We do not expect a strong consumption momentum for the upcoming CNY holiday, but expect home appliance, Macau gaming, movie and retail to be the bright spots. We prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands in China’s consumer space.
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
In 3Q24, Tsingtao Brewery’s beer sales volume dropped 5% yoy and 12% qoq, despite 3Q24 being the peak season. The product mix saw a sequential qoq improvement, driving ASP to increase 1.7% qoq, as beer consumption in regions that lead premiumisation was impacted heavily by the bad weather in 2Q24. However, product mix remained largely unchanged on a yoy basis, with ASP declining slightly by 0.2% yoy. Maintain BUY but cut target price by 2% to HK$70.80.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Initiate Coverage VSTECS Holdings (856 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.47) VSTECS is the eighth-largest IT distributor globally with an established presence in SEA and China. We forecast a three-year net profit CAGR of 9.2% in 2024-26, fuelled by the rising adoption of AI, refresh cycles for consumer electronics and diversifying cloud services. We like VSTECS’ operating efficiency and cash conversion. We expect a dividend yield of 4.4%/5.1% in 2024-25 on solid cash flow generation...
GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage VSTECS Holdings (856 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.47): Leading IT distributor riding the AI wave. Results Haier Smart Home (6690 HK/BUY/HK$29.80/Target: HK$42.00): 3Q24: Earnings growth driven by efficiency improvement; expect potential tariff hike to have limited impact. Joyson Electronics (600699 CH/BUY/Rmb16.68/Target: Rmb30.00): 3Q24: Earnings in line; maintain BUY with unchanged target price of Rmb30.00. Shenzhen Inovance (300124 CH/HOLD/Rmb56.46/Target: Rmb56...
Summary Taiwan Tobacco & Liquor Corp - Company Profile and SWOT Analysis, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights Taiwan Tobacco & Liquor Corp (TTL) distributes alcoholic beverages and tobacco. The company's product portfolio includes liquor, beer, wine, whisky, red wine, herbal liquor, cooking wine, c...
China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
For Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, tourism, duty-free shopping and home appliance consumption were the bright spots. Domestic tourism and duty-free shopping had the strongest recovery among mini breaks this year. For the home appliance sector, trade-in policies are beginning to stimulate consumer demand. We prefer companies that: a) are disciplined in business operation; b) have good prospects in overseas business; and c) maintain healthy inventories. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea...
After the 2Q24/1H24 results, we are now more cautious on China’s consumer sector. For consumer discretionary, domestic operations were impacted by weak offline traffic. Companies remained concrete on overseas expansion and became more disciplined on cost control to protect the margin level amid the slower top-line growth. For consumer staple, we observed slower product mix upgrade. Companies adopted proactive shipment control to manage channel inventories. Operating efficiency improvement became...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound by 14.7% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. Consumer 2Q24/1H24 results wrap-up: Lowered expectations; disciplined operations matter. INDONESIA Update Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ/BUY/Rp680/Target: Rp900) ...
In 2Q24, Tsingtao Brewery recorded a 9% revenue decline, mainly due to an 8% volume fall and 1% ASP drop. Core profit increased 2% yoy, thanks to easing raw material costs. Volume of mid-range to high-end/Tsingtao brand products declined 6%/9% yoy respectively. Looking ahead, we expect premiumisation to decelerate. Maintain BUY, but cut target price by 14% to HK$65.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Baosteel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb5.85/Target: Rmb7.90) Baosteel reported 1H24 earnings of Rmb4,554.6m (-0.2% yoy), representing 34% of our full-year estimate and below expectations. Steel products’ gross margin rose to 3.7% (+0.7ppt yoy). Differentiated products’ sales volume increased to Rmb15.09m (+17.2% yoy), remaining as the key earnings contributor during the industry downcycle. Steel products’ export volume grew to 3.05m (+2% yoy), on track to achieve the annual target...
Summary San Miguel Brewery Inc - Company Profile and SWOT Analysis, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights San Miguel Brewery Inc (SMB), a subsidiary of San Miguel Food and Beverage Inc, manufactures and markets alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. The company's product portfolio includes flavored a...
2024’s 618 overall GMV was down by 7% yoy. By channel, livestreaming platforms continued to gain momentum, with GMV up 12% yoy, while the cosmetics category saw a significant shift towards livestreaming platforms. By brand, domestic cosmetics and sportswear brands recorded strong performances. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.
During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, consumer services, experiential spending (eg tourism) and lower-tier cities continued to lead the growth. For China’s consumer sector, we keep Anta, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks. At the same time, we add Miniso but remove CR Beer and Midea from the stock picks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential spending, and lower-tier cities lead growth. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp4,300/Target: Rp4,300) Issuance of new shares to complete the divestment process. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications 1Q24 earnings up 14% yoy on the back ...
During the Labour Day holiday, tourism and catering continued to record strong performances, while DF per capita spending showed a downward trend. We reiterate our key theses for the consumer sector, highlighting companies with: a) overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) upside potential of improving operating efficiency, or c) near-term catalysts. We keep Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks, but remove Galaxy from the stock picks. Mainta...
In 1Q24, Tsingtao Brewery’s beer sales volume declined by 8% yoy due to a high base, while premium beer sales volume was only down by 2% yoy. Going into 2Q24, we expect the company’s beer sales growth to gradually pick up due to: a) the fading away of the high base effect, and b) the upcoming summer peak season and sporting events. Maintain BUY and unchanged target price of HK$75.80.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$34.95/Target: HK$44.00) CMB’s 1Q24 earnings were slightly below our expectations due to disappointing fee income and higher cost ratio, partly offset by strong trading gains and lower credit impairment. 1Q24 NIM performance beat our expectation with a 2bp qoq decline and we expect it to hit its bottom by 2024 if there is another round of deposit rate cuts. Besides that, asset quality remains largely stable. Maintain BUY. Target price:...
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