Focusing on its “1+1+1+2+N” product portfolio, Tsingtao Brewery aims to prioritise consumer-centric strategies to achieve sales volume and profit growth. Management expects accelerated expansion in the Southern China market this year with increased resource allocation and is confident in meeting the company’s sales targets in 2Q25. On shareholder return, management expects to gradually raise the dividend payout ratio going forward. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$66.70 unchanged.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$4.89/Target: HK$6.20) FY25 revenue grew 13.2% yoy, while adjusted net profit surged 35.6% yoy, in line with our and market’s estimates. Ali Health guides FY26 revenue and adjusted net profit growth of 5-10% and 10-20% yoy respectively. We lower our FY26 revenue and earnings estimates, but still expect robust adjusted net profit CAGR of 20% for FY26-28 on an improving product mix for the direct sales business and contin...
GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$4.89/Target: HK$6.20) FY25: Results in line; targets adjusted net earnings growth of 10-20% yoy in FY26. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$505.50/Target: HK$635.00) 1Q25: Earnings beat; international tourism and AI integration investments as key catalysts. Update Tsingtao Brewery (168 HK/BUY/HK$56.45/Target: HK$66.70) Focus on sales volume and profit growth; aims to raise dividend payo...
During the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May), Macau's visitor arrivals significantly beat the government's expectation. Retail and catering sales showed a modest improvement in terms of yoy growth compared with the Chinese New Year holiday, while home appliance sales continued to benefit from the trade-in programme, with premium products demonstrating robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China consumer sector. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Market watch around May holiday: New-home sales recovery weakens in Apr 25; the trend of Hong Kong resident travelling north remains strong. Sector Consumer Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sales during Labour Day Holiday. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target:...
Tsingtao Brewery’s 1Q25 revenue grew 3% yoy, driven by a 4% beer sales volume growth but offset by a 1% drop in ASP. The product mix saw a slight yoy improvement, with the mid-range-to-high-end segment accounting for 45% of total sales volume. The company accelerated its new commerce and new retail expansion, with online sales reaching a new historical high and O2O retail achieving rapid growth in 1Q25. Maintain BUY and an unchanged target price of HK$66.70.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Online Travel Agencies We saw continuous vitality in cultural and tourism consumption based on 1Q25 travel data and Labour Day travel data projections. Key travellers’ preference trends during Labour Day 2025 will be long-haul travel, inbound tourism and county-level travel. With favourable policy support such as the implementation of "instant tax refunds" for outbound travel, we expect to see promising revenue and earnings growth from OTA companies in 1H25. Maintain OVER...
GREATER CHINA Sector Online Travel Agencies: Travel data preview: Expecting a vibrant 2025 Labour Day Results BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$31.80/Target: HK$41.20): 1Q25: Margins below expectations; automotive business to lead the charge in 2025. Maintain BUY. China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.69/Target: HK$2.30): 1Q25: In line; severe drought in Guangxi restricts cement products outflow. China State Construction Engineering Corporation (601668 CH/BUY/Rmb5.49 /Targe...
Tsingtao Brewery’s 2024 results missed expectations. However, in 4Q24, the company’s product mix improved both yoy and qoq, with mid- to high-end volume growing by 11% yoy and accounting for 50% of the total volume (vs 47% in 4Q23 and 41% in 3Q24). This product mix improvement thus led to a 2% ASP expansion both yoy and qoq in 4Q24. Maintain BUY; raise target price by 3% to HK$66.70.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$6.70/Target: HK$7.50) CCB’s 2024 earnings (+0.9% yoy) were above our expectation, mainly driven by its resilient NIM on better deposit cost management, strong trading gains and lower impairment. Asset quality remains solid but pressure on the retail segment is increasing. MoF will inject Rmb105b of new capital into CCB which will result in a 4.3% equity dilution and 50bp boost in CET1 ratio. We expect a largely neutral market reacti...
On 16 March, the State Council issued a plan on special initiatives to boost consumption, aiming to increase spending power by increasing income and reducing financial burdens, generate effective demand through high-quality supply, and improve the consumption environment to strengthen consumers’ willingness to spend. In the China consumer sector, we prefer Anta, CR Beer, Galaxy, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Yili. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
We do not expect a strong consumption momentum for the upcoming CNY holiday, but expect home appliance, Macau gaming, movie and retail to be the bright spots. We prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands in China’s consumer space.
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
In 3Q24, Tsingtao Brewery’s beer sales volume dropped 5% yoy and 12% qoq, despite 3Q24 being the peak season. The product mix saw a sequential qoq improvement, driving ASP to increase 1.7% qoq, as beer consumption in regions that lead premiumisation was impacted heavily by the bad weather in 2Q24. However, product mix remained largely unchanged on a yoy basis, with ASP declining slightly by 0.2% yoy. Maintain BUY but cut target price by 2% to HK$70.80.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Initiate Coverage VSTECS Holdings (856 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.47) VSTECS is the eighth-largest IT distributor globally with an established presence in SEA and China. We forecast a three-year net profit CAGR of 9.2% in 2024-26, fuelled by the rising adoption of AI, refresh cycles for consumer electronics and diversifying cloud services. We like VSTECS’ operating efficiency and cash conversion. We expect a dividend yield of 4.4%/5.1% in 2024-25 on solid cash flow generation...
GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage VSTECS Holdings (856 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.47): Leading IT distributor riding the AI wave. Results Haier Smart Home (6690 HK/BUY/HK$29.80/Target: HK$42.00): 3Q24: Earnings growth driven by efficiency improvement; expect potential tariff hike to have limited impact. Joyson Electronics (600699 CH/BUY/Rmb16.68/Target: Rmb30.00): 3Q24: Earnings in line; maintain BUY with unchanged target price of Rmb30.00. Shenzhen Inovance (300124 CH/HOLD/Rmb56.46/Target: Rmb56...
Summary Taiwan Tobacco & Liquor Corp - Company Profile and SWOT Analysis, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights Taiwan Tobacco & Liquor Corp (TTL) distributes alcoholic beverages and tobacco. The company's product portfolio includes liquor, beer, wine, whisky, red wine, herbal liquor, cooking wine, c...
China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
For Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, tourism, duty-free shopping and home appliance consumption were the bright spots. Domestic tourism and duty-free shopping had the strongest recovery among mini breaks this year. For the home appliance sector, trade-in policies are beginning to stimulate consumer demand. We prefer companies that: a) are disciplined in business operation; b) have good prospects in overseas business; and c) maintain healthy inventories. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea...
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