Tele2 AB: 1 director

A director at Tele2 AB bought 4,500 shares at 101.150SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...

No surprises in our pre-summer lunch

Swedish food retail market: flat in April

Renewable Weekly – 15 May 2024

This week, we take a preliminary look at Vestas' Q2 announced order intake quarter to date.

Svenska Handelsbanken AB (publ): 2 directors

Two Directors at Svenska Handelsbanken AB (publ) bought 2,080,000 shares at between 98.254SEK and 98.420SEK. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company...

Trump vows to stop offshore wind development with executive order on d...

Over the weekend, former US president Donald Trump said he would issue an executive order targeting offshore wind on his first day as president if elected. A president can issue an executive order directing a study of the impact while halting permitting of new projects. While this could negatively affect US permitting and thus the growth of offshore wind in the country, all other elements for the wind farms are determined on a state level. Hence, permitted wind farms would likely see a limited e...

Positive read-across from OX2 offer

This morning, renewable energy project developer OX2 announced it has received an offer from infrastructure fund EQT at a 43.4% premium to Friday’s close. We view this as further evidence of a greater willingness to pay for renewables in the private markets than the public ones, and thus believe the bid offers a positive read-across for renewable energy companies with strong development capabilities in the Nordics/Northern Europe, such as Cloudberry and Bonheur. We also believe it could be posit...

Weekly Real Estate Matrix

Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 10 May 2024.

Weak quarter, sound outlook

Messy quarter, negative est. changes. Asset rotation set to continue. Several reasons to buy the share; BUY, TP SEK 155

Swedish policy rate cut, an upgrade and a downgrade

Sweden’s Riksbank cut the policy rate this week to 3.75% (4.0%); our estimates are based on another four cuts by end-2025. During the week we upgraded Veidekke to BUY, downgraded Castellum to HOLD, and reiterated our HOLD on Kojamo and SELL on Hufvudstaden and Sagax. The average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.40% for 2024e and 4.79% for 2025e.

Margin trough in Q1, but recovery uncertain

Negative net recruitment limits quick growth comeback , but earnings comps get easier from Q2e. EBITA cut 1-2%, market remains challenging, stick to HOLD.

Renewable Weekly – 8 May 2024

This week, we look at key takeaways from GWEC's 2024 Global Wind Report.

Castellum AB: 2 directors

A director at Castellum AB bought 3,633 shares at 126.950SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 42/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

Q1 likely just a bump in the road

Weekly Real Estate Matrix

Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 3 May 2024.

Castellum (Hold, TP: SEK135.00) - Unconvincing Q1 results

We have downgraded to HOLD (BUY) and trimmed our target price to SEK135 (136) following rather soft Q1 results that showed a risk in vacancy adding concern about the rental market outlook. We consider the stock fully valued, given only an 10% NAV discount (adjusted for Entra at market value) and its soft FFOPS growth outlook.

On track

European occupancy continues up. Minor estimate changes for '25e-'26e. Trading above key peers, we reiterate HOLD.

Bonheur (Buy, TP: NOK275.00) - Limited knock-on effects from the weak ...

Bonheur reported Q1 EBITDA well below expectations (25% below our estimate and 33% below consensus), but we see limited knock-on effects for the rest of the year. Hence, we have lowered our 2024e EBITDA by 5% on the weaker-than-expected Q1 results, and raised our 2025–2026e EBITDA by 2–1% on a weaker NOK. We reiterate our BUY and NOK275 target price, and see the stock trading at an attractive 28% discount to our NAV and a 15% discount to our target price.

Q1 reporting continues

This week, Castellum and Balder reported Q1 results, Wihlborgs announced a new lease, and SBB corrected 2023 profits and dissolved Unobo. Norges Bank has signalled interest rates might stay higher for longer. K2A has halted preference dividend payments. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.69% for 2024e and 4.97% for 2025e.

Q1 first take: soft wind and higher costs