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Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Solid growth in PV sales. Maintain MARKET WEI...

China’s auto sales increased wow in the 13th week of 2025, with PEVs accounting for 50.1% of the market. BYD achieved strong EV sales growth in March and 1Q25, driven by record overseas deliveries and new model launches. Geely's March sales surged 54% yoy, driven by strong EV growth. The US’ 25% tariff has limited impact on Chinese OEMs but would hit auto parts companies’ 2025 earnings by 2.5-8%. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

Nexteer Automotive Group (1316 HK): 2H24: Earnings beat estimates on m...

Nexteer’s 2H24 net profit came in above our estimates at US$46m (+1,541% yoy/+193% hoh), bringing 2024 full-year net profit to US$62m (+68% yoy). The earnings beat lies in margins. New order bookings remained flat yoy at US$6b in 2024. Based on higher margins, we lift our 2025-26 net profit forecasts from US$44m/US$40m to US$107m/US$125m respectively and introduce our 2027 net profit forecast of US$146m. Upgrade to HOLD. Raise target price to HK$5.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Thursday, March 20, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80) Anta’s 2024 revenue beat estimates, but core profit was in line. While slightly revising the Anta brand’s sales target to a high single digit, management lowered Fila’s sales target to a mid single digit and aims to maintain operating margin stable at 25%, given: a) the increasing contribution of online and outlets channels with deeper discounts, and b) the need for investments in product innovations to gain market sha...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+15)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, March 20, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80): 2024: Revenue beats estimates but profit in line; lower sales target and conservative margin outlook for Fila. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$56.35/Target: HK$68.00): 4Q24: Earnings up 34% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/BUY/HK$23.90/Target: HK$30.00): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib continues to drive growth in 2025. Kerry Properties (683 HK/BUY/HK$18.74/Target:...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, March 14, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on JBM Healthcare. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales decline wow due to seasonal factors. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. Results Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company (1833 HK/BUY/HK$7.72/Target:HK$11.00) 2024: Satisfactory results; expect ...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound wow; smart EVs to benefit fr...

China auto sales rebounded in the ninth week of 2025, with a 53.8% PEV market share. BYD plans to issue 118m H-shares to raise around US$5.6b, aiming at funding the construction of overseas plants. Geely’s AI Technology Launch event introduced the "Qianli Haohan" intelligent driving system featuring a five-tier framework. With regard to US tariffs on Mexico and China, direct impacts on Chinese automakers are limited. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV sales picked up wow while the wait-and-see...

China’s auto sales picked up in the eighth week of 2025, but consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment continues amid the transitional period of product upgrades. Geely will hold an AI Intelligence Strategy Conference on 3 Mar 25, which may boost its stock price. Given the stronger-than-expected market response, we upgrade Li Auto and XPeng from HOLD to BUY and raise target prices to HK$156.00 and HK$110.00 respectively. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+24)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, February 28, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales picked up wow while the wait-and-see sentiment continues. Upgrade Li Auto and XPeng from HOLD to BUY and raise target price to HK$156.00 and HK$110.00 respectively. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Results BeiGene (6160 HK/BUY/HK$161.60/Target: HK$220.00) 2024: Results beat; targets operating profit...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wa...

China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV sales stay low, BYD to equip all EVs with ...

Insurance registrations for major EV makers in China remained low due to continued disruptions from the Chinese New Year holiday. BYD announced plans to equip all its EVs with DiPilot ADAS, making smart driving technology available even in budget models. Geely remains a strong competitor to BYD with its AI strategy about to be launched. Upgrade BYD from HOLD to BUY and raise target price to Rmb410.00. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, February 14, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales stay low, BYD to equip all EVs with DiPilot ADAS. Upgrade BYD to BUY. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Update AAC Technologies (2018 HK/HOLD/HK$46.55/ Target: HK$48.00) 2024 profit alert – earnings set to beat expectations. Maintain HOLD. The United Laboratories International (3933 HK/HOLD/HK$12.42/Target: H...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: OEMs post upbeat January sales. Maintain MARK...

Chinese OEMs, such as Geely and XPeng, generally posted better-than-expected January sales, despite the Chinese New Year holiday from 28 Jan 25 to 4 Feb 25. Based on stronger 2025/26 sales, we raise target prices for Geely and XPeng from HK$23.00/HK$43.00 to HK$27.00/HK$60.00 respectively. The US is threatening Mexico with stiff tariffs, which would hit auto part makers with high exposure to the US, eg Nexteer. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV sales up 14% yoy and 30% wow. Maintain MAR...

China’s PV insurance registrations grew 14% yoy and 30% wow in the third week of 2025. Geely Xingyuan maintained its top position in A0-segment pure EV sales, while Galaxy L7 EM-i led the A-segment PHEV SUV market in sales. China's 2025 "twonew" policy expands scrapping subsidies to some China IV vehicles, offering up to Rmb20,000 for EV purchases and introducing extended eligibility criteria. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs ga...

China’s PV insurance registrations dropped 10% yoy and grew 8.5% wow in the second week of 2025, with major EV brands posting yoy/wow sales growth due to policy rollout. The 2025 vehicle trade-in subsidy policy covers more potential buyers vs 2024. Geely Galaxy L7 EM-i leads the A-segment PHEV SUV market in sales. CATL remains the top player in the China power battery market with a 44.8% share in 2024. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+18)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, January 17, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs gain on subsidy rollout. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisation amid rising geopolitical risks. Internet ...

300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
UNTR PT UNITED TRACTORS TBK
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
09999 NETEASE INC
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
300765 CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV sales growth accelerated to 34% yoy last w...

The growth in China’s PV insurance registrations accelerated to 33.9% yoy in 2-8 Dec 24, beating expectations on upbeat ICE-car sales. Tesla was the best-performing EV brand last week with regard to mom/wow sales growth due to price cuts, and it will probably launch a new compact sedan, facelifted Model Y and Cybertruck in China’s market in 2025. CATL is partnering Stellantis to build a battery plant in Spain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV sales up 16% yoy last week, beating estima...

China’s PV insurance registrations grew by 16% yoy during 25 Nov-1 Dec 24. China’s PEV wholesale shipments grew 51% yoy in Nov 24. The buoyant sales growth was driven by trade-in subsidies. However, China EVs are moving down the price curve, and the favourable policies for EVs are being rolled back. China’s vehicle export growth slowed to 11% yoy in Oct 24, due to a slowdown in the overseas EV markets. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+8)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Philip Wong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, December 06, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up 16% yoy last week, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao and Desay. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp3,640/Target: Rp3,800) Unlocking its true potential. MALAYSIA Sector Consumer Sector is trading at -1SD to it...

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