reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
VGR VECTOR GROUP LTD.
STX SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY PLC
SSYS STRATASYS LTD.
SNP CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL CORP. ADS
ROST ROSS STORES INC.
OSIS OSI SYSTEMS INC.
ORA ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES INC.
NP NEENAH INC
MERC MERCER INTERNATIONAL INC.
MANUN MANCHESTER UNITED PLC
MAA MID-AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC.
LDOS LEIDOS HOLDINGS INC.
JWN NORDSTROM INC.
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
ESS ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST INC.
DUK DUKE ENERGY CORPORATION
DEA EASTERLY GOVERNMENT PROPERTIES INC
CSII CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS INC.
K3PD CHINA MOBILE LTD.
CACI CACI INTERNATIONAL INC CLASS A
BWXT BWX TECHNOLOGIES INC.
BAH BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPORATION CLASS A
AVB AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC.
AMBA AMBARELLA INC.
AAT AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST INC.
NOC NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPORATION
MHK MOHAWK INDUSTRIES INC.
FMX FOMENTO ECONOMICO MEXICANO S.A.B. DE C.V. ADS
PSXP PHILLIPS 66 PARTNERS LP
PTRN. PETROCHINA CO LTD
CNU. CNOOC LTD
PTI TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA TBK PT (ADR)
ZYME ZYMEWORKS
AKCA AKCEA THERAPEUTICS INC.
MTEM MOLECULAR TEMPLATES
JBGS JBG SMITH PROPERTIES
NTR NUTRIEN LTD.
KRYS KRYSTAL BIOTECH INC
LEVI LEVI STRAUSS & CO. CLASS A
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
LHX L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC
HII. HORIZONS CDN INS
RTX RAYTHEON TECHNOLOGIES CORP.
NCGOF ABANCA CORPORACIÓN BANCARIA SA
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
LII LENNOX INTERNATIONAL INC.
DPZ DOMINO'S PIZZA INC.
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
BK BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORPORATION
C CITIGROUP INC.
AMCX AMC NETWORKS INC. CLASS A
LNG CHENIERE ENERGY INC.
XLNX XILINX INC.
WK WORKIVA
WDAY WORKDAY INC. CLASS A
VRNT VERINT SYSTEMS INC.
VALE.N VALE S.A. ADS
TXT TEXTRON INC.
SPSC SPS COMMERCE INC.
SPLK SPLUNK INC.
SNP CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL CORP. ADS
RXN REXNORD CORPORATION
RHI ROBERT HALF INTERNATIONAL INC.
RGNX REGENXBIO INC.
QLYS QUALYS INC.
PCRX PACIRA BIOSCIENCES INC.
NTCT NETSCOUT SYSTEMS INC.
NSTG NANOSTRING TECHNOLOGIES
MOS MOSAIC COMPANY
L LOEWS CORPORATION
KMPR KEMPER CORPORATION
HSC HARSCO CORPORATION
HOO HERBALIFE NUTRITION LTD.
H HYATT HOTELS CORPORATION CLASS A
ETSY ETSY INC.
DISCA DISCOVERY INC. CLASS A
DIN DINE BRANDS GLOBAL INC.
CVI CVR ENERGY INC.
CSOD CORNERSTONE ONDEMAND INC.
CREE CREE INC.
CDNA CAREDX INC
CDK CDK GLOBAL INC.
CBSH COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC.
CATY CATHAY GENERAL BANCORP
BPOP POPULAR INC.
BMO. BANK OF MONTREAL
AVX AVX CORP.
ANDE ANDERSONS INC.
ARGO ARGO GROUP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC.
AAL AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC.
UNP UNION PACIFIC CORPORATION
LPG DORIAN LPG
HTZ HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC.
MET METLIFE INC.
CAT CATERPILLAR INC.
