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Claire Wang Kelai ... (+2)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Sales surge, driven by price cuts and new mod...

China’s PV insurance registrations grew 24% yoy, 18% mom and 27% wow in the 24th week of 2025, with a PEV market share of 55.1%. BYD’s sales rebounded 25% wow during the week on price cuts, easing inventory pressure. Geely launched the AI-powered Xingrui Cloud Power 2.0 and Galaxy A7 EM-i, featuring ultra-low fuel use and smart energy management. Robotaxi commercialisation is accelerating vehicle intelligentisation. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Desay SV and Tuopu.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, June 20, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Sales surge, driven by price cuts and new model launches. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Desay SV and Tuopu. Update Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$14.44/Target: HK$19.00) Revenue remains under pressure but stable operating margin is expected; increasing consumer preference for food delivery over dining in. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Jacobson Pharma (...

300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
5218 SAPURA ENERGY BHD
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
SK6U SPH REIT
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
SGREIT STARHILL GLOBAL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
2633 JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
MTEL IJ PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Claire Wang Kelai ... (+2)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: China’s 60-day payment rule reshapes autos. M...

China's new 60-day payment mandate marks a turning point for the auto industry, squeezing OEM cash flows while unlocking liquidity and innovation for suppliers. We maintain earnings estimates of auto companies unchanged, pending the policy enforcement. China’s PV insurance registrations dropped 7.6% wow in the 23rd week of 2025, due to the Dragon Boat Festival holiday and the typical early-month lull in demand. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Desay SV and Tuopu.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly - Weekly: Government Steps In To Restore Order

The authorities are cracking down on predatory pricing, supplier exploitation and inventory fraud, which bodes well for the sustained development of China’s auto industry. However, overcapacity remains a structural problem. The 2025 Greater Bay Auto Show highlighted electrification, autonomous driving, and low-altitude mobility, with BYD’s "oil-electric same-speed" ultra-fast charging and plans for 15,000 charging piles standing out. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely and XPeng.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+7)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Ken Lee
  • Philip Wong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, June 06, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Government steps in to restore order. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely and XPeng. MALAYSIA Sector Gaming Anticipate sector earnings to progressively grow throughout 2025-26 and offer solid dividend yields, but downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT given limited immediate cataly...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Is there an Evergrand in the China auto secto...

China automaker stocks plummeted 10-11% this week on: a) the price war triggered by BYD, and b) worries over the financial soundness of auto OEMs raised by GWM’s Chairman Wei Jianjun’s critics and the Ministry of Commerce’s probe into “zero-mileage second-hand cars”. We deem these concerns valid but the risks remain manageable as long as sales keep growing. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely and XPeng. Cut target price of BYD from HK$510.00 to HK$490.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET W...

China’s PV insurance registrations grew 14% yoy but dipped 1.0% mom and 14% wow in the 20th week of 2025, with PEV market share rising to a ytd high of 56.3%. Geely Galaxy’s sales dipped 4.0% wow, but its sales will be driven by the launch of new models such as the Starshine 8 and the flagship SUV M9. XPeng posted upbeat 1Q25 results and aims to turn profitable by 4Q25, driven by a strong product cycle and tech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+14)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Paula Ruth
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, May 23, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PEV sales edged up wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGH...

China’s PV insurance registrations rose 0.5% yoy, 26.5% mom and 5% wow in the 19th week of 2025, with PEV market share increasing to 50.2%. Geely’s Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy saw strong sales growth driven by new model launches, aggressive pricing, tech upgrades, and robust export expansion. We lift Geely’s 2025 net profit forecast by 24%, given its upbeat 1Q25 earnings. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$31.00 Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PEV sales down wow due to holiday. Maintain M...

China’s PV insurance registrations rose 16% yoy and 26% mom but fell 6% wow in the 18th week of 2025, with PEV market share dropping to 48.0%. The wow drop was mainly due to the Labour Day Holiday. Geely plans to privatise Zeekr for US$2.2b just a year after its NYSE IPO, aiming to streamline operations and boost global EV competitiveness amid rising geopolitical and market pressures. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK): 1Q25: Earnings miss estimates on margins. ...

