HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: announces two new buyback programmes POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q24 results – mildly above expectations POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line miss and further margin compression in the 1Q24 results NEGATIVE • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q24 highlights POSITIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q24 highlights – trading-related beat, but NIM and fees evolve better than expected • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q24 highlights – helped by trading income, but good quarter ove...
HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...
Refining margins retreated again in April, by USD 1.2/bbl, to USD 12.6/bbl, remaining about 40% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks continued their seasonal rising trend, but diesel weakened more. Polymer margins had a positive month, but olefins and aromatics saw their margins go the other way.
EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).
Refining margins retreated in March, to USD 13.7/bbl, after the highs of February, but remain about 50% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks have begun their seasonal rising trend. Petrochemicals margins are largely rising, albeit marginally, despite the higher oil prices.
HEADLINES: • GEVORKYAN: the power of powder (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Turkish Airlines: 4Q24 – ending a very good year on a strong note POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q23 results – adjusted EBITDA up 18% yoy, 8% above the market consensus POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q23 results NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 4Q23 results POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 4Q23-24 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • Bank of Georgia: finalises Ameria acquisition POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 1Q24 traffic – goo...
HEADLINES: • Text: 4Q23-24 (calendar 1Q24) preliminary results – USD 21.7m preliminary cash flow (up 9% yoy, 2% qoq) NEGATIVE • Piraeus Port Authority: conference call takeaways • AROBS Transilvania Software: publishes 2024 budget NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: March bookings estimate at USD 14m, up 8% mom POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: March bookings estimate mom recovery, driven by Hunting Clash POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: 1Q24 update on card base fully in line with recent guidance NEUTRAL • Turkish a...
After a slow retreat from their extraordinary highs, refining margins bounced back in February to USD 19.8/bbl, helped by the lengthened supply chain. Once again diesel is the main driver, but other product cracks also improved. Oil prices were a little higher than last month.
EME Equity Market – February 2024 Market performance – a positive February, with the Polish WIG20 outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 4.2% mom in EUR terms and 3.7% mom in USD in February. The Polish WIG20 saw the strongest performance, adding 6.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE (+4.2% mom), the Turkish ISE30 (+4.0% mom) and the Romanian BET (+2.6% mom) (all in EUR terms). There was a relatively muted performance in Hungary (+0.6% mom in EUR terms) and a decline in the Cze...
HEADLINES: • Patria Bank: strong bottom-line beat, but lacking quality • Turkey macro: 4Q GDP expands by 4% • 4iG: 4Q23 results review – solid results, with 19% yoy pro-forma EBITDA growth NEUTRAL • AUGA Group: 4Q23 – positive gross profit in all segments, but liquidity risk on the horizon • HELLENiQ Energy: 4Q23 results – dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: 4Q23 above our expectations POSITIVE • AmRest: key takeaways from the 4Q23 call POSITIVE • Richter: takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings ...
HEADLINES: • Solutions by STC: M&A remain the main source of growth (stays HOLD) • Banca Transilvania: strong NII and NIM expansion in 4Q23 results POSITIVE • Kaspi.kz: 4Q23 highlights and 2024E guidance POSITIVE • Akcansa: 2023 financial results review NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: FY23 consolidated net profit 5% above preliminary figure (stand-alone) NEUTRAL • ONE United Properties: reaches EBITDA (excluding revaluations) of EUR 59m in 2023 NEUTRAL • ADNOC Distribution: 2028 strategy update NEUTRA...
The oil markets were roiled by problems in the Red Sea, and Brent crude prices rose, a reversal of recent trends. Diesel prices followed suit, improving refining margins, although petrol was not affected significantly. European demand looks a little more robust than it did a few months earlier.
EME Equity Market – January 2024 Market performance – Turkey off to the races in January. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 4.2% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in the first month of the year. There was a V-shape recovery in the Turkish ISE30, with the index adding 12.6% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE and Hungarian BUX indices also reported strong performances, adding 5.7% and 5.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms. The Czech PX Index advanced by 2.2% mom, while the Romanian BET 0.9% mom in EUR...
Strong 9-month picture with EBIT growing 16% – Autohellas reported a strong set of 9-month results with revenues rising 34% yoy or 20% organic (namely ex Portugal) and EBIT up 16% yoy, despite elevated M&A-related costs (vehicle fleet costs). Net profit grew by a lower 4% yoy due to the impact of higher financial expenses (double last year levels). All three reported segments, namely Greece rentals, International rentals and Auto trade, delivered revenue growth, with the core segment, namely r...
HEADLINES: • European oil & gas: parting from the Red Sea • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (8-14 January) • Kazatomprom: expects 2024E production to miss guidance targets NEUTRAL • Fondul Proprietatea: end-December 2023 NAV per share up 4% mom NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl reach 390,000 in 2H23, down 14% vs. 1H23 NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: 4Q23E preview (due on 30 January) • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q23E preview (due on 31 January) • ING BSK: 4Q23E preview (due on 1 ...
Attacks on shipping in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, by the Houthis from Yemen, have complicated the supply chains for Europe, and none more so than the supply of crude oil and oil products. The expropriation of a cargo belonging to Tupras on 11 January was a timely reminder of the risks. The shortage of heavy crude oils could get marginally worse, as cargos need to be rerouted around the long way. The lack of crude oil from Northern Iraq via the Kirkuk pipeline is exacerbating the problem c...
Brent crude prices spent much of December increasing steadily, after a big drop at the beginning of the month, but averages were still lower. December usually has the worst margins, but benchmark refining margins were only slightly lower, with diesel still strong and crude differentials a little better mom.
• Mo-BRUK: PLN 19m claim against MBR related to Wałbrzych dumping site (2017 case) remains in force • Fondul Proprietatea: calls EGMS to approve new buyback programme, Engie sale NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: acquires 50% of the largest wind power portfolio of projects in Romania POSITIVE • Tauron: agrees to sell Tameh Holding for PLN 598m NEUTRAL • MOL: produces first gas from the Rozhkovskoye field in Kazakhstan POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: fuel assembly manufacturing facility certified for new product NE...
EME Equity Market – December 2023 Market performance – Poland outperforms in December. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 1.9% mom in USD in December. The WIG20 Index continues to perform well in the post-elections environment and reported the strongest performance in our core region, adding 5.9% mom in EUR terms. There was also a strong performance from the Romanian BET and Hungarian BUX indices, adding 4.4% and 4.1% mom, respectively, in EUR terms; while there was a relat...
HEADLINES: • Greek oil refiners: working in a Margin Wonderland (HELLENiQ Energy and Motor Oil Hellas upgraded to BUY) • Hungary macro: MNB signalling more optimism • Colt CZ Group SE: conference call on S&B acquisition POSITIVE • Raiffeisen Bank International: acquires a 27.8% stake in Strabag • TeraPlast: acquires pipe manufacturer Palplast, based in Republic of Moldova POSITIVE • PCF Group: CEO maintains release date plans for Bifrost and Victoria NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, TEN, SNG)
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