reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; AKBNK TI; YKBNK TI; SOLUTION AB; PL Macro; PCF P...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak set of results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • Akbank: 1Q25 highlights – management cautious on margin, but positive on fees • Yapi Kredi: 1Q25 highlights, before the call – beat on NII and fees (evolved better than the guidance) • Solutions by STC: weak 1Q25 financial results, disappointing revenue growth NEGATIVE • Poland macro: April data paint an encouraging picture • PCF Group: PLN 173m write-offs to hit the 2024 results, related mostly to Bifrost NEGATIVE • Richter: positive ...
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
PCF PCF GROUP SA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: starting 2025 on the right foot
EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
SHO GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7203 SHOPER SA
ELM CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: JMT PL; BELA GA; HU Macro; RO Macro; PGSUS TI; RICHT HB
HEADLINES: • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q24 trading statement slightly ahead of our expectations; lfl at Biedronka recovers to +1.1% POSITIVE • Jumbo: top-line growth slows to 2% in December, but still up 6.3% yoy in 2024, as expected NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: inflation jumps, MoF reiterates commitment to fiscal prudence • Romania macro: inflation surprises to the upside again • Pegasus Airlines: strong December traffic POSITIVE • Richter: announces positive top-line results for tocilizumab POSITIVE
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greece rebounds, elsewhere mostly ...
EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
KLKIM VERCOM SA
SHO KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
4071 SHOPER SA
TRESTATES ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
GEV TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
NOVAL GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR NOVAL PROPERTY
BANK OF CYPRUS
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; GEKTERNA GA; BELA GA; LPP PW; PEO PW; CPS PW; MB...
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • GEK Terna: 1H24 EBITDA climbs 7%, to EUR 269m, as broadly expected NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H24 results in line, EGM approves share buyback plan NEUTRAL • LPP: key takeaways from the 2Q24 results call POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: appoints Marcin Zygmanowicz and dismisses Magdalena Zmitrowicz from the management board NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Solorz announces plans to dismiss his children from the company NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs new PLN 12.2m contract for “e...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
JUMBO | First thoughts: Retaining its mojo
Robust H1 with adj. EBITDA and net profit +5% yoy; FY24 guidance out of sync with H1 performance – Jumbo has announced quite solid H1 results in line with our estimates, delivering 5.5% adj. EBITDA growth on +8% sales increase (the latter was pre-announced). Underpinning the robust performance was the surprising resilience of gross margins (flat yoy at 55.3%), as Jumbo continued to navigate supply chain challenges efficiently, which was only partly diluted by opex inflation (opex +13% yoy, due t...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
JUMBO | First thoughts: Retaining its mojo
Robust H1 with adj. EBITDA and net profit +5% yoy; FY24 guidance out of sync with H1 performance – Jumbo has announced quite solid H1 results in line with our estimates, delivering 5.5% adj. EBITDA growth on +8% sales increase (the latter was pre-announced). Underpinning the robust performance was the surprising resilience of gross margins (flat yoy at 55.3%), as Jumbo continued to navigate supply chain challenges efficiently, which was only partly diluted by opex inflation (opex +13% yoy, due t...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
GREEK MARKET PULSE | Autumn Chill
The ATHEX has shed c3% since the start of August, significantly underperforming vs both broader Europe (Stoxx 600 +0.7%) and periphery markets (MIB +2.8%). Performance has been weighed down primarily by banks, which have fallen c7% over the period, compared to a c4% return registered by their EU peers. Non-financials have also stalled, with just a handful of companies in the green since August (mostly from the mid-cap space). Of note is that this move is out of sync with fundamentals, as most co...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
GREEK MARKET PULSE | Autumn Chill
The ATHEX has shed c3% since the start of August, significantly underperforming vs both broader Europe (Stoxx 600 +0.7%) and periphery markets (MIB +2.8%). Performance has been weighed down primarily by banks, which have fallen c7% over the period, compared to a c4% return registered by their EU peers. Non-financials have also stalled, with just a handful of companies in the green since August (mostly from the mid-cap space). Of note is that this move is out of sync with fundamentals, as most co...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: another positive month for most EM...
EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
OMV OMV AG
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNP PETROM S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
NLBR NLB GROUP
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: FROTO TI; CZ Macro; HU Macro; RICHT HB; BELA GA; SNP RO
HEADLINES: • Ford Otosan: getting ready to fire on all cylinders (upgraded to BUY) • Czech Republic macro: May inflation moderates, to hit the low point soon • Hungary macro: May inflation up, but in line with expectations • Richter: acquires Mithra assets for an EV of EUR 175m NEUTRAL • Jumbo: turnover +10%/+8% in May/5M24 POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: to invest EUR 750m in renewable fuels at Petrobrasi refinery NEUTRAL • Short News (ALR, PKO)
Jumbo SA: 1 director
A director at Jumbo SA sold 4,000,000 shares at 0.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
JUMBO | Patience you must have
Another record year; on track for c10% EBIT growth in 2024 – Jumbo delivered 20% EBIT growth in FY23 thanks to 14% higher sales, resilient gross margins (-15bps yoy, albeit >3pps higher than 2019 levels) and opex savings (opex just +6% yoy). Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 22%, eclipsing the +20% embedded in our estimates a year ago. Mgt proposed another generous €1 DPS following the €0.6 paid in March, adding up to c6% yi...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
JUMBO | Patience you must have
Another record year; on track for c10% EBIT growth in 2024 – Jumbo delivered 20% EBIT growth in FY23 thanks to 14% higher sales, resilient gross margins (-15bps yoy, albeit >3pps higher than 2019 levels) and opex savings (opex just +6% yoy). Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 22%, eclipsing the +20% embedded in our estimates a year ago. Mgt proposed another generous €1 DPS following the €0.6 paid in March, adding up to c6% yi...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek Equity Strategy – 2024 outlook | Junk no more
2023: Reclaiming investor spotlight – Greek equities had another year of stellar performance, with the ASE index popping >40%, eclipsing the Stoxx 600 by >25ppts. Strong fundamentals (mid-teens EBITDA growth for non-financials, >50% NII growth for banks) were coupled with falling risk premia thanks to crystallized domestic political stability and expectations for Greece’s return to investment grade (IG), further propelled by the generic risk-on rally in Q4 and low positioning. Financials (+66%) ...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek Equity Strategy – 2024 outlook | Junk no more
2023: Reclaiming investor spotlight – Greek equities had another year of stellar performance, with the ASE index popping >40%, eclipsing the Stoxx 600 by >25ppts. Strong fundamentals (mid-teens EBITDA growth for non-financials, >50% NII growth for banks) were coupled with falling risk premia thanks to crystallized domestic political stability and expectations for Greece’s return to investment grade (IG), further propelled by the generic risk-on rally in Q4 and low positioning. Financials (+66%) ...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Romania and Turkey in the bla...
EME Equity Market – September 2023 Market performance – positive developments in Romania and Turkey, declines everywhere else. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 3.7% mom in EUR terms and 6.0% mom in USD in September. Romania took the spotlight, with the BET Index advancing 7.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Turkish ISE30 (+4.6% mom). The Polish WIG20 declined the most (-8.7% mom), followed by the Greek ASE, the Hungarian BUX and, finally, the Czech PX (-7.9%, -1.9% and -0.6% mom, respectively).
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
NLBR NLB GROUP
SF3 STS GROUP AG
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
JUMBO | Buy on all counts
Another beat in H1’23; heading for mid-teens sales growth in FY23e – Jumbo delivered 27% EBITDA growth in H1 as a result of 20% sales growth, a relatively mild 1.7pps gross margin compression (in the context of last year’s unsustainably high 57% gross margin) and tight opex control. Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 36%, eclipsing the +21% anticipated by consensus. Mgt lifted the FY23 net profit guidance by c4% despite a c3%...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
JUMBO | Buy on all counts
Another beat in H1’23; heading for mid-teens sales growth in FY23e – Jumbo delivered 27% EBITDA growth in H1 as a result of 20% sales growth, a relatively mild 1.7pps gross margin compression (in the context of last year’s unsustainably high 57% gross margin) and tight opex control. Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 36%, eclipsing the +21% anticipated by consensus. Mgt lifted the FY23 net profit guidance by c4% despite a c3%...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LPP PW; PCF PW; BELA GA; OTP HB; CDR PW; PKN PW; MBK PW
HEADLINES: • LPP: 2Q23 beat on cost discipline; second-best quarterly EBIT and earnings historically POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q23 results miss our expectations on higher SG&A and negative one-offs NEGATIVE • Jumbo: solid 1H23 numbers, FY23E net profit growth guidance upped to 15% yoy POSITIVE • OTP Bank: mixed comments on taxes from government representatives NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: Update 2.0 for Cyberpunk attracts 90k concurrent players on Steam POSITIVE • Orlen: to invest in an oilseed processin...
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