AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at M-11. Very strong performance at Mateguafa Attic Hz wells – The M‑11 well has been brought online from the C7 formation, which contains 18 ft of net pay, at 784 bbl/d (392 bbl/d net) with a 26% water cut. The well also intersected ~30 ft of net oil pay in the C9, which will be brought into production at a later stage. Net production from the M‑7 and M‑9 ...
EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: 4Q25 review – net profit up 4.5x yoy, in line with the consensus; 2026 backlog up 19% yoy NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 4Q25 numbers fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kety: preliminary 1Q26 EBITDA and net profit above our expectations POSITIVE • PGE: decent 4Q25 preliminary results (adjusted recurring EBITDA 17% above expectations), distorted by one-offs POSITIVE • Tauron: 4Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: announces tender to acquire own...
HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 12-15% EBITDA miss in 4Q25; bearish guidance for 2026E NEGATIVE • Budimex: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Budimex: management recommends DPS of PLN 32.42 from the 2025 earnings (4.9% DY) POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Kety: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Murapol: Hampont files for sole control acquisition of Murapol NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: acquires InfraRed Asso...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q25 ahead of expectations; FY26E guidance raised despite a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to pay PLN 118m of resolution fund charges in 1Q26 NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: to pay PLN 413m of resolution fund charges in 1Q26 xx NEUTRAL • Pepco: 1H26 trading update - sales up 3.7% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call NEGATIVE • Eurowag: 2H25 results and 2026E guidance POSITIVE • Motor Oil: shifts crude sla...
HEADLINES: • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q25 net earnings and dividend beat; strong refining drives FCF POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: solid operational delivery in 4Q25, bottom line miss on impairment charges, communicated ahead of results NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA 11% below the market consensus; management recommends PLN 10.0 DPS NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 4Q25 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 4Q25 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: wants to pay a DPS...
HEADLINES: OMV: Strait-up winner (stays BUY) Benefit Systems: 4Q25 miss on adjusted EBIT; supportive update of 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE Huuuge Games: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA above expectations, DTC channel continues to grow POSITIVE DIGI Communications: takes steps to enter UK telco market NEUTRAL GEK Terna: increases EYDAP stake to 12.8% POSITIVE EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (13-19 March) Austriacard: expands US footprint with new card personalisation facility POSITIVE
We maintain our BUY on OMV, with an updated price target (PT) of EUR 70.2 (from EUR 61.7), offering upside of 19.0%. The conflict in the Persian Gulf has pushed margins up across OMV’s business and we expect these effects to continue, even after the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Temporary closures at petchems producers are driving margins. The Borealis/Borouge merger is almost upon us and OMV should benefit from high margins across the portfolio. OMV has growth projects which should be completed soo...
HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: steady as she goes (stays BUY) • Zabka: beat in 4Q25; FY26E guidance of continued rapid expansion and stable profitability POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q25 results review – beat related to other operating income and income tax POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 4Q25E preview – 16% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 April) • LPP: 4Q25E results preview – 32% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 4Q25 above our expectations, backlog in line, materi...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: solid 4Q25 numbers – small bottom-line beat, but underlying trends in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25 above the consensus; FY26E guidance in line with our expectations POSITIVE • Orlen: submits new non-binding offer for Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEUTRAL • CEZ: small 4Q25 beat on EBITDA, 2026E guidance below the consensus NEGATIVE • Colt CZ Group: planning dual AEX listing and a capital increase POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: two exploration projects in Bulgaria now NEUT...
HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...
February developments have been left in the dust with the opening days of March and the conflict in the Gulf. Oil and gas prices are up; we have already seen refining margins soar; and maybe even petrochemical margins can enjoy a moment in the sunshine.
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 4Q25 miss, due mainly to allegations about food safety in Czechia NEGATIVE • Kruk: 4Q25 results – bit of a mixed bag • Text: 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – EBITDA down 25% yoy, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Enea: impairments and higher provisions to reduce 2025 net income by PLN 1.37bn and EBITDA by PLN 162m NEUTRAL • CTP: 4Q25 results and conference call • Richter: 4Q25 beat, on gross margin and tight opex control POSITIVE • Duna House: 4Q25 in line, guidance implies ...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 4Q25 trading update - strong margin beat POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: signed a contract for turbine delivery in Dukovany NEUTRAL • MOL: asks for crude oil from the Strategic Reserve NEGATIVE • MOL: 4Q25E – results preview (due on 20 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: consortium with Chevron signs concession for four new offshore E&P blocks NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: proposes distribution of TRY 3.64 DPS NEUTRAL
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