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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Uneventful results, US weaker, underlying OCG in line / Air France-KLM: Productivity gains starting to filter through / Arcadis: Weak revenues and EBITA, but strong NWC / Ascencio: Results in line, no concerns on Carrefour Belgium exposure / Azelis: Persisting softness in 4Q25, continued focus on costs and cash / BAM Group: Solid 2H25 results, 2026 outlook in line / Belgian telecoms: Telenet improved net adds, to relist as part of Ziggo in 2027, Liberty to sell half of its 66% Wyre stake ...

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HY...

: ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HYL BB, IBAB BB, KIN BB, MTLS US, VGP BB, AZE BB, ZEAL DC

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Kinepolis Group Lower results, as expected, impacted by less visitors ...

Against the backdrop of ongoing restructuring and recapitalization in Hollywood, Kinepolis received in FY25 -5.8% y/y visitors or 30.7m, down. Kinepolis Group indicated that -although 2025 saw some notable successes- mainly in the animation and horror genres, the year was affected by a less favourable comparison base, partly due to the exceptional success of 'Inside Out 2' and several French films in 2024. We maintain our positive stance (Buy, € 42 Target Price) as Kinepolis highlighted that F...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kinepolis delivered solid results in 2025

Kinepolis delivered solid results in 2025 Kinepolis delivered solid results in 2025 Regulated information 19 February 2026, 7:00 a.m. CET  Kinepolis delivered solid results in 2025 in a still challenging environment. Despite an incomplete Hollywood slate, the absence of the major French box‑office successes of 2024 and negative currency effects, Kinepolis succeeded in limiting the revenue decline to -2.3% (with -5.8% visitors) compared with the previous year. With this, Kinepolis achieved a robust adjusted EBITDAL of € 128.2 million (-3.4%) and an adjusted net result that remained virtua...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kinepolis a réalisé des résultats solides en 2025

Kinepolis a réalisé des résultats solides en 2025 Kinepolis a réalisé des résultats solides en 2025 Information réglementée 19 février 2026, 7:00 CET Kinepolis a réalisé en 2025 des résultats solides dans un contexte toujours exigeant. Malgré une offre hollywoodienne incomplète, l’absence des grands succès français de 2024 et des effets de change négatifs, Kinepolis a réussi à limiter la baisse du chiffre d’affaires à -2,3% (avec -5,8% de visiteurs) par rapport à l’année précédente. Kinepolis enregistre ainsi un EBITDAL ajusté robuste de € 128,2 millions (-3,4%) et un résultat net ajusté...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kinepolis boekt solide resultaten in 2025

Kinepolis boekt solide resultaten in 2025 Kinepolis boekt solide resultaten in 2025 Gereglementeerd bericht 19 februari 2026, 7:00 CET Kinepolis zette in 2025 solide resultaten neer in een nog steeds uitdagende context. Ondanks een onvolledig Hollywood-aanbod, het ontbreken van de Franse succesfilms van 2024 en negatieve wisselkoerseffecten, slaagde Kinepolis erin de omzetdaling te beperken tot -2,3% (met -5,8% bezoekers) ten opzichte van het jaar voordien. Hiermee boekt Kinepolis een stevige adjusted EBITDAL van € 128,2 miljoen (-3,4%) en een adjusted netto resultaat vrijwel op het nive...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Better results, strong solvency, SBB below though; new CEO, new CMD on 1 Dec / IMCD: Weak 4Q25 / Kinepolis: Bankruptcy of Belga Films, the oldest film distribution business, along with its eight-screen cinema complex in Brussels; 2H25 preview / Proximus: CpaaS peer Sinch 4Q25 results a bit light of consensus, stock down 14%

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Company comments AB InBev: Little to disappoint Adyen: 2H25 results – mixed results, soft guidance CVC Capital Partners: Executing well dsm-firmenich: Messy results Fagron: Beat on all lines, confident FY26 outlook to drive c.5% consensus EBITDA upgrade Flow Traders: EMEA saves the day KBC: Good results, opening up “jaws” further to 2028 Kinepolis: Canadian peer Cineplex 4Q25 results below consensus, January 2026 box office revenue up MICC: FX headwind leads to a 50bp margin miss in FY25 Montea:...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: c.€29m new developments in Germany and Finland / GBL: €0.5bn equity investment in Rayner, an ophthalmic MedTech specialist / NN Group: Is consensus running ahead of a capital update with FY25 results? / Philips: Supportive update ahead of CMD / Proximus: Route Mobile 3Q26 shows lower revenues, better profitability / Staffing sector: French staffing: December better but January outlook weaker but perhaps better than number of temp outlook indicates / VAR Energi: Strong CMD target 400kpd...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Presents supportive three-year Bimzelx data in HS at EHSF

UCB announced that three-year data from the BE HEARD trials for Bimzelx in moderate to severe HS will be presented at the Conference of the European Hidradenitis Suppurativa Foundation EHSF, being held 4–6 February in Malta. The data show high rates of total HS resolution at 3 years, high rates of improvement from moderate or severe HS to mild disease, as well as strong draining tunnel resolution. This continues to highlight Bimzelx' benefit in this patient group, which we believe will further d...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Model update ahead of FY25 results

Following the second guidance upgrade for FY25 (announced 5 December 2025), we update our UCB model ahead of FY25 results. UCB now expects revenue to exceed €7.6bn, representing +24% y/y (previously at least €7bn). The upgraded guidance reflects - next to the continued growth of Rystiggo, Zilbrysq, Fintepla and Evenity – strong performance of Bimzelx, including a strong momentum in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) and a favourable payer mix in the US. Our model update increases Bimzelx FY25 sales t...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Kygevvi receives positive CHMP opinion in ultra-rare disease TK2d

Friday during trading hours, UCB announced that the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) adopted a positive opinion recommending the granting of marketing authorisation under exceptional circumstances for Kygevvi (doxecitine and doxribtimine) for the treatment of pediatric and adult patients with genetically confirmed thymidine kinase 2 deficiency (TK2d) with an age of symptom onset on or before 12 years. Following the positive CHMP opinion...

David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

Kinepolis/Moment of truth in 2026, M&A case gets real/BUY

The stock underperforms 56% since end-2024, 15% YTD, as the long-awaited attendance recovery failed to materialise and a convincing mid-size M&A deal could not turn the tide yet. The stock has derated to 7x EV/EBITDAL 26F, close to our €20 bear case, investors becoming sceptical on the long-term story, while studios consolidation (Netflix/Warner Bros) fuels fears of dangerous structural changes at play. We acknowledge them but also see the upsides, among others, self-help and converting Netflix ...

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