Approaching apex

Dexcom Q1: strong growth and positive news

Nordic Semiconductor (Buy, TP: NOK160.00) - Not too bad given tail-end...

While implied guidance for H1 revenues is ~1–4% below our forecast and consensus, the underlying sequential performance is directionally in line with the broader set of peers to have reported to date. We find this growth and gross margin profile solid, given we are at the tail-end of the life of Nordic’s 10-year-old 55nm technology platform. Combined with the arguably unprecedented level of uncertainty for the company’s customers, we find it achieving a ~50% gross margin and accelerated Cellular...

Nordic Semiconductor ASA: 1 director

A director at Nordic Semiconductor ASA bought 20,090 shares at 102.500NOK and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two y...

Scandi Standard AB: 2 directors

Two Directors at Scandi Standard AB bought 8,000 shares at between 87.880SEK and 88.470SEK. The significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over ...

Energy Morning - 30 April 2025

Soft Q1 growth from Logitech

14% drop seems like an overreaction

EBITDA 3% above - '25e guidance lifted

Winner winner chicken dinner

YIT (Sell, TP: EUR2.00) - 2025 guidance unchanged, we see EPS close to...

Q1 EBIT and EPS saw a healthy beat against our estimates and consensus, driven by a strong sales mix and internal efficiency gains. Unsold, completed apartments fell by 30% YOY, to their lowest level since Q3 2023. We have raised our 2025e EBIT, but do not see this as evidence of a broader recovery in Finnish residential markets. Our 2025e EBIT remains just above the guidance mid-point, with EPS hovering just below zero. We reiterate our SELL, but have raised our target price to EUR2 (1.75).

Q1: 4% EBIT-beat driven by margins

Q1 beat, but muted Q2 guidance

Aker Solutions (Hold, TP: NOK30.00) - Downside risk from 2026e

While being above consensus for Q1 and 2025, due to the estimated margin contribution from lucrative Aker BP projects, we believe consensus overestimates revenue capacity from 2026e as oil & gas projects taper off, being replaced by higher-risk renewables projects, in our view. We also see limited cash flow generation ahead due to working capital unwind. We reiterate our NOK30 target price, but have upgraded to HOLD (SELL).

Better risk-reward elsewhere - Down to HOLD

Muted 2025 growth expectations

Following Q1 earnings calls by some of the oil service companies, 2025 outlooks appear more challenging than previously. Baker Hughes expects international upstream spending to decline by mid- to high-single digits, while Halliburton sees its international revenues flat to slightly down. Furthermore, Weatherford expects 2025 international revenue to decline by low double- to mid-double digits. Precision Drilling flagged additional rig suspensions by Saudi Aramco, and SLB highlighted a slow start...

ENI capex cut but maintains shareholder returns

Driven by macro headwinds and uncertainty around trade tariffs, ENI was the first large oil company to introduce capex cuts for 2025, contributing to a more challenging business environment for oil services. Over the past five years, we estimate ENI to have been the oil major with strongest offshore spending growth, and it has been considered active and opportunistic while others have been more conservative. Hence, we see its reduction as a soft datapoint for oil services. ENI has optimised its ...

Nordic Semiconductor (Buy, TP: NOK174.00) - Near-term momentum likely ...

While the effects of trade tensions and tariff upheaval remain uncertain, our discussions with industry sources suggest strong, improving order momentum in Q1. Moreover, we expect the recently announced 90-day tariff pause to drive pull-forward of US imports. This has led us to shift our estimates from H2 towards H1. Beyond tariff-induced pull-ins, Dexcom channel replenishment dynamics remain one company-specific source of uncertainty to watch, while we estimate a limited effect. We remain sligh...

Mixed upside potential, despite market recovery expectations

Pent-up demand and falling interest rates remain the backbone for newbuild recovery expectations. However, as the recovery has not yet started, property developers screen as the most attractive long-term, but visibility remains mixed. Diversified construction companies are more attractive on near-term P/Es, although many seem to be fully valued on solid share-price performance over the past six months. We maintain a neutral sector view; NCC and Skanska are our top picks.

E&P spending sensitivity explored

With an oil price at the mid-USD60s/bbl level, focus on the oil major overspending situation, and resulting impact on the outlook for offshore-focused oil services, is set to increase further. While oil companies would likely cut, or even eliminate, buyback programmes first, we expect increased focus on spending reductions and efficiencies, creating a more challenging business environment for oil services. Hence, we see a risk of oil companies taking a more cautious approach, resulting in projec...