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Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Kinepolis Group 4Q24 will be good but not as good as we thought

We updated our FY24 visitor numbers after Canadian peer Cineplex disclosed that recent Hollywood tentpoles like Moana 2 and Wicked fuelled blockbuster box office performance in December 2024 but less than we thought. The Canadian exhibition giant also cautioned Thanksgiving holdovers and more year-end titles left Cineplex still below pre-pandemic box office revenue in Dec-2019. If we extrapolate this (combined with recent Box Office Mojo data for US box office data for 4Q24) we now bank on 33.3m...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: M&A is back. Ahold Delhaize: Acquisition of Profi Rom completed. Gimv: A Christmas present. Kinepolis: US/Canada box office at 85% of pre Covid level, France at 92% in December

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Elia: New CEO appointed; close to home. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex November 2024 box office revenue at 94% of 2019, up 41% YoY

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: 1H24/25F preview – room to beat at EBIT level. Gimv: Major investment in the HVAC industry in France. Kinepolis: US/Canada box office at 94% of pre covid, France attendance recovery at 87%. NSI: Small acquisition in Utrecht

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...

With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adecco: 3Q24 miss; stabilising trends in 3Q24 and into 4Q24; accelerating cost savings. B&S Group: 3Q24 preview - liquor bottoming into 4Q24? Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Almost the real thing. D'Ieteren: Belgian October car registrations down 5.5%, VW down 11%. Kinepolis: Oct US/Canada box office at 59% of pre Covid level, France recovery to 78%. Recticel: 3Q24 compares well with Kingspan. Renewi: 1H25 preview - battling cost inflation with self help. Syensqo: Slight beat on 3Q...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview – expect 3Q to be light compared to 4Q. BAM: Preview - it doesn't feel that good. Brunel International: 3Q24 results: 4% EBIT miss – weak outlook. Fugro: Unexpected sales decline in US and Middle East. Kinepolis: US Peer Cinemark 3Q24 results beat on strong spending. Universal Music Group: 3Q24 reasonable, 2H24 €400m M&A cash out will hurt

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Acomo: Hot Chocolate. Azelis: 3Q24 not flawless, but organic growth is back. BE Semiconductor Industries: 3Q24 results, putting its money where its mouth is. Ebusco: Rigorous turnaround plan, but many liquidity related concerns; recommendation moves to Under Review. GBL: Looking to take vitamins. Kinepolis: Solid 3Q24 attendance, in line, confident in the movie outlook for 4Q24, 2025. Ontex: Guidance Stumble. Unilever: Momentum maintained. Vastned: End of the disposal program, wa...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kinepolis posts strong third quarter

Kinepolis posts strong third quarter Kinepolis posts strong third quarter Regulated information 24 October 2024, 7 a.m. CET Business update Q3 2024 attached. Attachment

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: Slight miss on 3Q24, larger miss on year-end leverage Allfunds Group PLC: Strong NNM beat ASM International: Preview 3Q24; probably not too bad Azelis: 3Q24 results preview Heineken: Yet another miss Kinepolis: 3Q24 preview Philips: Preview 3Q24, some upside risk to margins Proximus: 3Q24 preview Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Just Eat Takeaway.com: Preview of 3Q24. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex September box office revenue at 79% of 2019 level, up 3% YoY. Randstad: Preview of 3Q24F results due 22 October, consensus released. Staffing: Hays' 1Q24/25 trading update; 1Q24/25 growth slightly better on easier comps. TomTom: 3Q24 results - Enterprise partly saves the day. Coverage change

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: Strategic review with focus on Deco South Asia. Kinepolis: US/Canada box office at 86% of pre covid level, France attendance at 88%. TomTom: 3Q24 preview – Automotive in the doldrums

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update October 2024 – Adding NN Group

We maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated expectations for interest rate cuts by central banks will finally come to pass. The election fever in the US is reaching boiling point and the conversations are becoming more polarised than before. Also corporate profit growth in Europe slows and the French elections have cast a negative spell. In Germany by-elections in the Eastern part showed a shift to extreme right and left that will make budget decisions even more ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: New targets to 2027 “Elevate27”. Belgian telcos: No new date for postponed DIGI, 1.5-2m fibre connections target by 2029. Kinepolis: Private equity funds reportedly circling cinema chain VUE. UCB: FDA approval for Bimzelx in three indications

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Committed partners of progress in a consolidating industry. Arcadis: No small beer. Kinepolis: Two new rented cinemas in Spanish commercial centres. Vonovia: Completing Deutsche Wohnen acquisition

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Wim Lewi
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