reports
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Bengt Jonassen
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Bengt Jonassen
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Simen Mortensen
Set for another subdued year
Volatile market interest rates, coupled with rental market weakness, indicate 2025 could be another year of subdued sector performance. The sector is trading at discounts to its historical averages on P/FFO (15.4x NTM) and NAV (26% discount), while the tight implied yield gap looks less appealing. Deleveraging efforts over the past three years have improved EBIT/NIBD metrics and reduced sector risk. We maintain our neutral stance, with one SELL recommendation. Our top sector picks are Balder, Ny...
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
LOGIB LOGISTEA
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Simen Mortensen
Transaction volumes on the up
Nordic property transaction volumes improved in December, with strong growth YOY in Norway and Sweden, albeit still far below ATH levels. In other news, Fabege made a mixed-use asset divestment at a 4% discount to BV, while we published Q4 previews for Sagax, Catena, Sveafastigheter and Wallenstam. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.44% for 2024e and 5.06% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Simen Mortensen
Rising SWAP rates hit sector, weak rental update
The sector has traded down in recent weeks on rising long-term SWAP rates, resulting in multiples contraction, but we do not expect significant changes to consensus 2025–2026e FFO/EPS. This week, Corem issued a Q4 net letting-related profit warning, confirming the terminated lease in Stockholm’s Kista district, and Sveafastigheter announced a CFO change. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.42% for 2024e and 5.10% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Simen Mortensen
Transactions and an upgrade
This week, Public Property Invest and Cibus Nordic Real Estate (Cibus) announced acquisitions, while Entra closed an asset sale 13% above book value. On Thursday, we upgraded Atrium Ljungberg to HOLD (SELL), and trimmed our target price on Balder (one of our sector top picks) to NOK90 (92) while reiterating our BUY. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.48% for 2024e and 5.06% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Simen Mortensen
SEK10bn deal, residential prices and several deals by PPI
This week, we raised our 2025e FFOps for PPI by 16.5% on recent transactions, Skanska divested assets, K-Fastigheter and Brinova agreed a SEK10bn residential deal, and we published a residential prices update. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.39% for 2024e and 4.94% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Simen Mortensen
New bonds, bond turmoil and transactions
This week, both Public Property Invest and Citycon issued c5-year EUR bonds. SBB received additional letters from bondholders expressing an intention to accelerate regarding its Eurobonds. NCC announced the sale of a SEK3.6bn newbuild in Solna, Stockholm, while Skanska announced an internal transaction and JM the sale of a Finnish residential property. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.38% for 2024e and 4.93% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Simen Mortensen
Final Q3s and several transactions
Approaching year-end, property transactions appeared to see the typical seasonal uptick in the past week. Also, Q3 reporting season concluded with Sveafastigheter and SBB Norden releasing their results. Finally, Kojamo announced the appointment of its new CEO. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.34% for 2024e and 4.88% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Simen Mortensen
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.