA SE
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
MRX MISTER SPEX SE
ENER GRUPO ECOENER S.A.
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
- Andreas Riemann
- Jean Danjou
- Marc Lavaud
- Youssef Besbes
ZIL2 ELRINGKLINGER AG
A1XEH4 CROSSJECT SA
TNG TRANSGENE SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
CGM CEGEDIM SA
BOSS HUGO BOSS AG
NANO NANOBIOTIX SA
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
XIL XILAM ANIMATION SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
VOS VOSSLOH AG
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
CLA CLARANOVA SE
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
MRX MISTER SPEX SE
ENER GRUPO ECOENER S.A.
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; ACP PW; INPST NA; KTY PW; HSBK LI; TITC GA; GPP ...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • Asseco Poland: 4Q24 review – net profit up 9% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • InPost: 4Q24 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA growth guidance in the mid-20%s, but a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Kety: solid full 4Q24 results, with EBITDA 12% above preliminaries POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 4Q24 review and 2025E guidance highlights • Titan Cem...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
- Jovan Sikimic
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Polish Banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP,...
The Polish banks have rallied 35% ytd, but the median total return for the LTM has arrived at 18%+ for the Polish banks under our coverage. We feel that the market is currently in a similar place to exactly a year ago. The banks have performed well since the end of last year, but valuations remain attractive, with our 2025-26E median P/Es of 9.0-8.2x, at discounts to the long-term valuation levels and with solid single-digit dividend yields in 1H25E. Our upgraded forecasts imply a 10% median EPS...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPL PW; IGN1L LH; PZU PW; GPP PW; CZG CP; PPC GA; LAMDA GA...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: strategy focused on growth (stays BUY) • Ignitis Group: making headway (BUY - transfer of coverage) • PZU: 4Q24 well ahead of expectations, holding structure to be created within PZU group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q24 results – EBITDA up 9% yoy, 9% above our forecast and 1% above the consensus POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: FY24 results review NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 4Q24 earnings, and preview of a potential mega data centre NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 4Q2...
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
ENA ENEA S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WPL PW; ALR PW; TEN PW; WPS LN; PL Retail; CEZ CP; PL Macr...
HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 17% yoy, 8% above the consensus POSITIVE • Alior Bank: 2027E targets – PLN 2.6bn of net profit; ROE above 18%; payout ratio above 50% POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: mixed newsflow – solid 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA, strong dividend recommendation, but disappointing trading update POSITIVE • Eurowag: 2H24 operating results in line, special dividend announced NEUTRAL • Polish retail: Zabka's 4Q24 below the consensus NEGATIVE • CEZ: up...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; DAT PW; TL Macro; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; GTC...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Financial Stability Committee mentions sanction of free credit risk for consumer loans portfolio NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q24 results – sales up 19% yoy, to PLN 9.09m POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: putting the CBRT’s emergency rate hike into context • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (17-23 March) • GTC: solvency of controlling investor in question, after State Audit Office of Hungary's report • Banca Transilvania: dividend proposal from the 2024 profits NEUTRA...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; SIPCHEM AB; TL Macro; KAP LI; JMT PL; ALR PW; PC...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: first politician to suggest additional military tax for the banks NEGATIVE • Sipchem: preliminary 4Q24 results, net profit down, on maintenance NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: CBRT tightens policy with surprise corridor hike • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results – well above the market’s estimates POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call NEGATIVE • Alior Bank: CEO Żabski’s interview with Puls Biznesu, ahead of strategic update (due on 25 March) • Sipchem: to mothb...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DSPW CP; ESLT IT; CBF PW; KAP LI; VRC PW; OPL PW; PEO PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: steaming ahead (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Elbit Systems: 4Q24 – strong results, record FCF generation POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: 4Q24 results review – 27% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with our estimates and the consensus POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2025-28E strategy announcement – at least PLN 1.2bn FCF in 2028E POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: recommends DPS of PLN 12.6 and des...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DIA PW; EME Macro/Strategy Ukraine Primer; EME Macro/Strat...
HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: take a test (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: Ukraine – a macro primer • EME Macro/Strategy: Ukraine’s peace deal – WOOD’s equity playbook • EMEA airlines: some notes on the potential Ukraine reopening • Aegean Airlines: 4Q24 – material beat vs. our estimates, on higher revenue and lower employee costs POSITIVE • Dom Development: 4Q24 – strongest year on record POSITIVE • Vercom: 4Q24 results review – 29% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with the consensus ...
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – EMEA airlines: some notes on the potential Ukraine reopen...
In our airlines coverage, we see Wizz Air (BUY, PT GBP 20) as the key beneficiary of a potential re-opening of Ukraine. We expect Ryanair and Wizz Air to move in strongly to Ukraine after it reopens, and we expect that the two carriers may end up with a large share of the Ukrainian aviation market. Given that European aviation capacity growth in 2025E is forecast by both IATA and Eurocontrol only at a mid-single digit pace, constrained by supply-chain issues, the gradual return of traffic to Isr...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PCO PW; AIRA LI; CEZ CP; ALE PW; SHO PW; PL Banks; MBR PW;...
HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: structurally challenged (downgraded to HOLD) • Air Astana Group: 4Q24 – good, at first glance; dividend surprises positively • CEZ: takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEGATIVE • Allegro: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call POSITIVE • Shoper: takeaways from the post-4Q24 prelims management call NEUTRAL • Polish banks: receive maximum dividend payout ratio letters from the PFSA – no surprises NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: unfavourable ruling results in closure of Wałbrzych branch (2...
- Julian Dobrovolschi
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
CEZ CEZ AS
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
SZG SALZGITTER AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ERA ERAMET SA
ENEL ENEL SPA
NDA AURUBIS AG
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Julian Dobrovolschi
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
CEZ CEZ AS
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
SZG SALZGITTER AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ERA ERAMET SA
ENEL ENEL SPA
NDA AURUBIS AG
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; BHW PW; SOKM TI; GEV CP; BFT PW; GPP PW; BDX PW;...
HEADLINES: • BIM: strong operating results in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: 4Q24 results do not bring much new to the table NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: recovery in operating results masked by bottom-line loss in 4Q24 NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 4Q24 results – lower than expected, due to one-off expenses NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: key takeaways from the call on the MAC Group acquisition in Türkiye POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: PLN 28.6m revaluation of Beamery to harm 2024 results NEGATIVE • Budimex: an...
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