China’s auto sales increased wow in the 13th week of 2025, with PEVs accounting for 50.1% of the market. BYD achieved strong EV sales growth in March and 1Q25, driven by record overseas deliveries and new model launches. Geely's March sales surged 54% yoy, driven by strong EV growth. The US’ 25% tariff has limited impact on Chinese OEMs but would hit auto parts companies’ 2025 earnings by 2.5-8%. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.
Nexteer’s 2H24 net profit came in above our estimates at US$46m (+1,541% yoy/+193% hoh), bringing 2024 full-year net profit to US$62m (+68% yoy). The earnings beat lies in margins. New order bookings remained flat yoy at US$6b in 2024. Based on higher margins, we lift our 2025-26 net profit forecasts from US$44m/US$40m to US$107m/US$125m respectively and introduce our 2027 net profit forecast of US$146m. Upgrade to HOLD. Raise target price to HK$5.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80) Anta’s 2024 revenue beat estimates, but core profit was in line. While slightly revising the Anta brand’s sales target to a high single digit, management lowered Fila’s sales target to a mid single digit and aims to maintain operating margin stable at 25%, given: a) the increasing contribution of online and outlets channels with deeper discounts, and b) the need for investments in product innovations to gain market sha...
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80): 2024: Revenue beats estimates but profit in line; lower sales target and conservative margin outlook for Fila. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$56.35/Target: HK$68.00): 4Q24: Earnings up 34% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/BUY/HK$23.90/Target: HK$30.00): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib continues to drive growth in 2025. Kerry Properties (683 HK/BUY/HK$18.74/Target:...
China auto sales declined wow in the 10th week of 2025, with a 55.7% share of the PEV market. BYD successfully raised HK$43.4b (US$5.6b) in an H-share placement. ASEAN investors are becoming increasingly positive on China’s auto sector, with BYD and Geely leading in AI/ADAS and overseas expansion, while risks like margins, US tariffs, and chip restrictions remain manageable. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on JBM Healthcare. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales decline wow due to seasonal factors. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. Results Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company (1833 HK/BUY/HK$7.72/Target:HK$11.00) 2024: Satisfactory results; expect ...
China auto sales rebounded in the ninth week of 2025, with a 53.8% PEV market share. BYD plans to issue 118m H-shares to raise around US$5.6b, aiming at funding the construction of overseas plants. Geely’s AI Technology Launch event introduced the "Qianli Haohan" intelligent driving system featuring a five-tier framework. With regard to US tariffs on Mexico and China, direct impacts on Chinese automakers are limited. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.
China’s auto sales picked up in the eighth week of 2025, but consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment continues amid the transitional period of product upgrades. Geely will hold an AI Intelligence Strategy Conference on 3 Mar 25, which may boost its stock price. Given the stronger-than-expected market response, we upgrade Li Auto and XPeng from HOLD to BUY and raise target prices to HK$156.00 and HK$110.00 respectively. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales picked up wow while the wait-and-see sentiment continues. Upgrade Li Auto and XPeng from HOLD to BUY and raise target price to HK$156.00 and HK$110.00 respectively. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Results BeiGene (6160 HK/BUY/HK$161.60/Target: HK$220.00) 2024: Results beat; targets operating profit...
China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.
Insurance registrations for major EV makers in China remained low due to continued disruptions from the Chinese New Year holiday. BYD announced plans to equip all its EVs with DiPilot ADAS, making smart driving technology available even in budget models. Geely remains a strong competitor to BYD with its AI strategy about to be launched. Upgrade BYD from HOLD to BUY and raise target price to Rmb410.00. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales stay low, BYD to equip all EVs with DiPilot ADAS. Upgrade BYD to BUY. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Update AAC Technologies (2018 HK/HOLD/HK$46.55/ Target: HK$48.00) 2024 profit alert – earnings set to beat expectations. Maintain HOLD. The United Laboratories International (3933 HK/HOLD/HK$12.42/Target: H...
Chinese OEMs, such as Geely and XPeng, generally posted better-than-expected January sales, despite the Chinese New Year holiday from 28 Jan 25 to 4 Feb 25. Based on stronger 2025/26 sales, we raise target prices for Geely and XPeng from HK$23.00/HK$43.00 to HK$27.00/HK$60.00 respectively. The US is threatening Mexico with stiff tariffs, which would hit auto part makers with high exposure to the US, eg Nexteer. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.
China’s PV insurance registrations grew 14% yoy and 30% wow in the third week of 2025. Geely Xingyuan maintained its top position in A0-segment pure EV sales, while Galaxy L7 EM-i led the A-segment PHEV SUV market in sales. China's 2025 "twonew" policy expands scrapping subsidies to some China IV vehicles, offering up to Rmb20,000 for EV purchases and introducing extended eligibility criteria. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.
China’s PV insurance registrations dropped 10% yoy and grew 8.5% wow in the second week of 2025, with major EV brands posting yoy/wow sales growth due to policy rollout. The 2025 vehicle trade-in subsidy policy covers more potential buyers vs 2024. Geely Galaxy L7 EM-i leads the A-segment PHEV SUV market in sales. CATL remains the top player in the China power battery market with a 44.8% share in 2024. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs gain on subsidy rollout. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisation amid rising geopolitical risks. Internet ...
PV sales pulled back in the first week of 2025 after strong sales in Dec 24. OEMs have all set ambitious 2025 sales targets. Our top pick Geely targets 2.71m units (+24.5% yoy) in sales for 2025 and over 5m units in 2027, well above industry average. We upgrade XPeng from SELL to HOLD and raise target price to HK$43.00 to factor in upbeat sales of the Mona sub-brand. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao and Desay SV.
The growth in China’s PV insurance registrations accelerated to 33.9% yoy in 2-8 Dec 24, beating expectations on upbeat ICE-car sales. Tesla was the best-performing EV brand last week with regard to mom/wow sales growth due to price cuts, and it will probably launch a new compact sedan, facelifted Model Y and Cybertruck in China’s market in 2025. CATL is partnering Stellantis to build a battery plant in Spain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, and Desay SV.
China’s PV insurance registrations grew by 16% yoy during 25 Nov-1 Dec 24. China’s PEV wholesale shipments grew 51% yoy in Nov 24. The buoyant sales growth was driven by trade-in subsidies. However, China EVs are moving down the price curve, and the favourable policies for EVs are being rolled back. China’s vehicle export growth slowed to 11% yoy in Oct 24, due to a slowdown in the overseas EV markets. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, and Desay SV.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up 16% yoy last week, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao and Desay. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp3,640/Target: Rp3,800) Unlocking its true potential. MALAYSIA Sector Consumer Sector is trading at -1SD to it...
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