IRBT IROBOT CORPORATION
FNB F.N.B. CORPORATION
WEED CANOPY GROWTH CORPORATION
RCI.B ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS INC. CLASS B
AMTD TD AMERITRADE HOLDING CORPORATION
BRC BRADY CORPORATION CLASS A
CLI MACK-CALI REALTY CORPORATION
NAV NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
PTRN. PETROCHINA CO LTD
THR THERMON GROUP HOLDINGS
PRU2 PRUDENTIAL PLC
SCHW CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION
MSGS MADISON SQUARE GARDEN SPORTS CORP. CLASS A
CNU. CNOOC LTD
NOVT NOVANTA INC
RETA REATA PHARMACEUTICALS INC. CLASS A
CLF CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC
YEXT YEXT
CSCO. CISCO SYSTEMS INC. CEDEAR
AX AXOS FINANCIAL INC.
DBI DESIGNER BRANDS INC. CLASS A
DD DUPONT DE NEMOURS INC.
CHPTY CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
STT STATE STREET CORPORATION
GBX GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC.
XEC CIMAREX ENERGY CO.
WWW WOLVERINE WORLD WIDE INC.
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
TX. TERNIUM S.A. SPONSORED ADR
TRN TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC.
SNP CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL CORP. ADS
RYAAY RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC ADS
RMR RMR GROUP INC. CLASS A
EQT EQT CORPORATION
EAT BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC.
CROX CROCS INC.
K3PD CHINA MOBILE LTD.
CAL CALERES INC.
AVAV AEROVIRONMENT INC.
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
GEF GREIF CLASS A
HMCn HONDA MOTOR ADS
MINI MOBILE MINI INC.
MSM MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO. INC. CLASS A
PTRN. PETROCHINA CO LTD
TAP MOLSON COORS BEVERAGE COMPANY CLASS B
TCO TAUBMAN CENTERS INC.
TDC TERADATA CORPORATION
FIZZ NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP.
NTNX NUTANIX INC. CLASS A
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS CORPORATION
VODJ VODAFONE GROUP PLC (ADR)
ENR ENERGIZER HOLDINGS INC.
RYTM RHYTHM PHARMACEUTICALS
VICR VICOR CORP.
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | Lowering CNOOC’s and PetroChina’s FVEs on Weaker Oil...
PetroChina is the listed arm of one of China's two integrated oil majors and the largest oil producer. With revenue and assets more heavily weighted toward the upstream activities, PetroChina is more sensitive to swings in the oil price than its peer, Sinopec. In addition, the firm’s downstream operations lag Sinopec, which has better scale and efficiency in the sector. However, PetroChina will benefit more in a rising oil price environment.While we believe government restrictions on domestic ...
- Chokwai Lee
Lowering CNOOC’s and PetroChina’s FVEs on Weaker Oil Prices; Bigge...
Brent crude oil has fallen from over $70 a barrel in late April to about $61 today on the back of concerns on global demand amid the trade tension between the U.S. and China. We lower CNOOC's and PetroChina’s fair value estimates to HKD 14.30 per share ($183 per ADR) and HKD 4.70 per share ($60 per ADR, CNY 4.04 per share) from HKD 14.50 ($186) and HKD 5.10 ($65, CNY 4.38), respectively, after incorporating weaker near-term crude oil price assumptions in our valuation models. However, our midc...
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | Lowering CNOOC’s and PetroChina’s FVEs on Weaker Oil...
Brent crude oil has fallen from over $70 a barrel in late April to about $61 today on the back of concerns on global demand amid the trade tension between the U.S. and China. We lower CNOOC's and PetroChina’s fair value estimates to HKD 14.30 per share ($183 per ADR) and HKD 4.70 per share ($60 per ADR, CNY 4.04 per share) from HKD 14.50 ($186) and HKD 5.10 ($65, CNY 4.38), respectively, after incorporating weaker near-term crude oil price assumptions in our valuation models. However, our midc...
- Chokwai Lee
Lowering CNOOC’s and PetroChina’s FVEs on Weaker Oil Prices; Bigge...
Brent crude oil has fallen from over $70 a barrel in late April to about $61 today on the back of concerns on global demand amid the trade tension between the U.S. and China. We lower CNOOC's and PetroChina’s fair value estimates to HKD 14.30 per share ($183 per ADR) and HKD 4.70 per share ($60 per ADR, CNY 4.04 per share) from HKD 14.50 ($186) and HKD 5.10 ($65, CNY 4.38), respectively, after incorporating weaker near-term crude oil price assumptions in our valuation models. However, our midc...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
STT STATE STREET CORPORATION
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
GWW W.W. GRAINGER INC.
