reports
- David Barden
CCI 4Q25 Results and Model Update
We are updating our model for CCI (Neutral, PT $93) following its 4Q25 results that were largely ahead of our estimates and consensus. With the removal of SATS noise from reported results, 2026 AFFO per share will be heavily influenced by the timing of the Small Cells and Fiber Segment Divestiture. As we have previously mentioned, we don’t see material upside in the stock until all the heavy lifting takes place which looks to wait until mid-year.
- David Barden
Crown Castle 4Q25 Quick Take: 2026 a transition year as CCI navigates ...
CCI (Neutral, PT $93) reported 4Q25 results that were largely ahead of our estimates and consensus. Following its previous disclosure that SATS has defaulted on its tower lease agreement payments, CCI shared organic growth guidance excluding these payments. Ahead of the close of its Small Cells and Fiber Segment in 1H26, we don’t see material upside as we wait for all the heavy lifting to take place. This said, at the end of the day, CCI will be THE pure play tower company in the US when the upp...
Crown Castle Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results and Pro...
Crown Castle Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results and Provides Outlook for Full Year 2026 HOUSTON, Feb. 04, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Crown Castle Inc. (NYSE: CCI) ("Crown Castle") today reported results for the full year ended December 31, 2025 and issued its full year 2026 outlook, as reflected in the table below. Full Year 2026 Full Year 2025(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)Current Outlook Midpoint(a)Midpoint GrowthRate Compared to Full Year 2025 Actual ActualActual Growth Rate Compared to Full Year 2024 ActualSite rental revenues(b)$3,850(5)% $4,049(5)%Net i...
- David Barden
Not unexpectedly, SATS defaults on AMT leases – We quantify the readth...
AMT (Buy, PT $203), after the close today, shared that SATS has defaulted on its tower lease agreement payments. This was unsurprising following a similar revelation from CCI (Neutral, PT $93) on 1/12/26 (see our note). AMT says this action will have no impact on 2025 results. AMT did not mention the value of the remaining payments, but we assume it is similar to the ~$3.5bn (undiscounted) CCI cited.
Crown Castle Announces Tax Reporting Information for 2025 Distribution...
Crown Castle Announces Tax Reporting Information for 2025 Distributions HOUSTON, Jan. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Crown Castle Inc. (NYSE: CCI) (“Crown Castle”) announced today certain year-end tax reporting information for its 2025 distributions. The following table summarizes, for income tax purposes, the nature of distributions paid to holders of Crown Castle Common Stock, par value $.01 per share (“Common Stock”), presented on a per share basis, during the calendar year ended December 31, 2025. Stockholders are urged to consult with their personal tax advisors as to their specific t...
Crown Castle Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call De...
Crown Castle Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call Details HOUSTON, Jan. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Crown Castle Inc. (NYSE: CCI) ("Crown Castle") plans to release its fourth quarter 2025 results on Wednesday, February 4, 2026, after the market closes. In conjunction with the release, Crown Castle has scheduled a conference call for Wednesday, February 4, 2026, at 4:30 p.m. eastern time. A listen only live audio webcast of the conference call, along with any supplemental materials, can be accessed on the Crown Castle website at . Participants may join the conference c...
- David Barden
Towers & interest rates, the biggest moving parts
Given recent news around future interest rate actions by the Fed, we performed a sensitivity analysis to better understand potential AFFO per share implications for each of the three major tower companies. Based on a detailed, tranche by tranche debt analysis, SBAC (Neutral, PT $212) has the largest near-term exposure given its short-term refinancing needs. CCI (Neutral, PT $93) has limited exposure given that we expect its debt reduction using proceeds from its small cells and fiber business sa...
- David Barden
SATS defaults on CCI leases - Quantifying the readthrough
CCI (Neutral, PT $93) after the close today announced that SATS has defaulted on its tower lease agreement payments. As a result, the company has terminated the agreement and will seek to recover ~$3.5Bn+ of the remaining undiscounted payments owed. CCI says this decision will have no impact on 2025 results. As a function of this announcement, we are taking SATS payments fully out of our model for 2026E. Previously, we had zeroed out SATS payments for only 2H26 and beyond. In this note, we shar...
DISH Wireless Defaults on Payment Obligations to Crown Castle
DISH Wireless Defaults on Payment Obligations to Crown Castle DISH Obligated to Pay Crown in Excess of $3.5 Billion as Crown Castle Terminates Contract HOUSTON, Jan. 12, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Crown Castle Inc. (NYSE: CCI) ("Crown Castle") today announced that DISH Wireless (“DISH”) has defaulted on its payment obligations to Crown Castle, causing Crown Castle to terminate its wireless infrastructure agreement with DISH. Statement by Crown Castle: “Crown Castle and many other American businesses helped DISH and its parent company, EchoStar, build its wireless communications network...
