GREATER CHINA Update China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.79/Target: HK$2.30): Strong margins anchored by pricing discipline; supply reform still hinges on stricter enforcement mechanisms. Laopu Gold (6181 HK/NOT RATED/HK$1,082.00): Ongoing product innovation and channel expansion; committed to long-term single-store sales target. INDONESIA Update Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,500/Target: Rp3,300): Patient volume could recover in 2Q25. MALAYSIA Strategy ...
We expect MIKA to deliver 11% net profit growth in 2025, mainly driven by higher revenue intensity. MIKA saw a noticeable recovery in patient volume with May marking its strongest monthly performance ytd. Though June saw a slight moderation compared with May, 2Q25 patient volume remains above 1Q25’s. Higher revenue intensity will be driven by: a) a change in case mix, b) a higher private insurance contribution, and c) increased utilisation of radiology services. Maintain BUY. Target price: Rp3,3...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
Our Jun 25 portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +5.1%/+7.1% respectively, mainly driven by DKFT (+16% performance) and outperformances by other stocks such as ANTM, CMRY and AMRT. Several major events to watch out this month include upcoming IPOs (especially the sizeable Chandra Daya Investasi (CDIA) IPO worth about US$143m) and the outcome of the US-Indo reciprocal tariffs discussion on 9 July. Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
Our portfolio in Mar 25 outperformed relative to the JCI and LQ45 by +3.3%/+2.7% respectively (simple average). In terms of the weighted average free float market cap, the portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +10.9%/+10.3% respectively due to a large rebound in BBRI. We remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF, and add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA to our portfolio. Given Trump’s 32% reciprocal tariffs on Indonesia, our portfolio picks lean towards defensive stocks: BBCA, ICBP, ERAA, EXCL, MIKA,...
Our portfolio underperformed in Feb 25, declining 17.1% as JCI dropped 11.8% to a three-year low. There was a sell-off on banking stocks as investors were concerned that being included in Danantara could result in a similar fate to state-owned construction companies. Due to a sharp rise in DCII, IDXTECH outperformed in Feb 25. We remove BMRI, ISAT and CTRA from our portfolio and add MIKA. Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII.
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI A strong rebound for non-manufacturing PMI. Sector Macau Gaming Dec 24 GGR below expectations; expect 2025 GGR to recover to 82% of 2019’s level. INDONESIA Update Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target: Rp3,300) Expect a double-digit earnings growth in 2025 MALAYSIA Sector Heal...
Despite the potential headwinds from stricter insurance reimbursement payment methods, MIKA could still deliver double-digit earnings growth as it plans to open two new hospitals in 2025. MIKA could benefit from the implementation of KRIS by assuming BPJS Class 1 and 2 members become private patients. Annual ASP adjustments and contribution from complex services can also improve the revenue intensity. MIKA is trading at -1.5SD to its five-year mean forward EV/EBITDA. Maintain BUY. Target price: ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: The Third Plenum has released the roadmap to a new model for China property. Update Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$3.06/Target: HK$3.80): Weaker-than-expected SSS yet to pick up; expect near-term earnings growth to be under pressure. INDONESIA Results Mitra Keluarga (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,940/Target: Rp3,300): 2Q24: Net profit up 7.9% qoq on cost efficiencies and changes in payer mix. Upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas: Petros takes over Petron...
2Q24 net profit grew 7.9% qoq (+40.4% yoy), lifting 1H24 net profit by 32.5% yoy, which is above our/market expectations. Margins expanded due to: a) cost efficiencies, b) higher contributions from private patients, and c) improving profitability from three new hospitals. We upgrade 2024/25 net profit forecasts by 4.6%/1.1% as management raises its revenue and EBITDA margin guidance with the ramp-up of the three new hospitals and changes in payer mix. Upgrade MIKA to BUY. Target price: Rp3,300.
GREATER CHINA Sector Banking: Implications of property rescue package and dividend tax exemption. Update New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$81.38/Target: US$105.00): Diverse revenue streams; margin improvement in sight. INDONESIA Update Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ/HOLD/Rp3,100/Target: Rp3,300): Earnings upgrade, but downgrade to HOLD on expensive valuation, with a higher target price. MALAYSIA Results Genting Malaysia (GENM MK/BUY/RM2.80/Target: RM3.50): 1Q24: Soli...
We raise our 2024/25 net profit estimates by 7.6%/6.5% respectively following the strong 1Q24 results, leading to a higher target price of Rp3,300. MIKA could deliver a 26% net profit growth in 2024, driven by: a) ASP increase in early-24, b) 250-300 additional beds, and c) margin expansion. MIKA could benefit from the implementation of KRIS by assuming BPJS Class 1 becoming private patients. Nevertheless, we downgrade MIKA to HOLD as its valuation is +1.3SD to the mean three-year forward EV/EBI...
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