reports
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Strategy: Alpha Picks -- April Conviction Calls
Chinese equities consolidated further in March amid outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 6.9% mom and 7.5% mom respectively. We expect markets to stay volatile in April, though oversold rebounds are possible. We continue to focus on names with stronger fundamentals and remain buyers of tech names, adding Li Ning and Zijin Mining to our BUY list while taking profits on Ganfeng Lithium and cutting losses on LINK REIT.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
FUTU FUTU HOLDINGS ADS
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Zijin Mining Group (2899 HK): 2025: In Line; Gold Tailwinds With A Rob...
Zijin Mining reported 2025 earnings of Rmb51.8b (+61.5% yoy), within expectations, primarily supported by strong gold price tailwinds. The group produced 89.5 tonnes of mine gold (+22.8% yoy) and 1.09m tonnes of mine copper (+1.6% yoy), while group gross margin expanded to 27.7% (+7.4ppt yoy). Gold/copper contributed 40.9%/34.5% of gross profit respectively. Production growth will be supported by copper expansions at Julong and Serbia, optimisation of acquired gold assets, and a rapid lithium pr...
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Joyce Chu
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Top Stories Company Results | China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$24.02/Target: HK$30.30) CR Beer reported 2025 revenue of Rmb37,985m (-2% yoy). Adjusted EBITDA reached Rmb9,879m (+10% yoy). In 2H25, beer sales volume rose 0.4% but ASP declined 5%, due to proactive promotions. Management sees positive effects from the proactive adjustments, with both volume and ASP recording growth in 2M26. Management remains cautiously optimistic about the impending peak season. For the baijiu business, we ex...
- Curtis Yeung
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Monday, February 23, 2026
Top Stories Sector Update | Metals And Mining Gold is holding near US$5,000/oz, supported by geopolitical risk, sustained central bank buying and policy uncertainty, reinforcing a higher structural floor. Despite tempered rate-cut expectations, gold equities still price in lower long-term bullion assumptions, implying valuation upside amid volatility. Copper’s pullback appears cyclical, with LME inventory builds driven by Chinese New Year seasonality and a temporary import arbitrage closure. We ...
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
China Metals and Mining: Gold Priced For Risk; Copper Priced For Timin...
Gold is holding near US$5,000/oz, supported by geopolitical risk, sustained central bank buying and policy uncertainty, reinforcing a higher structural floor. Despite tempered rate-cut expectations, gold equities still price in lower long-term bullion assumptions, implying valuation upside amid volatility. Copper’s pullback appears cyclical, with LME inventory builds driven by Chinese New Year seasonality and a temporary import arbitrage closure. We maintain OVERWEIGHT, favouring low-cost upstre...
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
China Metals and Mining: China Carbon Market Moves Into Industrial Com...
China’s ETS expansion brings copper smelting into the carbon regulatory pipeline, with newly-covered sectors currently in the MRV stage and facing no immediate compliance or quota costs. Over time, benchmark efficiency standards and tighter approval conditions should restrain refining capacity growth. This shifts industry adjustment away from volatile TC/RC cycles toward stronger copper prices, improving earnings leverage for major miners while stabilising utilisation and margins for leading sme...
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Zijin Mining Group (2899 HK): Copper Breaks US$13,000/tonne; Solid 202...
Copper moved above US$13,000/tonne, as tight inventories and US tariff concerns pushed the market into a deficit-driven pricing regime, while gold remained firm on safe-haven demand. Zijin’s 2025 profit alert was within expectations, with earnings growth of 59-62% yoy. The 2026 outlook was a positive surprise, led by gold output pulled forward into the prior 2028 target range (+16.7% yoy), with copper up +10.1% yoy on Kamoa-Kakula normalisation and Julong ramp-up. We maintain BUY and raise targe...
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
Top Stories Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company Update...
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Jo Yee Ng
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Malaysia Research Team
- Ming San Soong
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, January 07, 2026
Greater China Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company ...
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
GAM GAMUDA BHD
FNH FRASER & NEAVE HOLDINGS BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
IGBREIT IGB REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT T
SWB SUNWAY BHD
SREIT SUNWAY REAL ESTATE INVESTMEN
AXRB AXIS REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT
KLCCSS KLCCP STAPLED GROUP
09888 BAIDU INC
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
CMMT CAPITALAND MALAYSIA TRUST
PREIT PAVILION REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Market Strategy: 2026 Year Ahead: Global easing continue...
Highlights We expect global liquidity cycle to remain strong for at least 1H26, following the Fed’s return to policy easing in Sep 25, benefitting emerging market assets and commodities. Chinese equities are likely to rally further, and our index target for MSCI China index target is at 104 pts based on 16.3x 12-month forward PE and 6% EPS growth assumption. We prefer exposure to growth industries like AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics, ADAS and innovative drugs and liquidity proxies ...
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02208 XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS H
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Zijin Mining (2899 HK): 9M25 -- In line; Gold Strength And ZGI Listing...
