HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...
While the macro outlook in Romania may not be the most inviting over the next few years, due to the budget consolidation efforts that Romania must undertake to comply with the EC targets and avoid being downgraded to non-investment grade, we remain fairly constructive on Banca Transilvania (TLV), while less so on BRD-GSG. Despite some pressure on margins, due to rate cuts by the ECB, we expect both banks’ NIMs to expand mildly in 2025E and, even though the tax burden is increasing and we see hig...
HEADLINES: • OMV: 2Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 2Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 2Q25E FX mortgage saga provisions information NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: monthly sales disappoint again – limited 8% yoy growth in June NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: June budget data shows stable, but wide, deficit • Titan: invests in fly-ash processing facility in the UK NEUTRAL
A director at Med Life SA sold 2,000,000 shares at 6.750RON and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: growth prism – new angles, brighter future (stays BUY) • European oil and gas monthly: June 2025 – bullish cues from Hormuz • Baltic Classifieds Group: solid FY 2H25 results, affected by one-offs NEUTRAL • Text: key takeaways from the preliminary 1Q25-26 earnings call NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: makes new natural gas discovery POSITIVE • Arabian Drilling: secures contract extensions for four rigs POSITIVE
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: discussing a new fiscal package with the EU • Romanian banks: government to increase tax on gross revenues to 4% NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy – Poland: bigger, happier but also more divided • Poland macro: MPC reduces the policy rate by 25bps • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) preliminary results – MRR of USD 7.17m (up 0.7% qoq, up 1.4% yoy); 928 net LiveChat customers outflow NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: guiding for PLN 33m outflow related to the 2018-19 increased fees; PLN 50-...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
We take a look at the broad developments in euro-denominated AT1 markets. So far this year the tight trading levels have reflected as banks continuing to remain very active in primary markets. With the uncertain geopolitical landscape, we would remain selective on issuers and in terms of bonds.
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: flying with flavour (stays BUY) • Türkiye macro: CBT keeps rates unchanged • Romania macro: negotiations for the next government remain tough • OMV Petrom: signs supply agreement for its biofuels plant NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – 2025 Global Market Accessibility Review
One of the key questions in European Telecoms at the moment is how successful will Digi be in Portugal, Spain and Belgium; and to a lesser extent, how successful can the challengers be in general: Salt, Iliad Italy, and so on. In this report, we take a top-down look at how spectrum drives success in European mobile, and what that means for future outcomes.
A director at Digi Communications NV bought 6,800 shares at 73.371RON and the significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
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