- Blair Levin
Part Three of Year in Preview: Our Analysis about Policyband’s Predict...
This week we published three notes that preview what we think will be critical to investors in telecom/media/tech policy environment. In the first, we evaluated what questions do we not know the answer to today but will in a year that will have a material impact on stocks and depend in part on policy. In the second, we looked at the biggest policy related investment stories of 2025 and how the lingering elements of those stories will play out. In this third one we evaluate nine predictions mad...
- Blair Levin
Part Two of Year in Preview: What about SATS, BEAD, Spectrum, and Othe...
This week we are publishing three notes that analyze what we think will be critical to investors in telecom/media/tech policy environment in the year ahead. In the first one, published yesterday we evaluated questions that we do not know the answer to today--but will in a year--that will have a material impact on stocks and depend in part on policy. In this second one, we look at the biggest policy related investment stories of 2025 and how the lingering elements of those stories will play out i...
- David Barden
Towers 4Q25 Estimates & Ratings Refresh
The last 3 months have seen substantial tower price dislocation catalyzed by news that SATS intends to invoke contractual clauses and stop paying the tower industry for current leases. We highlight some key industry developments impacting sentiment and preview 4Q results based on our catch-up conversations with the companies in recent weeks.
- David Barden
Towers 4Q25 Estimates & Ratings Refresh
The last 3 months have seen substantial tower price dislocation catalyzed by news that SATS intends to invoke contractual clauses and stop paying the tower industry for current leases. We highlight some key industry developments impacting sentiment and preview 4Q results based on our catch-up conversations with the companies in recent weeks.
- David Barden
SATS: SpaceX, the final frontier
We are revising our SATS valuation analysis to reflect 1) reports that SpaceX is pursuing a new secondary equity round seeking a valuation between $750-800bn vs. SATS’ $400bn buy-in as compensation for recent spectrum sales, and 2) rising concerns that upper C-Band spectrum deployments may get bogged down in airplane altimeter interference issues, placing a growing premium on today’s commercially available spectrum, specifically the AWS-3. We are raising our SATS price objective to $125 from $10...
- David Barden
The future of broadband - Cable is losing share
Cable companies have been losing share among terrestrial providers for the past 16 quarters. We believe they are gaining share in ~45% of their footprint where they compete against DSL but losing share in the ~55% of the market where they compete against fiber.
- David Barden
- Vikash Harlalka
The future of broadband 3Q25: Our updated broadband industry forecast ...
In this report, our latest broadband outlook tome, in addition to forecasting the future of broadband by technology for the next 5 years, we undertake a sensitivity analysis for Cable's end-state market share possibilities. We also refresh our work on the relative competitive positioning of carriers based on end-user cNPS scores via our Recon Analytics partnership.
Crown Castle to Present at the UBS Global Media and Communications Con...
Crown Castle to Present at the UBS Global Media and Communications Conference HOUSTON, Texas, Dec. 01, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Crown Castle Inc. (NYSE: CCI) ("Crown Castle") announced today that Chris Hillabrant, Crown Castle’s President and Chief Executive Officer, and Sunit Patel, Crown Castle’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer are scheduled to present on Tuesday, December 9, 2025 at 1:30 p.m. Eastern Time at the UBS Global Media and Communications Conference. The presentation will be broadcast live over the Internet and is expected to last approximately 35 minutes....
- David Barden
SATS 3Q25 Quick Take: Key topics for the call will be taxes, towers, a...
Echostar’s subscriber results were better than expected but financial results were weaker. They announced the sale of their unpaired AWS-3 spectrum to SpaceX for $2.6BN in stock. We did not attach any material value to this spectrum, so the sale represents windfall upside for the stock. Investors are asking if we believe the impairment charge taken this quarter, partially allocated to spectrum, following the decision to shutter the facilities-based wireless business represents a reduction in the...
Crown Castle Declares Quarterly Common Stock Dividend
Crown Castle Declares Quarterly Common Stock Dividend HOUSTON, Nov. 05, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Crown Castle Inc. (NYSE: CCI) ("Crown Castle") announced today that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.0625 per common share. The quarterly dividend is payable on December 31, 2025 to common stockholders of record at the close of business on December 15, 2025. Future dividends are subject to the approval of Crown Castle’s Board of Directors. ABOUT CROWN CASTLE Crown Castle owns, operates and leases approximately 40,000 cell towers and approximately 90,000 rou...
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