Zijin Mining’s 9M25 results are in line, with net profit up 56% yoy to Rmb37,863.6m, driven by higher realised ASPs and strong gold production growth. Mining-entity gross margin expanded to 60.6% (+2.9ppt) on gold strength, while cost upticks from Akyem are expected to normalise. The ZGI listing enhanced liquidity and expanded M&A headroom. The constructive demand outlook for copper and persistent global supply disruptions support a further valuation re-rating. We maintain BUY with a higher targ...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Ken Lee
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
Top Stories Economics | Economic Activity China’s 3Q25 GDP growth slowed to 4.8% yoy, bringing 9M25 growth to 5.1%. 9M25 FAI fell 0.5% yoy, dragged by property FAI (-13.9% ytd yoy). September's industrial production rose 6.5% yoy, but retail sales growth eased to 3.0% yoy. With the stronger-than-expected 9M25 growth, we raise the full-year real GDP growth forecast to 5.0% yoy. That said, further policy support is still needed and we expect proposals for the 15th Five-year Plan to provide furthe...
- Audrey Celia
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Jonathan Koh
- Ken Lee
- Philip Wong
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
Greater China Economics | Economic Activity China’s 3Q25 GDP growth slowed to 4.8% yoy, 9M25 growth to 5.1%. Ytd FAI fell 0.5% yoy, dragged by property FAI (-13.9% ytd yoy). September's industrial production rose 6.5% yoy, but retail sales growth eased to 3.0% yoy. With the stronger-than-expected 9M25 growth, we raise the full-year real GDP growth forecast to 5.0% yoy. That said, further policy support is still needed and we expect proposals for the 15th Five-year Plan to provide further clu...
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
5225 IHH HEALTHCARE BHD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Zijin Mining (2899 HK):1H25: In line; gold shines, copper holds; spin-...
Zijin reported 1H25 earnings of Rmb23,291.8m (+54.4% yoy), in line with expectations. Mining entities’ gross margins expanded to 60.2% (+2.9ppt yoy) on higher gold prices and volumes. Gold/copper contributed 38.6%/38.5% of gross profit, a more balanced mix that enhances earnings resilience. 1H25 gold/copper output rose to 41.2/566,853 tonnes (+16.3%/+9.3% yoy); management noted that the Kamoa flooding impact is insignificant at the group level. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$29.70.
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Kate Luang
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Thursday, August 28, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$24.46/Target: HK$28.90) Anhui Conch Cement reported 1H25 earnings of Rmb4,367.9m (+31.3% yoy), representing 42.5% of our full-year estimates, slightly above expectations. Gross margin for self-produced products rose to 28.9% (+5.8ppt yoy). Cement ASP edged up 1.5% yoy, while unit production cost fell 7.1% yoy, mainly on a 13.8% drop in fuel and power costs. Cement and clinker sales volume was broadly stable at 126mt (-0.4% yoy), outperfo...
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
XGH ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
PRU PRUDENTIAL PLC
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
0914 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
9660 HK HORIZON ROBOTICS INC (9660 HK)
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, August 28, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$101.60/Target: HK$114.20) 1H25: Results in line; lowers Anta brand target slightly, but maintains group-level target. CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$30.40/Target: HK$34.10) 1H25: Results in line; positive 2H25 sales outlook & regular REIT expansion vision. Horizon Robotics (9660 HK/BUY/HK$7.94/Target: HK$8.88) 1H25: Hardware shipments more than double; eyeing mass pro...
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PLANB PLAN B MEDIA
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
IJM IJM CORP BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
SWB SUNWAY BHD
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
PGEO PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
STM SEATRIUM LTD
9660 HK HORIZON ROBOTICS INC (9660 HK)
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China 2H25 Market Strategy: A Big Beautiful Deal?
Trade deal in focus. Notwithstanding the 90-day truce on tariff escalation, it is still a 50/50 if there will be a “Big Beautiful Deal” between the US and China. The US is steadfast in wanting to cap China’s growth and restricting her access to the latest technology, while China is making a firm stand on its economic rights. We expect that higher US tariffs on Chinese goods are unavoidable, likely closer to the 60% mark, if Trump were to be seen making a credible move to onshore production in ...
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
China Metals & Mining: Copper -- Trade uncertainties cloud 2H25; decar...
Copper prices rebounded on renewed US-China trade optimism, while demand remains under pressure from macro headwinds. Looser supply conditions have weighed on the Yangshan premium and spurred export activity. The near-term outlook remains neutral, with trade negotiations a key swing factor. A more constructive view emerges for 1H26, underpinned by green energy momentum and a global policy-driven recovery. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Zijin Mining (2899 HK): 1Q25: In line; poised to capitalise on gold pr...
Zijin reported 1Q25 earnings of Rmb10,166.8m (+62.4% yoy), in line with expectations. Mining entities’ gross margin expanded to 59.9% (+5.4ppt yoy), supported by a gold price rally. The contribution from gold/copper to gross profit became more balanced at 36%/42%, enhancing earnings resilience amid elevated market uncertainties. 1Q25 gold output rose to a record 19.1 tonnes (+13.4% yoy), on track to achieve its 2025 growth target of 17%. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$24.00.
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Kate Luang
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Tuesday, April 15, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Trade Mar 25 exports growth rebounded to 12.4% yoy, a big improvement from Feb 25’s -3.0% yoy (which was affected by the holidays), but still a moderation from 4Q24's stronger performance. On the other hand, imports fell 4.3% yoy, dragged by a strong decline in coal imports. Trade surplus widened to US$102.6b, but will narrow in the months ahead if the higher US tariffs remain. Strategy China And Hong Kong Property In Apr 25: a) major mainland cities saw mom decrea...
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