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ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm

Q1 sales 1.9% below

Q1 sales up 4.4%% (FX adj) yoy, and -1.9% vs cons and 0% vs our estm. Q1 is a small quarter, 18% of sales, we expect limited estm revisions from cons

Kid ASA: 1 director

A director at Kid ASA maiden bought 4,950 shares at 144.574NOK and the significance rating of the trade was 71/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm

Q4 as expected

Q4 EBIT in-line, better cost development vs Q3

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm

Impressive sales, 5% better

Q4 sales up 12% yoy despite challenging comps and +5% vs cons. Norway 2% better sales vs cons, Sweden 11% better

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm

EBITDA 9% below on higher costs

Q3 EBITDA 9% below on higher costs. GM as expected. '24 EBIT estm down 4-5%, stock down 3-4%

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm

Q3 sales in -line

Q3 sales in-line with cons and up 4.4% yoy on though comps. Norway 3% better sales, Sweden 5% below.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm

5% better EBTDA, European expansion next

Q2 EBITDA / EBIT 5-9% better on higher GM. Set to test online expansion into the European markets in H2'25

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm

Q2 sales expected up 11.5%

Q2 sales expected at NOK 807m, up 11.5% y-o-y. We are in -line with cons; neutral stand ahead of the release

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm

Q2 off to a flyer – estimates up

Q1: Another solid report and 25% y-o-y sales growth in April. Sales up 4-5% and EPS 3-4% for 2024-2026. Strong growth justifies higher multiples: BUY, TP NOK 175 (150).

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm

Blow out April sales (+25% yoy)

Q1 EBITDA / EBIT spot on expectations. 25% yoy sales growth in April boosted by campaigns (we had 6%). Stronger Q2 growth likely to lift '24 EBIT by 3-4%.

Petter Nystrøm
  • Petter Nystrøm

Kid - Will strike back

’23e EPS down 10% on lower GM & higher costs New growth initiatives are highly welcomed Confidence hit, but great entry point

Petter Nystrøm
  • Petter Nystrøm

Kid - Will strike back

Weak Q3 as expected due to GM hit. Reiterate GM target for 2023, but ’23e EPS down ~8% Confidence hit, but great entry point

Petter Nystrøm
  • Petter Nystrøm

Kid - Weaker GM, 23 EPS likely down 7%

Weaker GM given lack of control Likely to reduce ’22 and 23 EPS by 20% and 7% Disappointing for sure

Petter Nystrøm
  • Petter Nystrøm

Kid - Q3: Sales 3.5% below and flattish y-o-y

Sales 3.5% below on softer LFL Full year EBIT likely down ~2% on Q3 sales miss Still strong valuation support

Petter Nystrøm
  • Petter Nystrøm

Kid - Standing tall

’23 EPS down 12% on lower expected sales Prepared for challenging times; low debt + track record P/E of 9.0x and ~11% dividend yield – we would BUY

Petter Nystrøm
  • Petter Nystrøm

Kid - Ready for a volatile H2’22

Q2: Yet again a solid report and a comforting outlook A favorite in our retail coverage: Outstanding track record P/E below 10x and over 10% divi yield. BUY

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