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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adecco: 3Q24 miss; stabilising trends in 3Q24 and into 4Q24; accelerating cost savings. B&S Group: 3Q24 preview - liquor bottoming into 4Q24? Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Almost the real thing. D'Ieteren: Belgian October car registrations down 5.5%, VW down 11%. Kinepolis: Oct US/Canada box office at 59% of pre Covid level, France recovery to 78%. Recticel: 3Q24 compares well with Kingspan. Renewi: 1H25 preview - battling cost inflation with self help. Syensqo: Slight beat on 3Q...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Recticel FIRST LOOK: 3Q LFL revenue growth +6%, FY guidance maintained

3Q revenue growth accelerated to 6% on a like for like basis, with revenue of € 156.6m slightly above our and consensus forecasts. Recticel reiterated its FY guidance of around € 50m adjusted EBITDA. Although we do believe in the longer term growth prospects of the insulation market, short term multiples are not particularly appealing with EV/EBITDA25e of c 10x and so we reiterate our Hold rating for now.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: 3Q24 preview - no signs of recovery expected. AB InBev: All to play for in the final quarter. Arcadis: A mixed bag. Ayvens: Struggling to get out of neutral. dsm-firmenich: Taking your vitamins is healthy. D'Ieteren: Belron equity at €23.5bn, EV €32.2bn in minority shareholder transaction. Euronext: 3Q24 and CMD Preview. Flow Traders: Bumper harvest. Heijmans: 3Q24 as expected, keeps FY outlook in place. Proximus: Key politician pushing for major governance shake up. ...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DIE BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, ...

: ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DIE BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, GLPG NA, INGA NA, RECT BB

Maxime Stranart ... (+2)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Stijn Demeester

Recticel/Volumes growth back on the agenda/BUY

We reiterate our BUY and increase our target price from €15 to €16 following Recticel's 1H24 results, to reflect a lower WACC and broadly stable estimates. We remain convinced by the medium-to-long term potential of the Insulation market - this should provide Recticel with ample room to grow organically and, thanks to its net cash position, through M&A. We view future acquisitions as a key catalyst for the share price over the short term, as these would confirm the ambition of the group to mater...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ING Benelux Conference London: Aalberts, Arcadis, Azelis, Barco, Basic-Fit, Brunel International, DEME Group, Euronext, Fagron, Heijmans, Kinepolis, Lotus Bakeries, Melexis, Ontex, Randstad, Recticel, SBM Offshore, TKH Group, Van Lanschot Kempen Other company stories - OCI: Divestment of Methanol to Methanex for US$2.05bn, Staffing: US August temp volumes marginally better trend; NFP jobs miss

Jacob Mekhael ... (+4)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Recticel Model update – Structural growth drivers but no ST support fr...

We have finetuned our earnings model post the 1H24 results release, with adjusted EBITDA forecasts for FY24-26 lowered by between 2% and 5%, reflecting the competitive landscape (mainly in the Boards business). Despite the reduced forecasts, we still expect Recticel to grow adjusted EBITDA by c. 31% in FY24 and by 19% in FY25, benefiting from savings initiatives and the Rex integration & growth. Building markets are bottoming out, but we do not expect meaningful improvement in momentum until 202...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Recticel Feedback conference call

Below are the highlights from the 1H results conference call. On the back of double digit underlying volume growth, 1H Adj EBITDA jumped by 38% to € 25.1m, which was roughly in line with our forecast and c 3m above consensus. Although Recticel expects to have seen the market bottom in Western Europe whilst noting an improvement in the UK, FY guidance of around € 50m adjusted EBITDA is slightly below our and consensus forecasts of respectively € 52m and € 54m. Although we do believe in the longer...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Indian participation casts shadow over excellent result of core segments. ASML: Spotlight on export restrictions again. Basic-Fit: Dutch parliament persists in plans to raise VAT for oa Sports to 21%. CFE: Earnings quality improved in challenging markets. Eurocommercial Properties: Better numbers, guidance moved toward the higher end of the range. OCI: IFCO sale successfully closed, cash return unlocked Recticel: Solid 1H24 beat, FY guidance may disappoint. SIF Grou...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Recticel FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +38%, FY guidance slightly below co...

On the back of double digit underlying volume growth, 1H Adj EBITDA jumped by 38% to € 25.1m, which was roughly in line with our forecast and c 3m above consensus. Although Recticel expects to have seen the market bottom in Western Europe whilst noting an improvement in the UK, FY guidance of around € 50m adjusted EBITDA is slightly below our and consensus forecasts of respectively € 52m and € 54m. Although we do believe in the longer term growth prospects of the insulation market, short term mu...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kendrion: Preview - focus on continued business. Recticel: Kingspan 1H24 trading update

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Telenet to use BASE to enter Wallonia and as full “b” brand in Flanders. KPN: Last tranche of 5G auction to start on 25 June. Recticel: Changes in the Board of Directors

 PRESS RELEASE

Mithra postpones its annual general meeting

Mithra postpones its annual general meeting Liege, Belgium, 28 May 2024 – 15:00 CEST – Mithra (Euronext Brussels: MITRA), a company dedicated to women’s health, today announces that in the context of the monetization process and the uncertainties related thereto, Mithra postpones its Annual General Shareholders’ Meeting, , to a later date to be determined.  Background Information:  Mithra announced the launch of a comprehensive monetization process, exploring potential sales of selected assets, notably Estetra SRL, and potentially the entire business. Additionally, Mithra announced the en...

Vincent Koppmair
  • Vincent Koppmair

Immobel - Not out of the woods yet

We reviewed our Immobel figures, following a market update for 2024 and adjusted our estimates.2024 is expected to be much better (sales +50%)  yet still subdued (ROE remaining at mid single digits).Slow market reopening could imply a tough 2025 due to a delayed investment market reopening, the liquidity impact of the Proximus towers acquisition at the end of 2024 and a sizeable refinancing wall coming up.While revenues are expected to grow, we continue to see short-term pressure on the balance ...

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