HEADLINES: • European oil and gas monthly: March 2026 – fingers crossed, for now • Text: key takeaways from the 4Q25-26 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Inter Cars: March sales up by 20% yoy POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: 1Q26 bookings up by 3% qoq NEUTRAL • Richter: proposes dividend of HUF 656/share POSITIVE • Romania macro: NBR on hold • GEK Terna: 2025 results beat across the board POSITIVE • BIM: BoD to propose DPS of TRY 14 NEUTRAL
The crisis of 2022 was little more than a bump in the road in comparison to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and yet the price impacts have been much more muted. This reflects a better-supplied market at the outset, alternative infrastructure, IEA action and an audacious amount of hope. If these solutions fail to keep pace with the problem, we expect that the ultimate impact could be much more expensive indeed.
HEADLINES: • Develia : 4Q25 EBIT and net income 26% above our expectations, following stronger gross margin and lower SG&As POSITIVE • Develia: preliminary agreement to acquire major residential project in Gdańsk POSITIVE • Text: 4Q25-26 (calendar 1Q26) preliminary results – MRR of USD 6.93m (down 0.7% qoq and 2.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call • 11 bit studios: announces DLC for Frostpunk 2 and Nintendo Switch port of Frostpunk POSITIVE • Jeronimo Marti...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at M-11. Very strong performance at Mateguafa Attic Hz wells – The M‑11 well has been brought online from the C7 formation, which contains 18 ft of net pay, at 784 bbl/d (392 bbl/d net) with a 26% water cut. The well also intersected ~30 ft of net oil pay in the C9, which will be brought into production at a later stage. Net production from the M‑7 and M‑9 ...
EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: 4Q25 review – net profit up 4.5x yoy, in line with the consensus; 2026 backlog up 19% yoy NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 4Q25 numbers fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kety: preliminary 1Q26 EBITDA and net profit above our expectations POSITIVE • PGE: decent 4Q25 preliminary results (adjusted recurring EBITDA 17% above expectations), distorted by one-offs POSITIVE • Tauron: 4Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: announces tender to acquire own...
HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 12-15% EBITDA miss in 4Q25; bearish guidance for 2026E NEGATIVE • Budimex: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Budimex: management recommends DPS of PLN 32.42 from the 2025 earnings (4.9% DY) POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Kety: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Murapol: Hampont files for sole control acquisition of Murapol NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: acquires InfraRed Asso...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q25 ahead of expectations; FY26E guidance raised despite a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to pay PLN 118m of resolution fund charges in 1Q26 NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: to pay PLN 413m of resolution fund charges in 1Q26 xx NEUTRAL • Pepco: 1H26 trading update - sales up 3.7% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call NEGATIVE • Eurowag: 2H25 results and 2026E guidance POSITIVE • Motor Oil: shifts crude sla...
HEADLINES: • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q25 net earnings and dividend beat; strong refining drives FCF POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: solid operational delivery in 4Q25, bottom line miss on impairment charges, communicated ahead of results NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA 11% below the market consensus; management recommends PLN 10.0 DPS NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 4Q25 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 4Q25 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: wants to pay a DPS...
HEADLINES: OMV: Strait-up winner (stays BUY) Benefit Systems: 4Q25 miss on adjusted EBIT; supportive update of 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE Huuuge Games: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA above expectations, DTC channel continues to grow POSITIVE DIGI Communications: takes steps to enter UK telco market NEUTRAL GEK Terna: increases EYDAP stake to 12.8% POSITIVE EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (13-19 March) Austriacard: expands US footprint with new card personalisation facility POSITIVE
We maintain our BUY on OMV, with an updated price target (PT) of EUR 70.2 (from EUR 61.7), offering upside of 19.0%. The conflict in the Persian Gulf has pushed margins up across OMV’s business and we expect these effects to continue, even after the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Temporary closures at petchems producers are driving margins. The Borealis/Borouge merger is almost upon us and OMV should benefit from high margins across the portfolio. OMV has growth projects which should be completed soo...
HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: steady as she goes (stays BUY) • Zabka: beat in 4Q25; FY26E guidance of continued rapid expansion and stable profitability POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q25 results review – beat related to other operating income and income tax POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 4Q25E preview – 16% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 April) • LPP: 4Q25E results preview – 32% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 4Q25 above our expectations, backlog in line, materi...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: solid 4Q25 numbers – small bottom-line beat, but underlying trends in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25 above the consensus; FY26E guidance in line with our expectations POSITIVE • Orlen: submits new non-binding offer for Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEUTRAL • CEZ: small 4Q25 beat on EBITDA, 2026E guidance below the consensus NEGATIVE • Colt CZ Group: planning dual AEX listing and a capital increase POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: two exploration projects in Bulgaria now NEUT...
HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...
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