reports
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
ExxonMobil update highlights efficiency, no incremental demand for oil...
From an oil services perspective, we consider the key takeaway from ExxonMobil’s corporate update to be continued high and improving capital efficiency, allowing it to do “more with less”. By 2030e, it plans to increase production by c1m barrels per day to 5.4m barrels per day on largely flat upstream capex compared to 2023–2024 levels. This implies further efficiency improvement, which we consider on the downside for the oil services industry as it implies no need for incremental service capaci...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Adrian Gilani
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
ORSTED ORSTED
HEX HEXAGON COMPOSITES ASA
NEL NEL ASA
SSO SCATEC ASA
EOLU B EOLUS VIND AB
FKRFT FJORDKRAFT HOLDING ASA
CADLR CADELER
VOLUE VOLUE AS
A2QKGG HEXAGON PURUS
AKH AKER HORIZONS
ZAP ZAPTEC
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
EWIND EDDA WIND ASA
ECC B ECOCLIME GROUP AB
TOM TOMRA SYSTEMS ASA
IWS-NO INTEGRATED WIND SOLUTIONS
OX2-SE OX2
ARISE-SE ARISE
GREENH-DK GREEN HYDROGEN SYSTEMS
BIOGAS-SE BIOKRAFT INTERNATIONAL
- Mahaut Arnaud
- Paul de Froment
- Thomas Mordelle
Tomra Systems: promising DRS implementation in Spain
Spain's Ministry for Ecological Transition and Demographic Challenge (MITECO) has reported the 2023 collection rate for single-use plastic (SUP) bottles, which reached 41.3%, falling short of the 70% target set by the LRSCEC ("Waste Law"). As a result, the law mandates the implementation of a Depos
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Petrobras FPSO delays may hit service volumes but lengthen cycle
Being the largest global consumer of deepwater oil services, Petrobras’ strategic plans tend to get investor attention. On the positive side, its latest 5-year plan sees 5% higher E&P spending than the previous one, and has a more stable phasing between the years, which is supportive for the cycle duration. However, several FPSOs are facing significant delays, which is on the downside for oil services, leading to delays for deepwater oilfield services (primarily drilling and subsea), likely resu...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Adrian Gilani
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
ORSTED ORSTED
HEX HEXAGON COMPOSITES ASA
NEL NEL ASA
SSO SCATEC ASA
EOLU B EOLUS VIND AB
FKRFT FJORDKRAFT HOLDING ASA
CADLR CADELER
VOLUE VOLUE AS
A2QKGG HEXAGON PURUS
ZAP ZAPTEC
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
EWIND EDDA WIND ASA
TOM TOMRA SYSTEMS ASA
IWS-NO INTEGRATED WIND SOLUTIONS
OX2-SE OX2
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Adrian Gilani
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
ORSTED ORSTED
HEX HEXAGON COMPOSITES ASA
NEL NEL ASA
SSO SCATEC ASA
EOLU B EOLUS VIND AB
FKRFT FJORDKRAFT HOLDING ASA
CADLR CADELER
VOLUE VOLUE AS
A2QKGG HEXAGON PURUS
ZAP ZAPTEC
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
EWIND EDDA WIND ASA
TOM TOMRA SYSTEMS ASA
IWS-NO INTEGRATED WIND SOLUTIONS
OX2-SE OX2
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Aker Solutions (Sell, TP: NOK48.00) - Excitement overdone
We can understand the initial investor excitement about a dividend, but compared to fundamentals, we find yesterday’s share price reaction exaggerated, in particular as the stock was strong into what was a weak Q3 report. Looking ahead, we see no free cash flow generation over 2025–2027e. We reiterate our NOK48 target price but have downgraded to SELL (HOLD).
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Haakon Amundsen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Aker Solutions (Hold, TP: NOK48.00) - Small SOTP discount removed
Having repeatedly said a capital allocation strategy update would be provided with the Q4 results, it surprised the market by announcing a dividend of NOK21/share (46% of market cap) prior to the Q3 results, effectively meaning all liquid investments are to be distributed. We expect focus to be on the value of ‘the stub’, its 20% OneSubsea stake and proper working capital adjustments. As our SOTP had a 5% discount on the items now being distributed, we have increased our target price to NOK48 (4...
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Aker Solutions (Hold, TP: NOK46.00) - Low visibility beyond 2025
Despite our expectation of continued strong execution near-term (reflected in our increased 2025e EBITDA), we believe the combination of weak prospects for new large orders and the upcoming working capital unwind will weigh on the stock in the quarters ahead. We find it fairly valued on our SOTP and believe investor focus will gradually shift towards the lack of backlog upon completion of the Aker BP portfolio projects. We reiterate our HOLD and NOK46 target price.
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Adrian Gilani
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
ORSTED ORSTED
HEX HEXAGON COMPOSITES ASA
NEL NEL ASA
SSO SCATEC ASA
EOLU B EOLUS VIND AB
FKRFT FJORDKRAFT HOLDING ASA
CADLR CADELER
VOLUE VOLUE AS
A2QKGG HEXAGON PURUS
ZAP ZAPTEC
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
EWIND EDDA WIND ASA
TOM TOMRA SYSTEMS ASA
IWS-NO INTEGRATED WIND SOLUTIONS
OX2-SE OX2
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- Mahaut Arnaud
- Paul de Froment
- Thomas Mordelle
Tomra Systems: Acquisition of c-trace
Yesterday, Tomra acquired 80% of the shares of c-trace - a German group providing integrated hardware and software solutions to manage waste collection vehicles fleets. This acquisition is in line with the strategy announced at Tomra CMD (Sept. 2024) where the group announced its intention to devel
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