EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • GEK Terna: 1H24 EBITDA climbs 7%, to EUR 269m, as broadly expected NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H24 results in line, EGM approves share buyback plan NEUTRAL • LPP: key takeaways from the 2Q24 results call POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: appoints Marcin Zygmanowicz and dismisses Magdalena Zmitrowicz from the management board NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Solorz announces plans to dismiss his children from the company NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs new PLN 12.2m contract for “e...
Robust H1 with adj. EBITDA and net profit +5% yoy; FY24 guidance out of sync with H1 performance – Jumbo has announced quite solid H1 results in line with our estimates, delivering 5.5% adj. EBITDA growth on +8% sales increase (the latter was pre-announced). Underpinning the robust performance was the surprising resilience of gross margins (flat yoy at 55.3%), as Jumbo continued to navigate supply chain challenges efficiently, which was only partly diluted by opex inflation (opex +13% yoy, due t...
Robust H1 with adj. EBITDA and net profit +5% yoy; FY24 guidance out of sync with H1 performance – Jumbo has announced quite solid H1 results in line with our estimates, delivering 5.5% adj. EBITDA growth on +8% sales increase (the latter was pre-announced). Underpinning the robust performance was the surprising resilience of gross margins (flat yoy at 55.3%), as Jumbo continued to navigate supply chain challenges efficiently, which was only partly diluted by opex inflation (opex +13% yoy, due t...
The ATHEX has shed c3% since the start of August, significantly underperforming vs both broader Europe (Stoxx 600 +0.7%) and periphery markets (MIB +2.8%). Performance has been weighed down primarily by banks, which have fallen c7% over the period, compared to a c4% return registered by their EU peers. Non-financials have also stalled, with just a handful of companies in the green since August (mostly from the mid-cap space). Of note is that this move is out of sync with fundamentals, as most co...
The ATHEX has shed c3% since the start of August, significantly underperforming vs both broader Europe (Stoxx 600 +0.7%) and periphery markets (MIB +2.8%). Performance has been weighed down primarily by banks, which have fallen c7% over the period, compared to a c4% return registered by their EU peers. Non-financials have also stalled, with just a handful of companies in the green since August (mostly from the mid-cap space). Of note is that this move is out of sync with fundamentals, as most co...
EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...
HEADLINES: • Ford Otosan: getting ready to fire on all cylinders (upgraded to BUY) • Czech Republic macro: May inflation moderates, to hit the low point soon • Hungary macro: May inflation up, but in line with expectations • Richter: acquires Mithra assets for an EV of EUR 175m NEUTRAL • Jumbo: turnover +10%/+8% in May/5M24 POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: to invest EUR 750m in renewable fuels at Petrobrasi refinery NEUTRAL • Short News (ALR, PKO)
A director at Jumbo SA sold 4,000,000 shares at 0.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...
Another record year; on track for c10% EBIT growth in 2024 – Jumbo delivered 20% EBIT growth in FY23 thanks to 14% higher sales, resilient gross margins (-15bps yoy, albeit >3pps higher than 2019 levels) and opex savings (opex just +6% yoy). Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 22%, eclipsing the +20% embedded in our estimates a year ago. Mgt proposed another generous €1 DPS following the €0.6 paid in March, adding up to c6% yi...
Another record year; on track for c10% EBIT growth in 2024 – Jumbo delivered 20% EBIT growth in FY23 thanks to 14% higher sales, resilient gross margins (-15bps yoy, albeit >3pps higher than 2019 levels) and opex savings (opex just +6% yoy). Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 22%, eclipsing the +20% embedded in our estimates a year ago. Mgt proposed another generous €1 DPS following the €0.6 paid in March, adding up to c6% yi...
2023: Reclaiming investor spotlight – Greek equities had another year of stellar performance, with the ASE index popping >40%, eclipsing the Stoxx 600 by >25ppts. Strong fundamentals (mid-teens EBITDA growth for non-financials, >50% NII growth for banks) were coupled with falling risk premia thanks to crystallized domestic political stability and expectations for Greece’s return to investment grade (IG), further propelled by the generic risk-on rally in Q4 and low positioning. Financials (+66%) ...
2023: Reclaiming investor spotlight – Greek equities had another year of stellar performance, with the ASE index popping >40%, eclipsing the Stoxx 600 by >25ppts. Strong fundamentals (mid-teens EBITDA growth for non-financials, >50% NII growth for banks) were coupled with falling risk premia thanks to crystallized domestic political stability and expectations for Greece’s return to investment grade (IG), further propelled by the generic risk-on rally in Q4 and low positioning. Financials (+66%) ...
EME Equity Market – September 2023 Market performance – positive developments in Romania and Turkey, declines everywhere else. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 3.7% mom in EUR terms and 6.0% mom in USD in September. Romania took the spotlight, with the BET Index advancing 7.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Turkish ISE30 (+4.6% mom). The Polish WIG20 declined the most (-8.7% mom), followed by the Greek ASE, the Hungarian BUX and, finally, the Czech PX (-7.9%, -1.9% and -0.6% mom, respectively).
Another beat in H1’23; heading for mid-teens sales growth in FY23e – Jumbo delivered 27% EBITDA growth in H1 as a result of 20% sales growth, a relatively mild 1.7pps gross margin compression (in the context of last year’s unsustainably high 57% gross margin) and tight opex control. Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 36%, eclipsing the +21% anticipated by consensus. Mgt lifted the FY23 net profit guidance by c4% despite a c3%...
Another beat in H1’23; heading for mid-teens sales growth in FY23e – Jumbo delivered 27% EBITDA growth in H1 as a result of 20% sales growth, a relatively mild 1.7pps gross margin compression (in the context of last year’s unsustainably high 57% gross margin) and tight opex control. Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 36%, eclipsing the +21% anticipated by consensus. Mgt lifted the FY23 net profit guidance by c4% despite a c3%...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 2Q23 beat on cost discipline; second-best quarterly EBIT and earnings historically POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q23 results miss our expectations on higher SG&A and negative one-offs NEGATIVE • Jumbo: solid 1H23 numbers, FY23E net profit growth guidance upped to 15% yoy POSITIVE • OTP Bank: mixed comments on taxes from government representatives NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: Update 2.0 for Cyberpunk attracts 90k concurrent players on Steam POSITIVE • Orlen: to invest in an oilseed processin...
Stay on board – Greek stocks have had a rather muted summer (ASE +4.7% in July, -1.6% in August), as the prospect for higher-for-longer rates fanned worries about the global economy, leading to widening equity risk premia amidst poorer liquidity conditions given the low seasonality. With Greek stocks already up 35% ytd (banks +55%), the short-term risk-reward looks symmetrical as the fragile international sentiment is balanced with the strong domestic fundamentals, attractive valuations and posi...
Stay on board – Greek stocks have had a rather muted summer (ASE +4.7% in July, -1.6% in August), as the prospect for higher-for-longer rates fanned worries about the global economy, leading to widening equity risk premia amidst poorer liquidity conditions given the low seasonality. With Greek stocks already up 35% ytd (banks +55%), the short-term risk-reward looks symmetrical as the fragile international sentiment is balanced with the strong domestic fundamentals, attractive valuations and posi...
EME Equity Market – August 2023 Market performance – Turkey the top performer in August, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in August. Turkey, yet again, outperformed its peers, with the ISE30 gaining 9.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX index saw a solid performance in August, adding 6.1% mom in EUR terms, while the Romanian BET had a lacklustre month, barely making any gains (0.1% mom in EUR terms). Elsewhere, the index performances were neg...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.