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
VC VISTEON CORPORATION
URBN URBAN OUTFITTERS INC.
TSU.N TIM SA (BRAZIL) SPONSORED ADR
TSLA TESLA INC
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
SNP CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL CORP. ADS
SCHL SCHOLASTIC CORPORATION
PSMT PRICESMART INC.
PRAH PRA HEALTH SCIENCES INC.
PKXN POSCO
NRG NRG ENERGY INC.
MOS MOSAIC COMPANY
MC MOELIS & CO. CLASS A
M MACY'S INC
DLY LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES NV
LFL LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A. ADS
KOP KOREA ELECTRIC POWER CORP (ADR)
JWN NORDSTROM INC.
GPC GENUINE PARTS COMPANY
GHDX GENOMIC HEALTH INC.
FFIV F5 NETWORKS INC.
EMY EMBRAER S.A. SPONSORED ADR
CAL CALERES INC.
C25 BIOTELEMETRY INC.
BAP. CREDICORP LTD.
BAK BRASKEM S/A ADS
AMED AMEDISYS INC.
AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC.
PAAS PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP.
ADS ALLIANCE DATA SYSTEMS CORPORATION
CENX CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY
PTRN. PETROCHINA CO LTD
FIZZ NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP.
CC CHEMOURS CO.
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS CORPORATION
OSB. NORBORD INC.
VODJ VODAFONE GROUP PLC (ADR)
MT ARCELORMITTAL
CTXS CITRIX SYSTEMS INC.
DWDP DUPONT DE NEMOURS INC.
PVAC PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION
VALPQ VALARIS PLC CLASS A
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | PetroChina’s 1Q Results Disappoints on Refining Earnin...
We cut no-moat PetroChina’s fair value estimate to HKD 5.10 per share ($65 per ADR, CNY 4.38 per share) from HKD 5.20 ($66, CNY 4.40), following the announcement of its disappointing first-quarter results. We think the firm is fairly valued at the current price level with recent strength in oil prices largely priced-in. That said, the impending creation of a national pipeline company could be a catalyst for the stock. PetroChina’s first-quarter 2019 net profit was up 1% year over year to CNY...
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | PetroChina’s 1Q Results Disappoints on Refining Earnin...
We cut no-moat PetroChina’s fair value estimate to HKD 5.10 per share ($65 per ADR, CNY 4.38 per share) from HKD 5.20 ($66, CNY 4.40), following the announcement of its disappointing first-quarter results. We think the firm is fairly valued at the current price level with recent strength in oil prices largely priced-in. That said, the impending creation of a national pipeline company could be a catalyst for the stock. PetroChina’s first-quarter 2019 net profit was up 1% year over year to CNY...
- Chokwai Lee
PetroChina’s 1Q Results Disappoints on Refining Earnings; Shares Fai...
We cut no-moat PetroChina’s fair value estimate to HKD 5.10 per share ($65 per ADR, CNY 4.38 per share) from HKD 5.20 ($66, CNY 4.40), following the announcement of its disappointing first-quarter results. We think the firm is fairly valued at the current price level with recent strength in oil prices largely priced-in. That said, the impending creation of a national pipeline company could be a catalyst for the stock. PetroChina’s first-quarter 2019 net profit was up 1% year over year to CNY...
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | PetroChina's 2018 Results Within Guidance; Reducing FVE ...
No-moat PetroChina’s 2018 net profit of CNY 52.6 billion, up 131% year over year, was in line with preliminary guidance. The sharp turnaround was mainly attributable to higher oil and gas selling prices and better performance from the natural gas and pipeline segment. We are lowering our fair value estimate to HKD 5.20 per share ($66 per ADR, CNY 4.40 per share) from HKD 5.40 per share ($69 per ADR, CNY 4.76 per share) after taking into account higher-than-expected capital expenditure and our ...
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | PetroChina's 2018 Results Within Guidance; Reducing FVE ...
