OMV: Strait-up winner (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY on OMV, with an updated price target (PT) of EUR 70.2 (from EUR 61.7), offering upside of 19.0%. The conflict in the Persian Gulf has pushed margins up across OMV’s business and we expect these effects to continue, even after the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Temporary closures at petchems producers are driving margins. The Borealis/Borouge merger is almost upon us and OMV should benefit from high margins across the portfolio. OMV has growth projects which should be completed soon, Borouge 4 is on schedule for completion later in 2026E, and Neptun Deep will start gas production in 2027E. We expect upstream production to grow from 305kboepd in 2025 to 390kboepd in 2030E. Neptun will provide the biggest lift, but projects elsewhere are adding significant volumes. We expect an average dividend yield of c.8% over the next three years. OMV is trading at a P/E of 7.6x in 2026E, rising to 8.7x in 2028E, while the peer group is at 9.1x and 7.6x on our estimates.OMV is an international energy company with activities in Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P). Co. explores and develops oil and gas resources and supply energy to over 100 million people. OMV has three operating segments: Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing, including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P), as well as the segment Corporate and Other (Co&O).
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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