reports
- Emira Sagaama
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
AKRBF AKER BP ASA
REL RELX PLC
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
IPN IPSEN SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
RNO RENAULT SA
LI KLEPIERRE SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
COV COVIVIO SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
SW SODEXO SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
RXL REXEL SA
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
BEI BEIERSDORF AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KER KERING SA
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
REP REPSOL SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
SAP SAP SE
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
MRNA MODERNA INC.
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
SGSN SGS SA
- Emira Sagaama
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
AKRBF AKER BP ASA
REL RELX PLC
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
IPN IPSEN SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
RNO RENAULT SA
LI KLEPIERRE SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
COV COVIVIO SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
SW SODEXO SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
RXL REXEL SA
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
BEI BEIERSDORF AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KER KERING SA
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
REP REPSOL SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
SAP SAP SE
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
MRNA MODERNA INC.
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
SGSN SGS SA
- Emira Sagaama
- Emmanuel Matot
IPS IPSOS
FP TOTAL SE
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
EN BOUYGUES SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
SDG SYNERGIE SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
LPE LAURENT-PERRIER SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
NEX NEXANS SA
ICAD ICADE SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
REP REPSOL SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
ERG ERG S.P.A.
CTAC CTAC N.V.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
AOF ATOSS SOFTWARE AG
RIEN RIETER HOLDING AG
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
CON CONZZETA AG
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
INSD VERIMATRIX SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VLTSA VOLTALIA
ECONT ECONOCOM GROUP SE CLASS D
BP. BP P.L.C.
GALE GALENICA AG
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
4X0 STEYR MOTORS AG
- Jovan Sikimic
ODDO : Healthy operational outlook absorbs higher tax beyond 2026
We think that the robust outlook for Polish economic growth should offset mid-term uncertainty on fiscal policy and political risk. We have made a slight upward revision to our forecasts for pre-tax profit (by 1% to 4%) but lowered our EPS forecasts by 21% for 2026e and 4% for 2027e. After factoring in the full impact of the new tax bill, we have adjusted our target prices but remain cautiously positive on Polish banks. We favour mBank (upgrade to Outperform) for its upbeat long-term outlook and...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PKN PW; VGO PW; Poland macro; BDX PW; PZU PW; SFG RO; CEZ ...
HEADLINES: • Orlen: makes an offer to buy Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 sales up 48.5% yoy to PLN 23.3m POSITIVE • Poland macro: August balance of payments data underscores weak exports • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from Budimex's consortium scored highest in the PKP PLK tender POSITIVE • PZU: the new CEO gives one of his first interviews, discussing the potential PZU–Pekao merger NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: Hard Rock Cafe joining the company’s brand portfolio POSITIVE • CEZ: AN...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KAP LI; ESLT US; MONET CP; MBR PW; CAR PW; RBW PW; GTC PW;...
HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: strong execution at a rich valuation (stays HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: management recommends CZK 4/share extra dividend due before the year-end POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: conditions have been met for the acquisition of Eco Point PSA shares POSITIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales 5.7% higher yoy NEUTRAL • GTC: repurchases EUR 195m of 2026 bonds • Er...
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DIA PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; TEN PW; PL Telecoms; GTC PW; TPEIR...
HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...
- Koray Pamir
- Mehmet Yigit Yorulmaz
Monthly Refining Margin Data (September 2025)
In September, within mid distillates, diesel cracks (in USD/bbl.) registered at 26.6 (up 4.6 m/m, up 11.8 y/y) and jet fuel cracks registered at 21.6 (up 3.3 m/m, up 9.4 y/y) based on Tupras provided data. Gasoline cracks came to 21.8 (up 3.4 m/m, up 10.5 y/y). HSFO cracks were realized at negative 9.1 (down 2.3 m/m, up 4.2 y/y). Differentials were slightly wider m/m. On a quarterly basis, diesel cracks came to 25.0 (up 60% y/y, up 46% q/q), jet cracks rose to 20.0 (up 48% y/y, up 26% q/q) and ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ZAB PW; PCF PW; RBW PW; Polish utilities; TEN PW; HUG PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Zabka Group: 2026-28E rollout targets raised to 1.3k stores p.a.; dividend policy announced POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 losses deeper qoq on lower revenue and material write-offs • Rainbow Tours: consolidated August sales +17.6% yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales +7.9% yoy POSITIVE • Polish utilities: electricity sales tariffs for 4Q25 set at PLN 573/MWh POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: September Sensor Tower bookings estimates flat mom, improvement in core games N...
