HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 3Q25 - malls and marinas steady, bond and land sale to boost liquidity • Kety: 4Q25 results and 2026E guidance conference call NEUTRAL • Orlen: to acquire butadiene plant at Plock, Poland, from Synthos NEGATIVE • PGE: to acquire a 350MW offshore project from RWE POSITIVE • Polish utilities: offshore auction results - minimum price at PLN 477/MWh POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB extends the pause
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: paid to wait (stays BUY) • Polish utilities: 2030 capacity market price set at PLN 465/kW/year NEUTRAL • Orlen: receives response from Grupa Azoty about offer for Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEUTRAL • CEZ: new government aiming to reduce power bills by c.10% or more NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: preparing to drill offshore Bulgaria by the year-end NEUTRAL
Brent crude oil prices decreased USD 0.3/bbl mom in November, to USD 63.7/bbl. In October, OPEC production hit its highest level since April 2023, reaching 28.5mbpd. The WOOD benchmark refining margin increased to USD 18.7/bbl, its best reading since September 2023. Olefin margins were lower but polyolefins margins improved marginally.
NEWS SUMMARY: INDITEX, REPSOL, SANTANDER. December kicks off with losses Stock markets on both sides of the Atlantic started the week off with drops in a cautious session. The IBEX 35 ended its streak of five straight sessions of gains, while the geopolitical risk continues to rise after Trump ordered Venezuelan airspace be closed. In the STOXX 600, Household Goods and Basic Materials rose the most, with the biggest drops coming in Industrials and Financial Services. On the macro side, in Spain...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDITEX, REPSOL, SANTANDER. EUROPA: BAYER, L’ORÉAL. Diciembre arranca con caídas Las bolsas a ambos lados del Atlántico comenzaron la semana con descensos, en una jornada marcada por la cautela. El Ibex 35 interrumpió su racha de cinco sesiones consecutivas al alza mientras que el riesgo geopolítico sigue en aumento después de que D. Trump ordenara cerrar el espacio aéreo de Venezuela. En el STOXX 600, Hogar y R. Básicos fueron los que más subieron...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
NEWS SUMMARY: IAG, MAPFRE, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA. Between monetary policy and a possible Ukraine-Russia peace treaty With the only US macro reference being the Fed’s Beige Book, the markets saw a transitional week due to Black Friday. European markets ended the week with gains, rallying from support levels and seeking 2025 highs, with the Ukraine-Russia peace talks continuing to be in the spotlight. In the STOXX 600, Basic Resources and Construction led the gains, with Food and Household Goods ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: the years ahead – 2026-27E • Rainbow Tours: consolidated October sales 20.7% higher yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales 14% higher yoy POSITIVE • Alior Bank: c.PLN 105m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: c.PLN 120m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • mBank: PLN 125m positive DTA revaluation and estimated 2026E CIT increase impact NEUTRAL • LPP: PLN 788m write-down of Russian assets NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IAG, MAPFRE, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: AIRBUS. Entre la política monetaria y una posible paz en Ucrania/Rusia Los mercados vivieron una semana de transición por el Black Friday y ante escasas referencias macroeconómicas. A la espera de las negociaciones de Paz entre Ucrania y Rusia las bolsas europeas terminaron la semana con ganancias, buscando los máximos del año. En el STOXX 600, las ganancias fueron dirigidas por Recursos Básicos seguido de...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Stability for now In the absence of references from the US due to Thanksgiving, European stock markets traded within a narrow sideways range. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Financial Services were the best performers whereas Pharma, Technology and Basic Resources were the only sectors that ended with drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, October’s M3 remained at 2.8% YoY, in line with expectations, wherea...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Por el momento, estabilidad En una sesión sin referencias desde EE.UU., por la festividad de Acción de Gracias, las bolsas europeas se movieron en un rango lateral estrecho. En el STOXX 600, las ganancias fueron dirigidas por Autos, S. Financieros e Inmobiliario. En el lado contrario, sólo Farma, Tecnología y R. Básicos terminaron con caídas. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozo...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets have repriced • Text: 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – EBITDA down 29% yoy, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: strong 3Q25 beat on EBITDA and net profit, following the strong gross margin and cost discipline POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q25 results review – 3Q25 EBITDA up 92% yoy, 11-15% above our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • PGE: stable to declining recurring EBITDA outlook for 2026E NEUTRAL • H...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
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