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Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV Sales Basically Remained Flat YOY In Octob...

China’s PV retail sales basically remained flat yoy in Oct 25, while PEV retail sales grew 7% yoy. PV retail sales fell 19% yoy and 4% mom in 1-9 Nov 25, mainly due to the high base. China has launched a three-month crackdown on exaggerated auto ads to curb false claims, restore market order, and strengthen consumer trust. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Review Of 3Q25 Results And 4Q25 Outlook.

The anti-involution policy boosted OEMs’ 3Q25 earnings by ending the price war. However, the industry disruptor BYD saw worsened liquidity due to sales slowdown and inventory pile-up. Auto part companies saw margin erosion in 3Q25 due to delayed impacts from the OEMs’ price war, but 4Q25 margin will stabilise. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Cut target price for Li Auto to HK$60.0. Raise target price for Weichai to HK$24.50.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK): 3Q25: The Worst Is Over, Upgrade To BUY

3Q25 earnings miss estimates, due to lower government subsidies and forex loss. Stripping them out, GWM’s core net profit rebounded by 16% qoq on a sales recovery. We believe the worst is over based on the sales recovery and margin stabilisation. We trim our 2025 net profit forecast by 9% to Rmb10.05b, based on lower government subsidies, and raise our 2026-27 net profit estimates by 25%/39% to Rmb13.14b/Rmb16.13b respectively, based on higher sales volume. Upgrade from SELL to BUY and raise tar...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+22)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, October 27, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT....

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Monday, October 27, 2025

Top Stories Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: The Nexperia Crisis Could Cause Another Round...

The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but longterm risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+22)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Andrew Agita Buntoro
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Joyce Chu
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, October 24, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...

BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
GFPT GFPT
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
1833 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
02232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
300244 DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: China Auto Sector Faces Geopolitical Bind.

China’s auto sector faces a geopolitical bind: Europe demands tech transfers for new investments, while China restricts such transfers. We see no earnings impact from the EU’s tech transfer requirement, but that allows first movers like CATL to enjoy unrivalled advantages. China raises market access requirements for automakers, targeting inexperienced players. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto.

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+14)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Joyce Chu
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Lester Siew
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, October 17, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s auto sector faces a geopolitical bind: Europe demands tech transfers for new investments, while China restricts such transfers. We see no earnings impact from the EU’s tech transfer requirement, but that allows first movers like CATL to enjoy unrivalled advantages. China raises market access requirements for automakers, targeting inexperienced players. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Small/Mid Ca...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Takeaways From Conference Call With Overseas ...

This week we focus on China's automobile sector under the "anti-involution" policy, which is slowing auto sales and stabilising car prices, but pressuring margins. While domestic sales slow, exports remain strong. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China’s automobile sector, with CATL and Geely as our top BUYs for innovation, while advising investors to SELL BYD and Li Auto due to margin and sales pressures. Key focuses include policy execution, inventory and overseas expansion challenges.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: EV Sales Up 25% WOW Last Week, But YOY Growth...

China’s EV sales surged 25% wow in the 39th week of 2025 but slowed to 10.5% yoy amid a high base and anti-involution efforts. Geely and XPeng outperformed, while BYD and Li Auto saw yoy sales declines. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector, with top BUYs on CATL and Geely; we downgrade Ganfeng Lithium from BUY to HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$40.00, as the stock price has hit our target.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+10)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 26, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV sales rebounded last week, with PEV growth surging from below 5% to over 30% due to subsidies and new models. Geely and XPeng led, while BYD and Li Auto lagged. Vehicle exports rose 26% yoy in August, driven by gains in the EU, Africa, and Middle East. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL (target price raised to Rmb520) and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Update | Healthcare Falling interest rates are expected to significant...

BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LTD SPONSORED ADR
02238 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
YNS GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
MSGB YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
ECW MAH SING GROUP BHD
SPSB ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
SWB SP SETIA BHD
HCM SUNWAY BHD
01801 HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
1833 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
300760 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
UEMS SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
603882 UEM SUNRISE BHD
1772 GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
1093 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
603259 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
300750 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
MPM FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
2269 MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
3692 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
MCH HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS BHD
002920 BEIGENE LTD.
300765 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
STM WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
IOIPG CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
02015 SEATRIUM LTD
09868 IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
300244 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA XPENG INC
600699 DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
002050 CH LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
ONC@US@ JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
TUL ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (002050 CH)
BEONE MEDICINE INC
TULLA RESOURCES PL
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Navigating Involution Through Tech Leap, Poli...

This week's key highlights include insights from a China Automobile Dealer Association forum and a visit to Lynk & Co's Chengdu plant, China's historic L3 ADAS policy approval, and weekly sales updates. The market responded positively to these developments, prompting target price upgrades for Tuopu, Sanhua, Joyson Electronics and Fuyao Glass. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT for China's auto sector, with Geely and CATL as top BUYs, and BYD and Li Auto as top SELLs.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+7)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 12, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China has launched a three-month MIIT-led campaign to curb online misconduct in the auto industry, using selfinspections and penalties to reduce misinformation and promote competition on product quality. China’s PV insurance registrations fell 30% wow due to seasonality and consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment. Lithium carbonate prices correct on the production resumption of CATL’s Jianxiawo lithium mine. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China’s auto sector; top...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: The price war took its toll in 2Q25, and it i...

The price war took its toll on Chinese auto companies in 2Q25, causing a margin squeeze along the supply chain. Price wars are inevitable, despite the state’s antiinvolution campaign. Large OEMs like Geely, BYD and GWM will survive the industry consolidation. For young companies, we expect XPeng, Leapmotor and Aito to thrive. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK): 2Q25: Net profit in line, but core earning...

GWM posted in-line 2Q25 net profit of Rmb4,586m (+19% yoy/+162% qoq), mainly due to government subsidies and forex gains. Stripping them out, core net profit plunged 66% yoy to Rmb1.88b in 1H25, missing our estimate. Looking ahead, GWM will continue to see earnings headwinds from stiff competition. We maintain our 2025-27 core net profit estimates at Rmb6,625m/Rmb7,515m/Rmb8,578m respectively. Maintain SELL. Target price: HK$10.00

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+21)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, September 1, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI August's manufacturing PMI edged up slightly to 49.4 (+0.1pt mom), while non-manufacturing PMI improved modestly to 50.3 (+0.2pt mom). However, construction PMI fell to 49.1 (-1.5pt mom), below the expansion threshold for the first time since January. With moderating decline in new orders and new export orders, PMI for large-sized enterprise (50.8, +0.5pt mom) and small-sized enterprise (46.6, +0.2pt mom) both improved. Overall, a mixed bag. Results Alibaba Group...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+15)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Ming San Soong
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 1, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$115.70/Target: HK$170.00): 1QFY26: Better-than-expected CMR and cloud revenue growth; encouraging quick commerce outlook. BYD Company (1211 HK/SELL/HK$114.40/Target: HK$90.00): 2Q25: Earnings down over 30% yoy/qoq, missing estimates on margins. Downgrade from BUY to SELL. Cut target price from HK$142.00 to HK$90.00. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$41.18/Target: HK$51.80): 1H25: Margin misses due to product mix shift; growth story remains unchange...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: YOY PV sales growth turns positive on price c...

China’s yoy PV and PEV sales growth returned to positive territory (at +6.2%/+13.5%) in the 33rd week of 2025, as OEMs cut prices again. Geely’s insurance registrations spiked 21% wow during the week, beating our expectation, driven by the blockbuster new model Galaxy A7. However, BYD, Tesla China and Li Auto still posted a yoy sales decline during the week, albeit a wow rebound. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu.

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