GWM posted a disappointing 1Q25 net profit of Rmb1.75b (-46% yoy/-23% qoq) on lower-than-expected ASP and margins, due to fierce price competition in the domestic market and a dip in the more lucrative overseas sales. Looking ahead, GWM will continue to see earnings headwinds from stiff domestic competition and slowing overseas sales. We cut our 2025-27 net profit forecasts by 32%/34%/35% to Rmb9.6b/ Rmb10.65b/Rmb11.9b respectively. Downgrade to SELL. Cut target price to HK$10.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile: Weekly: Takeaways from Shanghai Auto Show 2025. 1Q25...

This week, we have takeaways from the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show. OEMs like BYD and Geely showcased promising new models, eg Ocean-S, Galaxy Warship. BYD’s 1Q25 net profit doubled yoy, in line with expectations. GWM’s 1Q25 earnings missed estimates on margins. We downgrade GWM from BUY to SELL. EVE Energy’s 1Q25 results beat estimates on shipments and margins. We upgrade EVE Energy from SELL to BUY. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, April 28, 2025

Sector Automobile This week, we have takeaways from the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show. OEMs like BYD and Geely showcased promising new models, eg Ocean-S, Galaxy Warship. BYD’s 1Q25 net profit doubled yoy, in line with expectations. GWM’s 1Q25 earnings missed estimates on margins. We downgrade GWM from BUY to SELL. EVE Energy’s 1Q25 results beat estimates on shipments and margins. We upgrade EVE Energy from SELL to BUY. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Consumer The Politb...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+17)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Lester Siew
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, April 28, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: Takeaways from Shanghai Auto Show 2025. 1Q25 results review for BYD, GWM and GAC. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Consumer: Politburo meeting: Emphasising income improvement and service consumption; prefer consumer companies with strong cost control and domestic focus. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$397.00/Target: HK$510.00): 1Q25: Earnings double yoy, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$510.00. EVE Energy (300014 HK/BU...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PEV sales surge continues, BYD leads as compe...

China’s PV insurance registrations rose 13% yoy and 4% wow in the 15th week of 2025, with PEV market share climbing to 53.0% as EV sales surged and ICE-cars demand softened. Galaxy and Zeekr underperformed amid rising competition from BYD’s DiPilot models and broader EV price cuts. Management will adjust pricing and launch five new models at two-month intervals, with major upgrades in July-August. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+15)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 11

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures remain. Sector Automobile Weekly: Direct impacts from US tariffs contained; indirect spillovers uncertain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$81.55/Target: HK$108.80) 1Q25 sales me...

AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
SCC SIAM CEMENT PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
SOP SARAWAK OIL PALMS BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
KIML KIM LOONG RESOURCES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
IOI IOI CORP BHD
KLK KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BHD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
GENP GENTING PLANTATIONS BHD
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Direct impacts from US tariffs contained; ind...

US tariffs on Chinese autos (up to 150%) have limited direct impact but raise global trade tensions, posing risks to demand and earnings. China’s auto sales grew 25% yoy but fell 30% wow in the 14th week of 2025, mainly due to Qingming Festival. PEV market share remained at 50.1%. BYD and Geely respectively guide for 86-119% yoy and 205-233% yoy spike in 1Q25 earnings, beating expectations. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Solid growth in PV sales. Maintain MARKET WEI...

China’s auto sales increased wow in the 13th week of 2025, with PEVs accounting for 50.1% of the market. BYD achieved strong EV sales growth in March and 1Q25, driven by record overseas deliveries and new model launches. Geely's March sales surged 54% yoy, driven by strong EV growth. The US’ 25% tariff has limited impact on Chinese OEMs but would hit auto parts companies’ 2025 earnings by 2.5-8%. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK): 4Q24: Earnings in line with estimates. Mai...

GWM posted in-line 4Q24 net profit of Rmb2,264m (+11.7% yoy/-32.4% qoq). The qoq earnings decline was due to the Rmb4b in year-end bonus for staff. Looking ahead, GWM’s earnings growth will be driven by the strong product cycle and expansion in overseas markets. We maintain our 2025-26 net profit forecasts at Rmb14.1b/Rmb16.1b respectively and introduce 2027 net profit forecast of Rmb18.35b. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$17.50.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, March 31, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$6.70/Target: HK$7.50) CCB’s 2024 earnings (+0.9% yoy) were above our expectation, mainly driven by its resilient NIM on better deposit cost management, strong trading gains and lower impairment. Asset quality remains solid but pressure on the retail segment is increasing. MoF will inject Rmb105b of new capital into CCB which will result in a 4.3% equity dilution and 50bp boost in CET1 ratio. We expect a largely neutral market reacti...

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