- Jovan Sikimic
- Maxime Kogge
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
SDG SYNERGIE SA
INF INFOTEL SA
BEN BENETEAU SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
FAGR FAGRON SA
VRAP VRANKEN-POMMERY MONOPOLE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
TRI TRIGANO SA
A1XA4J CARBIOS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
QDT QUADIENT SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
VK VALLOUREC SA
ALVGO VOGO SA
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
MFEA MEDIASET NV
FERGR FERRARI GROUP PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
- Erol Danis
- Koray Pamir
Model Portfolio Update - Adding Aygaz to our Model Portfolio
Yesterday may have been about iPhone 17; today is about Aygaz where, even after a 10% holding discount, the participation portfolio now trades broadly at par with its market cap, leaving the core LPG franchise (including net cash of TL2.3bn) effectively priced at zero—an inefficiency we expect to mean-revert. We recently upgraded to Buy and the shares have outperformed the BIST-100 by c.5% since; we now add Aygaz to our model portfolio to reiterate our conviction. Near-term EPS is supported by ...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland – worst performer in August
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
GPP CTP NV
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
OPTIMAr ELM CO
AQ OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB BANK OF CYPRUS
ALPHA ZABKA GROUP
PE RO ALPHA BANK S.A.
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TUPRS TI; KRU PW; WPL PW; ENA PW; G2M SS; TLV RO; TEN PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Tupras: enjoying life in the margins (stays BUY) • Kruk: 2Q25 beat, on a positive tax balance, lower financial costs and a drop in the cost to collect ratio POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 24% yoy, 6% above the consensus; weak 2H25E outlook NEGATIVE • Enea: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA 15% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply and better Generation; PLN 2.8bn capex, including wind farm acquisitions POSITIVE • Gentoo Media: 2Q25 financial...
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Jonathan Lamb
Tupras: enjoying life in the margins (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY on Tupras, with an updated 12M price target (PT) of TRY 276.0 (from TRY 84.9), offering 59.7% upside. We have prepared our latest forecasts based on a USD-denominated model, converted to a fixed TRY rate to meet the IAS 29 accounting standard. Refining margins remain above the mid-cycle averages, despite a downward trend in the last three years. The opportunities available for cheap Russian feedstock have reduced, but not disappeared. A solution to the Kirkuk pipeline issue w...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TEN PW; GPP PW; BFT PW; AKCNS TI; M RO
HEADLINES: • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 adjusted EBITDA down 11% qoq, 4-9% above expectations POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, in line with our forecast, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways – supportive of the 2026E outlook NEUTRAL • Akcansa: competition investigation launched NEGATIVE • MedLife: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 August)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PE RO; PL Banks; DNP PW; BDX PW; KAP LI; MBR PW; CPS PW; T...
HEADLINES: • Premier Energy: focus on RES (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, some offset may come from slight cut in the bank tax NEGATIVE • Dino: 1-5% EBITDA miss in 2Q25; FY25E lfl guidance cut to mid-single digits NEGATIVE • Budimex: final 2Q25 results fully confirm prelims NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings call takeaways – optimistic outlook for 2H25E POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 2Q25 ear...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
WOOD Flash – Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, so...
We see this news as outright negative, which could halt the robust share price performance of the Polish banks, for some time at least. One aspect is the direct financial impact of the proposed tax regime change for the sector, and another is that such a change could reduce trust in the stability of the operating backdrop of banking (and other sectors, potentially) in Poland. This could result in international investors applying a higher market risk premium to the Polish market, going forward, i...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: NLBR SV; DIGI RO; DOC AV; PL Macro; PL Banks; MBR PW; CEZ ...
HEADLINES: • NLB Group: still cheap, despite the rally (stays BUY) • DIGI Communications: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA down 1% yoy, 2% below our estimate NEGATIVE • DO & CO: 1Q FY26 results above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: GDP growth steady in 2Q • Polish banks: tax on obligatory reserve remuneration may be announced in the coming weeks NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: consortium with MBR signs PLN 30m “eco bomb” contract POSITIVE • CEZ: E.ON negotiating, reportedly, with CEZ on the sale of ...
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