Scatec first quarter 2025: Strong financials and increasing growth outlook Oslo, 08 May 2025: In the first quarter, Scatec reported proportionate revenues of NOK 2.39 billion (1.23 billion), with an EBITDA of NOK 1.38 billion (0.85 billion). Scatec’s power plants generated 979 GWh in the quarter, up from 901 GWh in the same quarter last year, mainly driven by strong hydrology in the Philippines and Laos. Power production revenues were NOK 1.62 billion (1.06 billion) and EBITDA NOK 1.39 billion (0.87 billion). The increase was mainly driven by strong performance in the Philippines and gai...
Q1 results were in line with expectations. While near-term FCF could alarm investors, we believe dividends remain well-supported by the strong balance sheet. From 2027–2028e, FCF is set to rise meaningfully as production ramps up, with our estimates indicating an oil price of ~USD60/bbl would be sufficient to cover the dividend. We reiterate our BUY and NOK280 target price.
With oil prices approaching USD60/bbl, we believe investors will be looking for E&P exposure with the least risk of cuts to shareholder distributions. We continue to prefer Aker BP, as we consider its dividend safe despite prospects of muted near-term cash flow, and believe it has the most flexibility to adjust capex to protect cash flow and dividends medium-term.
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