No-moat PetroChina’s 2018 net profit of CNY 52.6 billion, up 131% year over year, was in line with preliminary guidance. The sharp turnaround was mainly attributable to higher oil and gas selling prices and better performance from the natural gas and pipeline segment. We are lowering our fair value estimate to HKD 5.20 per share ($66 per ADR, CNY 4.40 per share) from HKD 5.40 per share ($69 per ADR, CNY 4.76 per share) after taking into account higher-than-expected capital expenditure and our ...
- Chokwai Lee
PetroChina's 2018 Results Within Guidance; Reducing FVE to HKD 5.20
No-moat PetroChina’s 2018 net profit of CNY 52.6 billion, up 131% year over year, was in line with preliminary guidance. The sharp turnaround was mainly attributable to higher oil and gas selling prices and better performance from the natural gas and pipeline segment. We are lowering our fair value estimate to HKD 5.20 per share ($66 per ADR, CNY 4.40 per share) from HKD 5.40 per share ($69 per ADR, CNY 4.76 per share) after taking into account higher-than-expected capital expenditure and our ...
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | Trimming CNOOC’s and PetroChina’s FVEs to Incorporat...
We have refreshed the fair value estimates for our oil and gas coverage after incorporating meaningfully weaker crude prices. To be clear, there is no change in our midcycle price forecast of USD 60 per barrel for Brent. But the recent declines in global crude prices still weigh on our valuation because our methodology incorporates strip prices over the next three years. Our fair value estimates for CNOOC and PetroChina are lowered to HKD 13.20 per share (USD 170 per ADR) from HKD 14.70 per sha...
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | Trimming CNOOC’s and PetroChina’s FVEs to Incorporat...
We have refreshed the fair value estimates for our oil and gas coverage after incorporating meaningfully weaker crude prices. To be clear, there is no change in our midcycle price forecast of USD 60 per barrel for Brent. But the recent declines in global crude prices still weigh on our valuation because our methodology incorporates strip prices over the next three years. Our fair value estimates for CNOOC and PetroChina are lowered to HKD 13.20 per share (USD 170 per ADR) from HKD 14.70 per sha...
- Chokwai Lee
Trimming CNOOC’s and PetroChina’s FVEs to Incorporate Lower Near-T...
No-moat PetroChina’s cumulative nine months net profit of CNY 48.1 billion, up 177% year over year, was above market and our expectations. In particular, third-quarter earnings rose 24% quarter over quarter, largely attributable to higher oil and gas prices, and better performance of refining and chemicals segment. After incorporating our latest oil price forecasts and U.S. dollar exchange rate assumptions, we increase our fair value estimate to HKD 6.10 per share (USD 79 per ADR) from HKD 5.8...
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | PetroChina’s 3Q Results Beat Expectation on Higher Oil...
No-moat PetroChina’s cumulative nine months net profit of CNY 48.1 billion, up 177% year over year, was above market and our expectations. In particular, third-quarter earnings rose 24% quarter over quarter, largely attributable to higher oil and gas prices, and better performance of refining and chemicals segment. After incorporating our latest oil price forecasts and U.S. dollar exchange rate assumptions, we increase our fair value estimate to HKD 6.10 per share (USD 79 per ADR) from HKD 5.8...
- Chokwai Lee
Morningstar | PetroChina Is Fairly Valued Despite Earnings Recovery; D...
PetroChina is the listed arm of one of China's two integrated oil majors and the largest oil producer. With revenue and assets more heavily weighted toward the upstream activities, PetroChina is more sensitive to oil price swings than its peer, Sinopec. In addition, the firm’s downstream operations lag behind Sinopec, which has better scale and efficiency in the sector. That said, PetroChina will benefit more in a rising oil price environment.While we believe that government restrictions on do...
- Chokwai Lee
PetroChina Is Fairly Valued Despite Earnings Recovery; Dividend Yield ...
No-moat PetroChina’s cumulative nine months net profit of CNY 48.1 billion, up 177% year over year, was above market and our expectations. In particular, third-quarter earnings rose 24% quarter over quarter, largely attributable to higher oil and gas prices, and better performance of refining and chemicals segment. After incorporating our latest oil price forecasts and U.S. dollar exchange rate assumptions, we increase our fair value estimate to HKD 6.10 per share (USD 79 per ADR) from HKD 5.8...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.